Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - April 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/4)-(7/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(3/1)-(3/7/4/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-4   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(3/7/4/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/9/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/1)-(3/7/4/9/1)-(3/7/4/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (3/7/4/1)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(1/4/2)-(6/5/1) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-8   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(6/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-9   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESVALON Apr23 Apr03 Mar04 Feb19 Jan18 (ccamaque mar)TAPARA BRANDON 120 1.80    
2  DADDY Z Dec10 Sep10 Aug28 Aug07 Jul19 (ewell sr)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  EL DUQUE Nov22 Oct29 Oct15 Oct02 Sep17 (herrington call)BAYS BROOKE 110 12.00 7% 13.30    
4  GOLDEN OAK Apr23 Nov26 Nov05 Oct26 Sep28 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHISKEY SUNRISE Apr21 Feb26 Feb13 Dec27 Dec12 (vickers richard)LEON A 120 20.00    
6  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Mar29 Mar06 Aug16 Jul16 Jul03 (hayes leland)AVILES YAN 120 2.00    
7  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Apr05 Mar02 Sep17 Aug18 Jul25 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
MNR-2   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY FROSTED Apr23 Jan31 Jan04 Dec03 Nov12 (gotera car)LEON A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PARADE GRAND Dec26 Dec11 Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 (clouston edward)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  TAPPIN ROYALTY Dec06 Jul25 May14 Oct09 Sep27 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 3.50    
4  KAZTHAROS Apr21 Dec10 Nov20 Nov13 Nov07 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50    
SCR  CATES SWOOSH Dec13 Nov20 Nov08 Oct30 Oct17 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.00    
SCR  KASIM Nov02 Sep22 Sep01 Aug23 Jul05 (inman l)VEGA L 120 15.00    
7  LUCKY JUNIOR Mar14 Mar04 Feb08 Jan08 Dec26 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 4.50 47% 1.10    
 
MNR-3   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE IS ROYALTY Dec20 Dec03 Nov19 Oct09 Sep27 (cordero-lope)LUNA ELEMANIEL 120 12.00    
2  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Mar13 Feb22 Feb07 Dec27 Nov29 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 1.00 39% 1.60    
3  MALIBU MARLEE Feb13 Jan04 Dec10 Nov15 Nov07 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  REDWHITEANDTACOS Mar16 Mar08 Feb11 Jan05 Dec10 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00    
5  SHELLY THE ROCKET Feb13 Feb05 Jan08 Dec13 Nov29 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  GOLDEN ACCOUNT Dec05 Nov05 Oct01 Sep04 Aug09 (barker r)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00    
 
MNR-4   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GIRL GABBY Apr22 Jan11 Dec05 Nov01 Oct23 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  THIS ONE CAN RUN Apr22 Jan09 Dec04 Nov27 Oct29 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00    
3  DANCE STEP Mar24 Mar16 Mar02 Feb09 Jan20 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  MARQUET CLASSIC Apr22 Feb24 Feb03 Nov11 Oct21 (bernardini jay )NEGRON LUIS 120 4.00    
5  AND WHISTLE Nov18 Oct26 Oct05 Aug26 Jul14 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.00    
SCR  S S ALTERNATE Oct25 Aug22 Aug03 Jun26 May22 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 12.00    
 
MNR-5   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOLA FLO Apr21 Dec10 Nov27 Nov02 Oct21 (barker r)LEON A 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  ARTISTIC ALIBI Dec10 Nov20 Oct30 Sep12 Aug17 (mcdonald )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00    
3  TRUE HEIRESS Feb21 Jul14 Jun02 Apr14 Mar23 (gazzier kristy)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.60 50% 1.00    
4  CAPTAIN ANNE Dec10 Nov20 Oct25 Oct02 Sep11 (cox g)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 6% 15.40    
5  LOST ANCHOR Mar28 Jan25 Dec03 Oct31 Oct18 (collins tim)LUNA ELEMANIEL 123 20.00    
6  DOUBLE D'S REVENGE Apr21 Jun26 Sep22 Aug23 Jul21 (brown john )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 20.00    
7  GLORY DIA Dec05 Nov13 Oct23 Sep23 Aug30 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 20% 3.90    
8  MY PINK BABY BIRD Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 Dec20 (vickers rich)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
9  CLAIRE'S DARLING Dec03 Nov20 Oct30 Oct08 Aug25 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 3.50 ★    
 
MNR-6   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTHONY'S ROCKET Jan25 Dec23 Dec10 Nov18 Oct22 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 4.00    
2  COMMISSIONER H Dec13 Dec04 Nov13 Nov05 Oct22 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  OLD FORTY FIVE Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 Sep17 Sep04 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 31% 2.20    
4  ROLL ME OVER Apr23 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 2.50    
5  BIG WAY Mar19 Mar06 Feb20 Jan26 Dec20 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  FAST STUDY Apr23 Feb12 Jan10 Dec14 Oct13 (blankenship)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
 
MNR-7   04/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GATES OF HEAVEN Dec14 Nov22 Oct30 Sep27 Jul05 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  ESTILO VARONIL Sep27 Sep05 Aug13 Jul18 Jun26 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
3  COASTAL CHAOS Dec04 Nov13 Oct03 Sep10 Jul22 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Mar27 Mar17 Feb28 Feb19 Dec10 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50    
5  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Mar27 Mar06 Feb10 Jan05 Dec07 (jones e)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Mar20 Feb29 Feb20 Jan18 Jan03 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 2.50    
SCR  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Apr25 Mar25 Mar07 Feb27 Feb13 (ortiz-ruiz carm)LEON A 120 8.00    
 
MNR-8   04/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE SQUARE Apr22 Feb05 Dec29 Nov25 Nov11 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 120 1.60 52% 0.90    
2  SECRET SANCTUARY Dec05 Nov19 Sep03 Aug08 Jul05 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAR WEST Feb21 Feb07 Jan19 Jan05 Nov03 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.50    
4  GIRL BYE Apr22 Feb25 Jan24 Dec02 Nov04 (viands gregory)WHITACRE B 115 5.00 23% 3.40    
5  MOON OVER DUBAI Mar19 Mar04 Feb12 Feb05 Jan18 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 12.00    
6  MALIBU COWBOY Apr22 Mar15 Feb24 Feb09 Dec08 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00    
7  MAJESTIC PHAROAH Mar08 Feb04 Jan14 May26 Apr26 (poole a)VEGA L 120 3.50 ★    
 
MNR-9   04/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETHPAGE Dec04 Sep04 Aug22 Jul31 Jul12 (baird michael)NEGRON LUIS 123 10.00 8% 12.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of THE CRANE by TIZNOW)
SCR  COUNTRY STYLE Apr08 Feb22 Jan31 Sep19 Aug31 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 15.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Dec23 Dec11 Nov30 Nov05 Oct12 (mcentee paul)AVILES YAN 116 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTSOFHARMONY by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  LADY P Apr07 Mar09       (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 2.50 ★    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of PRETTY PEGGY by SUMMING)
5  XHILARATINGPURPOSE Apr04 Mar12 Feb24 Nov27   (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.50 9% 9.80    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SOUL PURPOSE by FAPPIE'S NOTEBOOK)
6  KETO FRIENDLY Oct03 Sep04 Jul25 Jun27 Jun05 (pease harry)LEON A 123 3.00 61% 0.70    
  (by MASTERY out of OLGA PAYNE by E DUBAI)
7  RAG TOWN Apr21 Dec26 Nov26 Sep12 Aug07 (brown john )BARRIOS RICARDO 123 30.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DELAVIE by UNION RAGS)
8  F F DANCER Feb12         (baird mic)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 20.00    
  (by MAWTHOOQ out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  HONOUR'S CHOICE Mar22 Mar01       (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 4.50    
  (by MAWTHOOQ out of CHOOSE HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.