Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - December 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (8/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/6)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/6)-(5/6/2)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(2/3/5)-(5/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/1/5/8)-(2/3/1/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/2/6)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(3/2/4)-(1/6/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/1)-(3/2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/6/8/7)-(6/5/3/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/2/7)-(1/6/8/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/8/7)-(6/5/3/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/7)-(6/5/3/2/8)-(1/7/2/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/5/3/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2/8)-(6/5/3/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/2/8)-(6/5/3/2/8)-(6/5/3/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/3/2/8)-(1/7/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/2/8)-(1/7/2/10)-(2/7/5/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/7/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/10)-(1/7/2/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/10)-(1/7/2/8/10)-(1/7/2/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/2/10)-(2/7/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/7/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/10)-(2/7/5/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/10)-(2/7/5/9/10)-(2/7/5/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/31/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBOT Dec05 Nov01 Oct16 Oct02 Aug22 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 12.00    
2  BLACK ECHO Dec01         (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 124 30.00    
3  UNXPECTED TIGER Dec13 Nov29 Nov02 Oct04 Aug26 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 121 2.50 15% 5.50    
4  JAY'S DELIGHT Dec13 Nov22 Jul09 Jun11 May27 (richards rena)JARA FERNANDO 121 1.80 17% 4.90    
5  KID EMERALD Dec02 Oct12 Jul03 May29 Oct21 (d'angelo jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00    
6  RAMBO'S RETURN Dec01 Oct26       (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 20.00 5% 18.50    
7  SIR AUSTIN Dec13 Nov29 Oct28 Oct08 Sep17 (fisher david)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
8  PERFECT MOON Dec20 Dec13 Nov29 Oct23 Sep07 (cascallares ne)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
TAM-2   12/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TOUGH DAME Dec20 Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 Sep22 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00    
2  VILLAGE QUEEN Dec13 Oct26 Oct12 Sep25 Sep12 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 8.00 12% 7.20    
3  MURUMBI Mar22 Feb03 Jan06 Dec11 Oct26 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
4  KIKILOVE Nov25 Aug27 Jul22 May26 Apr29 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
5  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Dec06 Aug06 Jun18 May28 Apr14 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 1.40 35% 1.80    
6  PRETTY'N AWESOME Jul29 Jul14 Jun03 Apr22 Mar26 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-3   12/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAPID MISS TAPIT Nov25 Oct26 Aug26 Aug04 Jul20 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 4.00 ★    
2  NOBLE TESS Dec15 Nov25 Oct13     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 1.80 41% 1.40    
3  ACQUIRED TASTE Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 Jul08 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 121 8.00 32% 2.10    
4  DELIZIOSA Jul27 Jul13 Feb05 Jan14   (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 121 20.00    
5  THE MONSTER IRUS Dec06 Nov22 Oct30 Oct03 Sep20 (cascallares n)LUGO D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BACK OFF ME Dec15 Sep06 Aug17 Jul21 May26 (russo j)LOPEZ E 124 6.00    
7  MORENA DANCER Dec22 May03 Apr15 Apr01 Mar15 (marrero nesto)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 12.00    
8  THENDARA'S LOST Nov10 Oct11 Aug28 May24 May06 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 ★    
9  NO MORE FIRE Jun30 Jun04 May05 Apr26 Apr08 (nunez mauric)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 15.00    
10  FAR ABOVE Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 Aug04 Jul21 (dobber arnoud )CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00    
SCR  SUBTLE SENORITA Nov11 Oct27 Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 (dominguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 10.00    
 
TAM-4   12/31/2023 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTRELLA KIARA Dec15 Sep16       (avila c)MORELOS E 119 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SARANDA by SMART STRIKE)
2  CARINA NEBULA Nov10 Oct11 Sep02 Aug06   (motion g)SANCHEZ J 119 2.00 31% 2.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DAISY DEVINE by KAFWAIN)
3  JASSAI Oct18 Aug31 Aug24 Jul21 Jun10 (ochoa gerar)ORTIZ A 119 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CROWN D' ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  RUE CAMBON Nov12 Oct18       (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
  (by BLAME out of SONGS AND SONNETS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  WHOCOULDASKFORMO Dec01         (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 119 0.60 41% 1.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MIDNIGHT BELLE by BERNARDINI)
6  PRINCESS ALESKA Dec02 Oct25       (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 8% 11.10    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TIM'S GIRL by BROKEN VOW)
 
TAM-5   12/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 2 ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWNED JEWEL Dec08 Nov09 Oct05 Sep05   (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 6.00 ★    
2  NINJA STAR Dec08 Nov03 Oct17 Sep09 Aug16 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  FULL NELSON Nov12 Nov03 Sep29 Aug19 Jul28 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
4  GENERAL BATTLE AXE Dec08 Oct07 Sep09 Jul23 Jul01 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 13% 6.80    
5  RUDDY BUDDY Dec08 Nov19 Nov04 Oct08 Sep09 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 5.00    
6  MUGATU Dec09 Nov18 Oct12 Jul31 Jul14 (engler jeff)ALLEN D 120 4.00    
7  GRATED COCONUT Oct22 Oct14 Aug25 Aug05   (smith craig )ARROYO S 118 20.00    
 
TAM-6   12/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APOLLO CODE Aug12 Jul16       (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  PAEZ Dec08 Sep07 Aug25 Aug11   (nunez)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 5.00 ★    
3  SAVAGE GAME         (cascal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00    
4  BLAST RADIUS         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
5  IMPERIALTY Dec08 Oct15 Sep09 Aug25 Aug10 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
6  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Dec08         (vinson john )BATISTA A 119 4.50 31% 2.30    
7  MORE THAN DESTINY Dec13 Oct20       (clay pat)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SIR MI TOLEE Dec02         (bennett gerald)CEDENO CAROL 119 3.50 6% 16.20    
9  UNO UNO Dec20 Sep10       (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 109 30.00    
 
TAM-7   12/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY RED PRINCESS Dec24 Nov10       (barbazoniii)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 15.00    
2  ALGARCA Mar16 Mar02 Feb18     (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 121 12.00 7% 12.60    
3  LUCKY IN LOVE Nov17 Sep01 Jul29 Jun18 May13 (hernandez sand)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.80 8% 11.50    
4  FINAL NOTE May05 Apr19 Mar08     (miranda lu)ALONSO LUIS 121 20.00    
5  AMOR SALVAJE Dec13 Nov25 Aug17 Aug03 Jul01 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 121 3.50 8% 11.40    
6  TESHIMA Dec22 Dec17 Nov25 Oct22 Sep23 (potts wayne)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 55% 0.80    
7  D CITY GIRL Dec22 Nov03 Oct01 Jun30 Apr28 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00    
8  DESTIN FOR DRAMA Oct23 Jul04 Jun10     (hayford jenni)FUENTES MARIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  ITRIEDSELLINGHER Dec15 May05 Apr22 Apr05 Mar17 (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 114 12.00    
10  EMPIRE GIRL Dec22 Dec06 Nov29 Oct08 Sep22 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 121 15.00    
SCR  MIA'S CAT Nov03         (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 124 15.00    
SCR  MERRY GOLD Dec08 Oct27 Feb24 Jan27 Dec18 (rodriquez roderi)FERRER C 121 8.00    
 
TAM-8   12/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOODALOO Y'ALL Dec09 Nov24 Oct20 Nov06 Oct09 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 57% 0.80    
2  BELLA ROMANCE Dec15 Nov24 Jul01 May13 Apr28 (mcgoey monica)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
3  WIN OR CELLAR Nov24 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Aug31 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
4  ALLIE'S HALO Dec16 Nov29 Oct28 Sep30 Sep22 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 8.00    
5  MIGHTY GIN GIN Dec16 Nov24 Sep28 Aug31 Aug03 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00    
6  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN Dec16 Aug11 Jun18 May29 Mar17 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
7  NUCCI Dec15 Jul14 Jun17 Apr20 Jan20 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.50 8% 11.50    
8  KILLARGUE'S GIRL Dec15 Nov24 Oct06 Sep09 Jul01 (miranda lu)ALONSO LUIS 120 4.00 ★    
9  D'ORO BABY Dec15 Nov02 Oct05 Aug18 Aug04 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
10  G G'S DARK STAR Oct12 May27 Jan18 Dec24 Dec09 (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   12/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICO CHARLIE Nov24 Aug18 Jul23 Jun11 Mar15 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
2  MONGOLIAN APPLE Dec01 Oct21 Sep13 Aug27 Jul30 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 4.50 41% 1.40    
3  MORE CHANCES Sep28 Sep20 Sep02 Aug03 Apr22 (roque eli)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 15.00    
4  LAS OLAS Dec06 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 Jul28 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
5  MALIBU MIKE Dec15 Mar04 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 121 12.00 6% 15.30    
6  CORONOVA Nov24 Oct28 Sep27 Sep16 Aug16 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
7  STORMY VICTORY Oct20 Aug24 Aug03 May19 Mar18 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
8  LOOKINASSAH Sep02 Aug04 Jul02 Jun03 May04 (pompay terri)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
9  BARREL OF QUESTS Nov16 Nov02 Sep17 Jul02 Jun10 (granitz ant)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 3.00 ★    
10  THREE O ONE Dec22 Dec06 Oct11 Oct03 Sep20 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.