Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - December 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/3/6)-(7/5/2/3/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(7/5/2/3/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(7/5/2/3/9)-(6/7/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (7/5/2/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/3/9)-(7/5/2/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/3/9)-(7/5/2/3/9)-(7/5/2/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/2/3/9)-(6/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/3/9)-(6/7/3/1)-(3/6/1/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/1)-(3/6/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/1)-(3/6/1/9)-(3/6/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/9)-(3/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/9)-(3/6/1/9)-(3/6/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/9)-(3/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/9)-(3/6/5/1)-(8/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1/4)-(3/6/5/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1)-(8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/1)-(8/4/1)-(9/2/3/5/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-7   WIN (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/1)-(8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/1)-(9/2/3/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-8   WIN (9/2/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/5/4)-(9/2/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/5/4)-(9/2/3/5/4)-(9/2/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISE ANCHOR Nov17 Sep09 Aug05 Jun25 Jun11 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRIVE FOR FUN Dec14 Nov24 Nov01 Jun15 May14 (degeyter ra)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 10.00    
3  RUNTODAY Dec09 Dec01 Nov22 Oct19 Aug17 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 4.00    
4  CODETOWIN Dec08 Nov18 Oct20 Jul24 Jun12 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  GOTTA GO Dec16 Nov18 Oct13 Aug12 Jun09 (henry eric)STOKES J 119 6.00    
6  PROVOST Dec08 Nov08 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 (ramirez eduardo)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.50 32% 2.20    
7  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 Aug12 Jul02 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50    
 
DED-2   12/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFRAID IM NOTCENTS Dec14 Nov09 Oct20 Sep30 Sep02 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 122 15.00    
2  JAYDYN CAT Nov17 Aug04 Jul07 Jun03   (calhoun wil)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
3  CONVALIDATION Dec14 Aug28 Jul30 Jun26   (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  RUNTOLIVE Nov03 Oct16 Sep25 Sep11   (richard chris)STOKES J 119 5.00    
5  AMERICAN TSUNAMI Dec14 Nov03 Sep10 Aug17 Jul27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  READY FOR THUNDER Dec09 Nov18 Oct18     (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 119 6.00 10% 9.20    
7  SHE'S EXTRA Oct18 Sep02 Jul24 Jul02 Jun03 (bryant a)POMPELL L 122 12.00    
 
DED-3   12/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT LIKELY Dec07 Oct28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug19 (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00    
2  SPIRITUAL MIRAGE         (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 122 10.00 11% 8.30    
3  STRONG PROSPECT         (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 122 12.00 11% 8.30    
4  PATEK Nov29         (landry ray)ROSIER R 122 8.00    
5  MAGNOLIA SPEED Dec16 Nov17 Oct21     (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 122 3.50 12% 7.70    
6  POUND OUT A DEAL Dec02 Nov10 Oct21 Jul20 Jul08 (pomier d)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00    
7  HANGIN' TUFF Dec07 Nov17       (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
8  GLAMORDINI Nov17 Oct26 Oct12     (landry allen)MAGNON H 122 15.00    
9  JUDE'S LIL ROUGE         (burkes bobby)DEL-CID MARLON 117 20.00 11% 8.30    
10  COOL RIDE Dec16 Nov03 Jun05 May11   (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 6.00    
 
DED-4   12/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHO NUFF Nov21 Jul08 Jun24 May10 Mar17 (cormier donald)ROSIER R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  DON'T LOOK ETHEL Nov08 Oct25 Aug28 Aug06 Jun25 (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 120 15.00    
3  LUNCH LADY Nov16 Oct18 Sep02 Aug13 Jun12 (zeno benjamin)ROMAN KEVIN 123 8.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  KIMBERLY'S JACKPOT Dec07         (beene linda)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
5  SWEET STORMY ELLE Dec15 Dec01 Nov21 Jan04 Dec15 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 120 12.00    
6  KETANJI Dec07 Apr29 Apr08 Jan16 Nov25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  WHERESTHECARTGIRL Nov21 Oct05 Aug25 Jul20 Dec08 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
8  FLYING I Dec14 Nov30 Nov11 Oct19 Oct20 (west henry)STOKES A 123 6.00    
9  MISS CHARGE IT Dec18 Nov21 Nov08 Sep03 Jul31 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.00    
 
DED-5   12/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIED PEPPER Nov24 Nov15 Oct26 Aug14 Jul23 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50 16% 5.30    
2  D TWO Dec01 Nov21 Nov02 Oct19 Sep04 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 119 5.00    
3  THRILL RIDE Nov24 Oct18 Aug20 Jul26 Jun17 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  I'LL RAISE YOU Nov25 Nov02 May12 Apr29 Apr08 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 20.00    
5  TARGET PRACTICE Dec07 Oct28 Oct18 Jul29 Jun25 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
6  FEROCITY Dec08 Nov18 Oct28 Sep15 Aug27 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
7  HUNTER QUICK Dec16 Nov18 Nov10 Oct18 Sep13 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
8  ANDIAMO GIACOMO Nov08 Oct12 Jul28 Jun16 May06 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 116 8.00    
9  LOUIS LE GRANDE Dec07 Nov24 Nov16 Jul27 Jul06 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-6   12/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OURPERFECTPRINCESS Nov17 Oct21 Aug06 Jul24 Jul01 (bryant a)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LIL ADEAU Nov17 Oct19 Apr20 Mar11 Feb24 (ramirez edu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 10.00    
3  TRACK SMART Dec09 Nov11 Oct14 Aug26 Aug12 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  D'WILD MUFFIN Dec16 Nov30 Oct14 Sep11 Aug27 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 6.00 ★    
5  MYFRIENDSAWINNER Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 Aug06 Jul04 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
6  SERAPE Dec09 Nov11 Oct12 Jul27 Jul15 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
7  LONESHILOHSPECIAL Dec07 May10 Dec28 Nov27 Nov04 (delany sarah)STOKES J 119 15.00    
8  SAY WHAT Nov04 Aug06 Jul04 May20 Feb24 (ward ronnie)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00    
9  SOPHIE'S PRAYER Nov25 Oct26 Jun10 May28 May13 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00    
 
DED-7   12/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Dec06 Nov18 Jul27 Jun15 May11 (magnon rylee)BIRZER E 119 10.00 8% 12.30    
2  RISKTAKER Nov18 Oct18 Sep10 Aug14 Jul23 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 119 5.00    
3  SON CARLOS Nov09 May22 Feb15 Feb02 Jan12 (dunn ray)STOKES J 119 20.00    
4  HEARTTHROB HALO Dec14 Nov24 Nov11 Oct20 Jul20 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  SEEHOSS Dec14 Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 Oct06 (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 6.00    
6  LION HEART LEGEND Nov29 Nov11 Oct07 Jun16 Apr29 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 20.00    
SCR  ADIEU ACES Dec07 Nov15 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00    
8  SHARP CHARLIE Nov29 Nov10 Oct11 Sep02 Jul24 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 1.80 55% 0.80    
 
DED-8   12/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMELIES DREAMER Oct06 Jul29 Jun17 Jun02 May03 (journet albert)STOKES A 120 20.00    
2  HIDDEN LOVE Nov30 Nov02 Oct06 Sep02 Aug05 (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
3  JANIS Nov30 Nov02 Jun18     (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  OUR BOSS LADY         (romero j)POMPELL L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHORL GIRL Dec14 Nov21 Mar23 Feb24   (roberts roy)VARGAS P 119 5.00 5% 18.90    
6  LA LOLA Jul01 Jun22 May20 May03 Aug13 (giangrosso russell)STOKES J 120 20.00    
7  TENSAS CLEAR Dec14 Nov30 Oct27 Aug28 Jul31 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
8  KATIE BUG'S LEGACY         (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 6.00    
9  GEMMY Dec14         (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 5.00 29% 2.50    
10  HOLIDAY FLOWERS Aug28 Jun19 May28     (ingram steve)BIRZER E 119 10.00    
SCR  SHE'S THE SHERIFF Dec16 Nov11 Jun29 Jun02   (garcia migue)DEL-CID MARLON 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.