Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (2/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/6)-(5/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/6)-(5/3/1/4)-(7/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-2   WIN (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/4)-(7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/4)-(7/6/1)-(4/6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-3   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(4/6/5/7)-(7/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/7)-(7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/7)-(7/3/8)-(8/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/2/1)-(7/3/8/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/8)-(8/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8)-(8/6/1)-(10/9/11/1/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-6   WIN (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/1)-(10/9/11/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1)-(10/9/11/1/3)-(6/7/8/11/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-7   WIN (10/9/11/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/11/1/3)-(10/9/11/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/11/1/3)-(10/9/11/1/3)-(10/9/11/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/9/11/1/3)-(6/7/8/11/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/9/11/1/3)-(6/7/8/11/1)-(8/2/1/4/3) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-8   WIN (6/7/8/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/11/1)-(6/7/8/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/11/1)-(6/7/8/11/1)-(6/7/8/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/8/11/1)-(8/2/1/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (8/2/1/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/4/3)-(8/2/1/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/4/3)-(8/2/1/4/3)-(8/2/1/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   04/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INZAWAY Mar26 Mar05 Feb06 Jan12 Nov21 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 118 3.50    
2  LA DELHOMME'S SHOW Apr04 Mar26 Feb19 Feb06 Dec04 (zi)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 49% 1.00    
3  LEGAL MISCHIEF Mar26 Apr22 Feb25 Feb04 Jan17 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
4  SWIVEL HIPS Mar20 May05 Jan07     (perkins f)IRONEYES R 119 15.00    
5  TIA SUZI Apr08 Mar19 Feb15     (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 2.50 12% 7.50    
6  WYATT'S IN CHARGE Mar26 Feb15       (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ARIZONA LINDY Apr08 Mar19 Feb15 Nov28 Sep30 (hone bart)VALDES ALEXIS 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
TUP-2   04/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS GALLANT Feb27 Feb13 Aug27 Aug11 Jul29 (lawrence )IRONEYES R 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CALIFORNIA DIVA Apr04 Mar14 Dec02 Oct22 Sep16 (evans justi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
3  ANOTHER TEN Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul07 May29 (evans justin)REYES R 124 2.00 14% 6.40    
4  UNUSUAL DANCER Mar27 Feb14 May06 Apr04 Mar19 (ac)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  O SHUGAH MINT Apr04 Mar06 Mar20 Mar28 Mar09 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
6  MEMORIES IN GOLD Apr04 Mar05       (tubbs scot)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 12.00    
7  SANTALUZ DREAM Mar01 Feb10 Jan05     (evans justin)RADKE K 118 3.50    
 
TUP-3   04/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKER JET Apr08 Mar19 Feb26 Oct14 Oct07 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 6.00 5% 18.70    
2  PALACE STAR Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Feb06 Apr29 (perkins fr)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00    
SCR  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Feb07 Jan25 Nov21 Sep02 Jul31 (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00    
4  LILLY CHROME Feb19 Nov07 Oct16 Sep11 Aug22 (wolf ashlee)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF MAMA Oct14 Oct06 Sep17 Sep09 Aug27 (bean ro)BRAVO MISAEL 119 12.00    
6  JASMINE CHIEFTAIN Apr08 Mar19 Mar03 Feb09 Jan27 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 32% 2.20    
7  MARY WALKER Apr08 Feb22 Feb06 Dec30 Sep10 (lavanway dayson)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
TUP-4   04/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARICOPA COUNTY Apr03 Mar12 Apr22 Mar06 Feb25 (grissom roberta )MAWING A 122 8.00    
2  PLEASEUSETHEPORTAL Apr04 Mar12 Feb22 Feb15 Feb06 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 4.00    
3  SECRET POTION Mar12 Jan11 Feb09 Dec17 Oct31 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
4  SIR PISTOLERO Mar27 Dec31       (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  PAID IN FULL Mar25 Mar05 Feb20 Feb05 Nov18 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 3.50 10% 8.90    
6  STREET HUMOR Mar26 Feb24 Feb11 Jan28 Jan05 (ortiz man)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  PHOENICIAN GHOST Apr02 Feb28 May05 Apr22 Mar19 (campo sta)IRONEYES R 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   04/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIMITED HEATWAVE Apr03 Mar12 Feb20 Dec02 Nov04 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 ★    
2  JIN TONG Apr08 Mar20 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 8.00 ★    
3  FOUND MY BALL Mar21 Mar06 Feb22 Feb01 Jan25 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
4  ARREST Mar20 Feb16 Feb03 Jan07 Dec17 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00    
5  TABLE FOR TWO Mar26 Mar12 Jan30 Oct21 Sep24 (fuentes rub)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 10.00    
6  COASTAL WATERS Apr08 Mar26 Mar05 Oct27 Oct06 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
7  MEGA MOON Mar15 Feb15 Jan07 Nov24 Oct15 (miller peter)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
8  BROTHER REID Mar26 Feb25 Jan27 Nov19 Sep29 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  ROYAL HALO Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Feb01 Aug13 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   04/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD OF LIGHT Mar23 Mar10 Oct09 Sep24 Aug27 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
2  ROMEO'S GLORY Mar21 Mar06 May07 Feb25 Feb04 (ybarra rudy)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00    
3  MONGOLIAN MASTER Mar21 Feb24 Jan13 Nov25 Nov11 (simpson s)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
SCR  JOHN GREY Mar13 Feb28 Jan31 Oct14 Jul22 (leon prisci)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
SCR  AS LUCK HAPPENS Mar19 Jan29 Dec26 Dec09 Nov24 (ke)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
6  VICTORY LINE Feb28 Feb09 Jan07 Mar23 Feb10 (evans justin)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
7  ROAD OF LOVE Mar27 Mar03 Feb10 Dec17 Dec08 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
8  ARIZONA STEPHEN Mar28 Mar08 Nov15 Oct04 Aug30 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
TUP-7   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANNONBALL COMIN Mar06 Feb20 Nov14 Oct21 Oct04 (silva jose )MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 6% 15.70    
2  MEET JOE Mar19 Feb19 Sep02 Aug07 May27 (kenney ryan)RADKE K 124 12.00    
3  POPS AWESOME Sep15 Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul22 (williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  REPLETE Mar21 Feb29 Feb06 Dec18 Nov20 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
5  CAJUN TREASURE Jul03 May12 Mar26 Dec18 Oct21 (uranga jes)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
6  VROYSKY Sep16 Jun17 Jun05 Feb04 Jan18 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
7  SILVERBULLITBADGER May21 Apr29 Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 (ferguson laurie)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
8  GIANT'S BRITE EYE Feb13 Oct27 Oct08 Sep02 Jul03 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
9  STAY HAPPY Mar13 Sep19 Aug30 Aug07 Jun28 (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 28% 2.60    
10  MR. CLUTCH Apr04 Mar13 Feb12 Jan06 Dec01 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
11  SLY Mar26 Dec12 Dec04 Nov13 Oct22 (scott jr)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
 
TUP-8   04/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUBBA BAY Sep19 Aug27 Apr18 Mar31   (o'brien dan)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  KURT'S CHOICE Mar27 Feb14 Nov11 Oct26 Sep03 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
3  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 Oct13 (whitehouse wi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 20.00    
4  WEALTH N HEALTH Mar27 Mar06 Jan30 Dec20 Nov21 (valerio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
5  HOT MEMORIES Mar27 Mar19 Feb28 Feb14 Feb06 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
6  SIR FLATTER Apr07 Jan26 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 (birdwell tena)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
7  B R KIDD ROCK Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 Feb05 Jan19 (dennison h)RADKE K 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
8  PRINCE OTTO Apr02 Mar04 Feb20 Oct22 Oct07 (esquibel m)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00 17% 4.80    
9  IMPERATOR Mar27 Jan10 Dec10 Nov19 Aug29 (hop mike)IRONEYES R 117 20.00    
SCR  GO LAKER GO Mar28 Feb22 Dec05 Nov14 Oct21 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00    
11  BRANNIGAN Apr03 Mar19 Feb28 Feb15 Feb03 (lavanway dayson)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
 
TUP-9   04/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERRY GOLD Mar03 Feb10 Jan12 Dec02 Nov04 (miller peter)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
2  EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT Mar24 Mar15 Feb17 Jan15 Jul28 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
3  LUKA GRAZIE Apr03 Mar05 Jan14 Dec26 Nov17 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  IL CAPITANO (GB) Mar27 Feb21 Feb05 Jan13 Dec26 (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 6% 14.70    
5  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Apr08 Mar25 Mar13 Feb22 Jan29 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00    
6  EL CAPRICHO Mar28 Mar05 Feb21 Feb13 Jan27 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 117 20.00    
7  JACKS OUTLAW Mar26 Mar01 Jan01 Nov12 Oct23 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
8  NO SECRET Mar24 Mar09 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 (tamayo )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
9  TAKE CHARGE CURLY Mar25 Mar10 Feb03 Dec17 Nov25 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
SCR  CASHANOVA Apr04 Mar26 Mar05 Sep03 Aug16 (asprino alf)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.