Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(8/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(8/1/5/3)-(8/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/3)-(8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/3)-(8/4/2)-(6/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/2)-(8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/2)-(6/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2)-(6/8/7)-(1/7/2/8/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(1/7/2/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7)-(1/7/2/8/5)-(1/2/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/7/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/8/5)-(1/7/2/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/8/5)-(1/7/2/8/5)-(1/7/2/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/2/8/5)-(1/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/8/5)-(1/2/6/8)-(4/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8)-(1/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/8)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/8)-(4/3/5)-(7/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(7/4/6)-(5/10/9/6/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(5/10/9/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/10/9/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/9/6/8)-(5/10/9/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/9/6/8)-(5/10/9/6/8)-(5/10/9/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   12/06/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FIRST DATE Oct29 Aug25 Jun17 May26 Mar30 (hess b)CAMACHO SAMY 121 0.60 47% 1.10    
AMARULA SUN Oct20 Oct08 Aug25 Jun17 May21 (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 114 12.00    
GLADIATORA Nov11 Sep09 Jul01 Jun14 May08 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 15.00    
FONE YOUR MOM Jul01 Jun16 May28     (santillana)ALONSO LUIS 121 20.00    
EMPIRE GIRL Nov29 Oct08 Sep22 Sep02 May26 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 121 5.00 12% 7.60    
EXAGERADORA Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 Sep13 Aug13 (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
BLACK AND SILVER Oct29 Oct15 Sep30     (dobber ar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 20.00    
 
TAM-2   12/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWDY DAISY Nov01 Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 Jul20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
MONTANA JOYCE Nov25 Nov02 May25 May03 Apr16 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 20.00    
SHEA ON A MISSION Nov25 Oct18 Sep25 Aug18 Jul09 (torres r)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 7% 12.90    
COUNTLESS DREAMS Nov22 Oct21 Jul30 Apr30 Dec14 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50    
CHILD PROOF Nov22 Oct04 Sep02 Aug09 Jul14 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 1.80 14% 5.90    
R LOVE ON THE RUN Nov22 Oct19 Sep15 Aug19 Jun24 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00    
TRULY A DREAM Nov22 Oct18 Jul06 Jun21 May26 (mendieta )MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 10.00    
DANCE STEP Nov15 Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 Sep15 (simone micha)ARROYO S 118 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-3   12/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMODORE BARRY Oct25 Oct18 Sep28 Sep18 Aug23 (cooper t)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
ERLAN Nov24 Nov08 Oct31 Oct15 Sep01 (cascal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 8% 12.00    
CHIQUIRIN Nov24 Aug26 Aug06 Jun02 May05 (torres r)DIAZ S 120 4.50    
BEAST OR FAMINE Nov15 Oct25 Sep22 Aug25 Aug04 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
LITIGANT Nov22 Aug23 Aug04 Jul05 Jun15 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
SIR KAHN Nov03 Sep22 Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 (pita daniel)MORELOS E 120 12.00    
POLITICAL RIOT Aug26 Aug03 Jul22 Jun28 Jun07 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 15.00    
WAR CROSS Nov03 Oct15 Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 (gatis chris)FERRER C 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
TAM-4   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONGING FOR MINTS Sep30 Sep03 Jul14 May12 Apr28 (baker r)CENTENO E 122 12.00    
SCR  CHERIE AMOUR Oct26 Oct05       (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 10.00    
UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Oct28 Sep30 Sep17 Aug20 Jul21 (gonzalez jav)MORELOS E 122 5.00    
JULIANNA'S RUBY Apr28 Apr19 Mar01 Jan27   (corde)DOMINGUEZ G 124 8.00    
LA BEFANA Oct05 Sep08 Aug03 Jun18 Apr22 (nagle sarah)IORIO MELISSA 113 2.50    
NICE BABY Sep24 Aug26 Jul07 Jun11 Aug05 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
OPEN SKY Jun30 Apr19 Mar25 Mar01 Dec23 (ubide max)MENESES MARCOS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GATOR TWENTY FIVE         (guciardo ka)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 15.00 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-5   12/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINTENON Oct13 Sep29 Sep02 Aug23 Jun21 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
GUN RIGHT May20 Apr16 Mar10     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
SPANISH NOBLE Oct06 Jan27 Jan06     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 30.00    
SWING SAMMY Nov19 Oct28 Aug25 Aug11 Jul08 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 5.00    
PAPA FUNNY Oct26 Sep09 Aug10     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
TWO MINUTES APART Oct13 Aug23 Aug11 Jul15 Aug14 (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
BORDER PATROL Oct12 Aug31 Aug16 Jul21 Jun23 (gulick m)CASTANON L 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
NOBLE HERO         (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TUMIGA Nov12 Oct28 Jun18 Jun03 May20 (laurin ro)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 15.00    
10  AMERICAN DAY Sep28 Sep09 Aug25 Jul14 Jun11 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 124 6.00    
11  FOREVER SAUCY Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jun24 May31 (ochoa gerard)DELGADO DAVID 121 20.00    
SCR  INSTIGATING Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Apr30 Apr14 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 30.00    
SCR  MUNTALIQ Oct28 Aug20 May27 Apr16 Mar11 (joseph saffie)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00    
SCR  HEZMORETHANREADY Nov01 Sep29 Sep06 Aug18 Jul30 (house gary)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00    
 
TAM-6   12/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTY THE SOLDIER Nov25 Aug26 Aug06 Jun30 May05 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
VILLAGE PREACHER Nov22 Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
TUCKER ROAD Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 Sep16 Aug02 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 8.00    
SCR  STEEL HAWK Nov22 Oct03 Sep17 May26 Apr30 (marioth brand)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00    
BOLD MEDICATION Nov22 Oct28 Oct14 Dec09 Nov23 (potts wayne)JARA FERNANDO 121 5.00    
DIAL HIM UP Nov22 Nov11 Oct06 Sep27 Sep13 (mendieta ale)ARROYO S 121 8.00 13% 7.00    
IL MALANDRINO Nov24 Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 Jul14 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
SIDNEY'S BID Nov22 Nov04 Sep27 Aug30 Aug05 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHIPWRECK Nov22 Jun11 May13 Apr30 Mar03 (knoll d)FERRER C 121 15.00    
 
TAM-7   12/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CORONOVA Nov24 Oct28 Sep27 Sep16 Aug16 (sillaman richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 6.00    
BOLD ADVANCE Nov04 Oct06 Aug27 Aug11 Jul15 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00    
DARK AND FITZY Nov04 Oct12 Sep01 Aug19 Aug04 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
KINGFISH STEVENS Nov18 Sep17 Aug10 Jul13 Jul01 (paragallo)VARGAS A 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
WRECKING BALL Nov09 Oct03 Sep09 Aug16 Jul08 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 118 3.50 9% 10.10    
SCR  THIRD MOON Oct08 Sep13 Jun11 May19 Apr08 (marioth brand)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
LAS OLAS Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 Jul28 Oct23 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
LEMONADEATTHELATCH Oct19 Oct06 Sep24 Sep02 Aug17 (mendieta al)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 20.00    
THREE O ONE Oct11 Oct03 Sep20 Sep04 Aug07 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 121 20.00    
 
TAM-8   12/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CHICA LATERAL Aug27 Jul15 Jul02 Feb26   (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 3.00    
LIKING IT TWISTED Oct14 Sep21 Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
SCR  LINAHASPECSHOES Nov09 Oct19 Sep15 Sep02 Aug12 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
LI'L MISS CAMILLE Aug06 Jun18 May28 Apr14 Feb24 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
TRUE ATKA Nov29 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
A SMILE A DAY Sep11 Aug17 Jun15 Jun02 May20 (mendieta al)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SOLAIR Oct28 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul07 (richards )MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 2.50 50% 1.00    
PERFORMANCEANXIETY Nov03 Oct25 Oct06 Aug25 Aug18 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 120 6.00    
 
TAM-9   12/06/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MELODY Aug17 Jul12 Jun21 Mar06 Feb17 (clay pat)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
LADY NOY Oct13 Sep08 Aug24 Aug31 Aug22 (parra hernan)MORELOS E 120 30.00    
NOEL'S ANGEL Oct06 Sep13 Sep02 Jul30 Jul12 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 10.00    
MOANAS POWER Nov25 Oct28 Sep30 Sep06 Aug18 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
SOL HOPE Oct20 Sep30 Aug18 Jul13 Feb10 (lightner)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
INSATIABLE Aug20 Jul22 Jul02 Jun04 Dec31 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 9% 9.60    
BAHAMIAN MOON Nov12 Oct06 Sep17 Aug12 Jul27 (smith g)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
WILD ARMY BRAT Oct06 Aug04 Jun24 May25 Sep02 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 15.00 7% 14.20    
COVENANT LADY Oct26 Sep12 Aug23 Jul19 Jul07 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
10  TRACY ANN'S LEGACY Aug13 Jul15 May20 Apr19 Feb18 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  LOVIN MAKES CENTS Nov19 Oct06 Sep17 Sep02 Aug04 (mckathan kevi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00    
SCR  JUST MERCY Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 Apr29 Jan29 (preudhomm)HERRERA R 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.