Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(4/7/1)-(4/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(4/6/5)-(4/3/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/8/5)-(4/6/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(4/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(4/3/5/2)-(1/10/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2/1)-(4/3/5/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/5/2)-(1/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/2)-(1/10/8)-(6/9/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/8)-(1/10/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/10/8)-(1/10/8/9)-(1/10/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/10/8)-(6/9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/10/8)-(6/9/3/2)-(3/12/14) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/2)-(6/9/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/2)-(6/9/3/2/5)-(6/9/3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/3/2)-(3/12/14) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3/2)-(3/12/14)-(9/7/3/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/12/14) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/12/14)-(3/12/14/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/12/14)-(3/12/14/5/1)-(3/12/14/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/12/14)-(9/7/3/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/12/14)-(9/7/3/4/5)-(5/9/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-8   WIN (9/7/3/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/4/5)-(9/7/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/4/5)-(9/7/3/4/5)-(9/7/3/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/3/4/5)-(5/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/10)-(5/9/7/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/9/10)-(5/9/7/10)-(5/9/7/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASH TO FINISH Dec20 Dec08 Oct07     (dobber arnou)ARROYO S 119 3.50    
2  THAT MAGIC MOMENT Dec03 Oct27       (yanez re)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  CHASENTHEONE Nov22 Oct20       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
4  MR. LEFTY Dec10 Nov22 Sep06 Aug25 Jul27 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BACK WARRIOR'S May26 May05       (vazque)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00    
6  CODE ENFORCER Dec22 Nov22 Sep03 Aug06   (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 112 2.00 47% 1.10    
7  DRINKIN N DREAMING Oct11 Sep08 Aug16     (smith g)HIRALDO JOHN 119 15.00    
 
TAM-2   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GARMENTO May28 Apr30 Feb16 Jan05 Oct16 (russo j)LOPEZ E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNCLE JOCK Nov24 Oct23 Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 6.00    
SCR  ROAD TO STARDOM Nov24 Oct07 Aug05 Jul08 May21 (rivera xavie)ARROYO S 120 3.50    
4  WORLDS ON HIGH Dec08 Nov24 Oct19 Sep27 Aug28 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 5.00 50% 1.00    
5  AWESOME FLAY Dec02 Oct21 Sep23 Aug26 Aug12 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.80    
6  ALL ABOUT LUCKY Nov24 Aug26 Jul12 Jun03 Apr15 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
7  SIMPSON BAY Nov25 Nov01 Sep29 Sep15 Jul23 (robertson m)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 4.50 15% 5.90    
 
TAM-3   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSCAR GAZE Dec01 Sep16 Sep04 Jul14 Jun25 (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 12.00    
2  WISHIN N KISSIN Dec16 Apr22 Apr08 Feb26 Feb08 (chavez a)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
SCR  DEFENDER GAL Nov24 Oct05 Sep13 Jan06 Dec04 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 118 20.00    
4  NICE BABY Dec06 Sep24 Aug26 Jul07 Jun11 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
5  ELISSA JOE Nov29 Nov03 Sep22 Sep02 Aug05 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIKI BAR Dec16 Feb16 Jan12 Dec09 Sep13 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50 27% 2.60    
7  HUMOR SENSE Nov25 Nov04 Sep30 Jul21 Jul07 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 12.00    
8  MISS EASY Dec16 Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Jul13 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 111 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-4   12/29/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY FLATTERING Sep19 Aug28 Aug10 Jul10 Jun26 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 6.00 ★    
2  CHILD PROOF Dec06 Nov22 Oct04 Sep02 Aug09 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 4.50 6% 14.70    
3  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Dec16 Nov25 Oct13 Sep17 Aug20 (puckett dwight)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 14% 5.90    
4  HEARTBURN Oct17 Sep30 Sep06 Aug11 Jul15 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 6.00 37% 1.70    
5  ROWDY DAISY Dec16 Dec06 Nov01 Sep21 Aug29 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
6  REDZILLA Dec16 Sep22 Aug31 Aug18 Aug02 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 113 20.00    
7  SHEA ON A MISSION Dec16 Dec06 Nov25 Oct18 Sep25 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 113 15.00    
8  MYSTIC DREAMS Nov29 Oct06 Sep10 Aug11 Jul15 (nunn douglas)IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00    
9  DISCO QUEEN Dec16 Nov25 Nov11 Sep17 Jul23 (pita d)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 2.50    
 
TAM-5   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOURIST STYLE Dec02 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 (mcgoey moni)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  CHICA MUSIC Dec02 Oct28 Aug18 Aug11   (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 12.00    
3  DIAMOND ROMANCE Dec02         (gurrola ge)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
SCR  KITTEN (IRE) Dec02 Sep15 Aug19     (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
5  QUEEN AIKO Nov12 Oct28 Oct15 Aug17 Jul22 (laurato mich)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
6  SUPER SNEAKY Dec02 Sep29 Sep01     (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 20.00    
SCR  GULF COAST GIRL Sep02 Jul14       (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 112 10.00    
8  PLATINUM DIVA Nov22 Sep15       (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 5.00 12% 7.70    
9  HIPATIA Dec08 Sep29       (d'angelo jo)ORTIZ A 119 5.00 ★    
10  EASTER SUNDAY GIRL Jun03         (galvan baltaz)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO SEXY Dec02 Sep15       (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00    
SCR  BINGO'S DREAM Dec22 Dec02 Sep15 Aug19 Jun03 (delgado )GALLARDO A 119 3.50    
SCR  PRINCESS FANNY Dec09 Dec02       (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 119 2.50    
SCR  LA FRESITA         (damen danie)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
 
TAM-6   12/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RULING FRONT Dec13 Nov22 Nov06 Jul31 Jul18 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 122 20.00    
2  STAY HOME Dec13 Jan25 Jan14 Dec31 May14 (nunez maurici)FUENTES MARIO 122 12.00 11% 8.20    
3  NOTACATBUTACARD Dec13 Oct04 Sep05 Aug10 Jul24 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 14% 6.30    
4  MI GUSTO ES Dec13 Aug14 Jul09 Jun15 May20 (santil)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 15.00    
5  PRIVATE NETWORK Dec01 Aug10 Jul12 Jun14 Apr24 (wasiluk )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 12.00 ★    
6  ABE HONESTLY Dec09 Nov17 Sep29 Aug26 Jul30 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
7  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Dec13 Nov22 Oct25 Oct09 Sep03 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 115 2.50    
8  ROARING RIVER Nov22 Oct13 Sep30 Sep08 Aug17 (smith robert )JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00    
9  EXPRESS PHAROAH Dec01 Oct12 Sep28 Aug30 Aug22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
 
TAM-7   12/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOCA Nov13 Aug02 May22 Mar31 Mar03 (falk jacquelin)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  NOTHINGMAKESENSE Oct20 Oct06 Sep06 Jun17 May27 (aguayo ramon)CASTANON L 121 4.50    
3  SEIVER Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul12 Jun24 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 5.00 44% 1.30    
4  AMORE MOON Nov29 Aug17 Aug02 Jul15 Apr26 (ochoa gerar)ORTIZ A 121 30.00    
5  LIGEIA Sep28 Aug31 Aug05 Jul20 Jul06 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  INFLUENTIALOUS Nov29 Sep10 Aug11 Jun30 Jun02 (wilson to)VARGAS A 118 3.00    
7  STELLARATOR Dec02 Oct27 Sep06 Aug17 Jul04 (braddy davi)FUENTES MARIO 121 12.00    
8  TONE ELISE Dec09 Nov02 Sep24 May07 Apr10 (duffy)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 8.00    
SCR  TRICK HAT Nov29 Sep06 Aug19 Jun10 May25 (engler jeff)ALLEN D 121 10.00    
SCR  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Nov22 Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 Sep09 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
11  MS BOOMBASTIC Oct28 Oct13 Sep22 Sep14 Mar03 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 121 15.00    
12  COUNTRYGIRL PRIDE Dec09 Nov24 Oct19 Sep13   (smith g)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00 33% 2.00    
13  SIGN AND SEAL Oct10 Sep26 Aug28 Jul04 Jun14 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 114 12.00    
14  UNWHIRLED Nov29 Oct03 Aug19 Jul25 May31 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   12/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRO Dec08 Oct08 Sep17 Sep08 Aug13 (laurato m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 20.00    
SCR  SWIFT DANCER Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 124 10.00    
3  FINAL VERDICT Dec08 Oct10       (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 122 10.00 12% 7.50    
4  NOBLE AND KIND Nov12 Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 Mar08 (bennett ger)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 6.00 10% 9.20    
5  ETRETAT Dec13 Nov22 Oct28 Sep29 Aug11 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 122 4.50 6% 14.50    
6  DUKE OF DOOLY Dec20 Mar31 Mar10 Feb20 Feb11 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 30.00    
7  FIRST PLACE G Nov25 Apr21 Jan19 Dec23   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 13% 7.00    
8  IM STILL BRAVE Dec08 Oct16 Oct02 Aug13   (torres pa)VARGAS A 122 8.00    
9  CITY HUMOR Oct14 Sep22 Sep02 Aug10 Jun17 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
10  SASSY B KEEN Dec08         (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00    
SCR  QUICK ACQUITTAL         (ubide max)BATISTA A 124 15.00    
12  CHOWMEIN Dec08 Nov22 Jun12 May21 Apr29 (moysey chelse)SOSA LAUREANO 115 20.00    
SCR  CHIEF HARLAN Aug06 Jun24 Sep29     (ramirez jos)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
SCR  KINGDOM'S SPIRIT Oct01 Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 (cook devin)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 30.00    
 
TAM-9   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO MIKA Dec08 May03 Apr15 Mar22 Feb17 (avila c)MORELOS E 118 15.00    
SCR  MOONSHINING Dec17 Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00    
3  SUSIE'S SAVER Dec08 Dec01 Sep14 Aug09 Jul16 (paragallo jen)JARA FERNANDO 118 15.00    
SCR  ROB THE TREASURE Dec08 Nov22 Sep15 Sep03 Aug27 (dini mike)VARGAS A 121 12.00    
5  PEACE FIRE Dec08 Nov22 Oct29 Oct14 Sep29 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  BABY LUCK Dec08 Nov22 Sep07 Aug31 Jul14 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 121 3.50    
7  ROUBAIX Dec01 Sep04 Aug10 Jun09 May05 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.80 ★    
8  MARVELOUS LADY Nov24 Mar05 Feb03 Dec08 Oct01 (rondon-mora)ORTIZ A 118 15.00    
9  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Nov25 Sep23 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 111 20.00 31% 2.30    
10  CLASSIC DREAMER Oct29 Sep01 Jul02 Apr07 Mar24 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF POWER Oct29 Aug24 Jun02 Mar29 Mar03 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00    
SCR  TIPHARAH Dec09 Oct10 Oct02 Sep06 Aug18 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 114 30.00    
SCR  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA Dec16 Nov04 Jun18 Apr26 Apr01 (knoll d)FERRER C 121 15.00    
SCR  CAPTURE THIS Dec09 Nov22 Oct14 Sep16 Sep09 (minguet ramo)MORELOS E 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.