Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (10/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/9/8)-(10/9/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/8)-(10/9/3/8/4)-(10/9/3/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/9/8)-(8/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/9/8)-(8/1/5)-(5/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/7/5)-(8/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/5)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5)-(5/6/3)-(7/4/8/6/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(7/4/8/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(7/4/8/6/5)-(7/1/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/4/8/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/6/5)-(7/4/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/6/5)-(7/4/8/6/5)-(7/4/8/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/8/6/5)-(7/1/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/6/5)-(7/1/6/5)-(7/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5/2)-(7/1/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/6/5)-(7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/5)-(7/4/3)-(5/10/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/2/3)-(7/4/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(5/10/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(5/10/3)-(5/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/3)-(5/10/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/3)-(5/10/2/3/7)-(5/10/2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/10/3)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/10/3)-(5/2/6)-(9/7/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(9/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/2/1)-(9/7/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/2/1)-(9/7/2/4/1)-(9/7/2/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT-12:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TINS Dec15 Sep08       (ochoa gerar)ORTIZ A 119 30.00    
SCR  SUMMER FLOWER Dec15 Dec02 Sep16 Aug27   (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 119 3.00    
3  UNDRESS         (damen daniel)BATISTA A 119 12.00 ★    
4  HIPATIA Dec29 Dec08 Sep29     (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00 ★    
5  ALMA PURA Dec02         (agostini ar)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 12.00    
6  CAJUN GAL Dec23         (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 112 15.00    
7  VAI GATTINA Dec02 Nov12 Sep20     (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00    
8  LA FRESITA         (damen danie)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHEZA NASTY GIRL Dec08 Oct18 Sep21     (carrasco)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 29% 2.50    
10  SHE'S SO SEXY Dec02 Sep15       (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
TAM-2   01/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITIGANT Dec16 Dec06 Nov22 Aug23 Aug04 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 12% 7.20    
2  OLD TOWN ROAD Nov22 Jul22 Jun25 May19 Apr29 (garcia rodo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
3  POLITICAL RIOT Dec06 Aug26 Aug03 Jul22 Jun28 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 10.00    
SCR  SIR KAHN Dec20 Dec06 Nov03 Sep22 Sep03 (pita d)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 3.50    
5  COMMANDER KEITH Dec08 Nov24 Oct09 Oct01 Sep09 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  KIDYOUNOT Dec16 Sep29 Sep07 Aug17 Jul22 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
7  SAHM TEQUILA Aug27 Jul26 Jul01 Jun04 Apr14 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.50 ★    
8  ALMASHRIQ Dec15 Dec08 Nov10 Oct27 Oct15 (pita daniel)MORELOS E 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
TAM-3   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Oct11 Sep25 Sep07 Sep01 Aug17 (mendieta ale)BATISTA A 118 15.00    
2  FLY FLY AWAY Dec13 Nov22 Sep30 Aug24 Aug11 (potts wayne)FERRER C 118 10.00    
3  HE'S IN CHARGE Dec13 Nov22 Oct27 Sep22 Sep01 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
4  INTER MIAMI Dec16 Nov24 Aug16 Jul29 Jun28 (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
5  IMPERIAL KING Sep06 Aug17 Apr29 Apr01 Feb17 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 1.80 30% 2.30    
6  ELUSIVE MISCHIEF Oct27 Sep23 Jul28 Apr23 Apr07 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  EXACTING Dec16 Nov25 Oct06 May05 Apr22 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 122 3.00    
8  HENRY'S WORLD Dec13 Nov24 Oct18 Oct03 Sep19 (wasiluk peter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 10.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   01/05/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Oct25 Oct17 Sep20 Aug21 Jul25 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 10.00    
2  GUEST CHECK Dec20 Nov29 Sep04 Aug14 Jul29 (perkinson cc)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
3  AND THE OSCAR GOES Dec08 Oct02 Sep07 Aug15 Jul20 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 111 30.00    
4  SIR LUMPALOT Dec13 Nov24 Oct28 Oct08 Sep16 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 17% 4.80    
5  BOLD MEDICATION Dec06 Nov22 Oct28 Oct14 Dec09 (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00 6% 14.60    
6  SUMMER ALL YEAR Dec20 Nov22 Aug12 Jul20 Jul09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 7% 12.40    
7  THE BEARRISH ONE Dec20 Nov29 Nov04 Oct27 Oct18 (simone michael )CENTENO E 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
8  GONNA BE EPIC Dec20 Nov05 Sep10 Jul23 Jul08 (delgado jose)ARROYO S 118 6.00 8% 12.20    
9  NIP OF BOURBON Dec20 Oct24 Sep26 Sep06 Mar18 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 30.00    
10  LEOPARDI Dec15 Sep15 Sep02 Aug25 Jun24 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
 
TAM-5   01/05/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENA'S COURT Dec18 Nov04       (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of HOME COURT by STORM CAT)
2  SHE WILL DANCE (IRE) Dec08 Oct12 Aug30     (lerman s)MENESES MARCOS 123 4.50 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EVIDENTLY by SMART STRIKE)
3  STORM CREED Nov05 Oct21 Sep29 Sep06 Aug25 (parra hern)URDANETA J 123 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of OFFSHORE LADY by BERNARDINI)
4  LADY THOR Nov17 Aug26 Jul30 Jul07 Jun19 (dini mike)CASTANON L 123 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DISTINTA by SUMMER BIRD)
5  WARWOMAN Nov23 Sep13 Oct15 Sep17 Aug06 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 123 8.00 6% 16.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LITTLE RIVER by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  PACIFIC VIEW Dec08 Oct25 Sep04 Aug17 Aug03 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 6.00 9% 9.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  ANNA LUCIA Oct05 Jul08 May24     (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LIRA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  LIVELY REMARK Dec08 May06 Apr23 Apr15 Apr01 (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 123 20.00    
  (by THE JOKE IS OVER out of HONEY GO LIVELY by T J JACKSON)
9  FOREVER ROSE (GER) Dec08 Oct05       (sacco gr)GALLARDO A 123 6.00    
  (by CRACKSMAN out of FOREVER BEAUTY by SUNSHINE FOREVER)
 
TAM-6   01/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO SANTO         (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of RETSINA by IMPERIALISM)
2  POUND THE ROCK         (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HEAVENS STAIRWAY by DECARCHY)
3  SNOWNAME         (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SNOW FASHION by OLD FASHIONED)
4  TICKET TO THE TOP Oct14         (smith cr)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 36% 1.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of FINE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  AYE CALYPSO Dec24 Dec02 Oct12 Sep22   (rarick ly)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BARBADOS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  HABERDASHERY Sep25         (mckathan kevin)DIAZ S 120 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of KEEWATIN ICE by INTIDAB)
7  ARI'S MAGIC         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ARI THE ADVENTURER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  SMOKIN JACK FLASH Dec03 Nov03 Oct14     (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SMOKE OUT by POLLARD'S VISION)
 
TAM-7   01/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLPO D'ORO Dec13 Oct04 Sep03 Apr14 Apr07 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
2  SAMARITANO Dec13 Aug18 Jul14 Jun11 May21 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 119 5.00 ★    
3  HERE COMES BILLY Dec01 Oct28 Oct13 Sep04 Aug27 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRALINE'S CAT Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 Sep16 Sep09 (posadas pedro)SOSA LAUREANO 112 20.00    
5  BOLD ADVANCE Dec06 Nov04 Oct06 Aug27 Aug11 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00 51% 1.00    
6  LAPINSKI UNION Dec13 Nov24 Oct13 Aug10 Mar02 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00    
7  TORO FORWARD Dec13 Oct11 Sep24 Sep06 Aug26 (aguayo ramon)ARROYO S 119 6.00 ★    
8  BALLINDINE Dec13 Nov24 Oct06 Sep09 Aug12 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00    
9  CADILLAC JUSTICE Dec13 Nov16 Oct04 Sep06 Aug29 (granitz anth)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
10  CRAFTY KING Sep02 Aug18 Jul23 Jun04 May06 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  SIDNEY'S BID Dec06 Nov22 Nov04 Sep27 Aug30 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 119 5.00    
SCR  AIRMAN Aug30 Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 Mar22 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00    
SCR  TUDDENHAM MILL (IRE) Dec03 Apr02 Feb18 Jan07 Dec03 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 4.50    
SCR  CALZONE Dec27 Sep13 Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 (rarick lynn)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
 
TAM-8   01/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEEP FAITH Dec15 Oct20 Sep20 Aug19 Jul19 (rigattie)GALLARDO A 121 6.00    
2  IRISH RIVIERA Nov23 Nov02 Aug13 Jul09 Jun25 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
3  MR JACK Dec15 Nov03 Aug18 Jul27 Jul12 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 119 12.00    
4  FALCONS FURY Jul06 Jun22 Apr11 Mar21 Feb23 (roque elis)LOPEZ E 119 15.00    
5  CONSPIRACY FACT Dec15 Dec01 Nov03 Sep20 Sep07 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
6  EDGE OF GLORY Jan23 Jan11 Dec21 Dec06 Nov09 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STREET GLIDE Sep15 Aug04 Jun30 Apr19 Jan29 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 119 10.00    
8  ALEXANDER HELIOS Nov16 Oct21 Aug06 Jun25 Nov04 (joseph saffie )MURPHY OISIN 123 1.60    
 
TAM-9   01/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEWEL OF DENIAL Sep09 Aug26 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 (perkinson cc)LOPEZ E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  AFTER A FEW Dec20 Oct21 Sep09 Aug26 Aug11 (smith r)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00 8% 11.30    
3  BAND SWEETHEART Dec20 Nov29 Sep30 Aug06 Jul09 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 118 30.00    
4  NOTHINGMAKESENSE Oct20 Oct06 Sep06 Jun17 May27 (aguayo ramon)CASTANON L 118 4.50 ★    
5  CROSS ISLAND Oct30 Sep19 Aug28 Jul04 Jun20 (ferraro an)BATISTA A 118 15.00    
6  LIGEIA Dec29 Sep28 Aug31 Aug05 Jul20 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
7  INFLUENTIALOUS Nov29 Sep10 Aug11 Jun30 Jun02 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 4.00 15% 5.80    
8  DIOSA CATRINA Dec07 Nov11 Oct27 Sep29 Sep02 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 5.00    
9  SEIVER Dec29 Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul12 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 3.00 54% 0.80    
10  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Nov22 Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 Sep09 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
SCR  BIONDA SUPRISE Dec20 Aug04 Jul22 Mar31 Mar18 (yanez r)CEDENO CAROL 118 15.00    
SCR  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Dec09 Oct26 Aug22 Jul23 Jun04 (orantes r)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 4.50    
SCR  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Nov04 Oct14 Sep02 Aug19 Jul14 (potts wayne)VILLASMIL EDGAR 118 4.00    
SCR  MS BOOMBASTIC Dec29 Oct28 Oct13 Sep22 Sep14 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.