Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (9/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/3)-(9/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/3)-(9/6/1/3)-(9/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/6/1/3)-(2/7/1/3)-(2/3/9/10/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/3)-(2/3/9/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/3)-(2/3/9/10/7)-(5/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (2/3/9/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/10/7)-(2/3/9/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/10/7)-(2/3/9/10/7)-(2/3/9/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/9/10/7)-(5/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9/10/7)-(5/4/7)-(1/5/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(1/5/7/2)-(7/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (1/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/2)-(7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/2)-(7/6/5)-(6/3/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-8   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/5)-(8/4/5)-(8/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYOU BEAUX Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep04 Aug13 (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 13% 6.50    
2  MORE LIKE IT Nov11 Oct19 Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 (cormier houston)POMPELL L 119 20.00    
3  CHICAGO CHROME Nov18 Oct28 Sep24 Sep16 Sep03 (gonzalez v)BIRZER E 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WESLEYAN Nov18 Oct25 Sep11 Aug26 Aug12 (johnson hen)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.50    
SCR  TRAFFIC CONTROL Nov18 Nov03 Oct21 Sep23 Sep05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 2.50    
6  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Nov18 Jul27 Jun15 May11 Apr14 (ramirez edu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 6.00 25% 2.90    
7  KAHAAL Nov15 Oct18 Jul21 Jun22 Jun03 (roberts kenneth)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
8  DOUBLE TRAP Nov18 Oct20 Sep11 Jul02 Jun04 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 121 12.00    
9  ROYAL CONSORT Nov15 Aug03 Apr18 Feb28 Jan27 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
10  RAP ARTIST Nov18 Aug04 May29 May06 Mar23 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 118 15.00    
 
DED-2   12/06/2023 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XCARET Nov18 Nov03 Oct11 Sep01 Aug11 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 12% 7.40    
2  KATIE'S KARAT Nov25 Nov03 Oct11 Sep05 Aug03 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 123 6.00 36% 1.80    
3  GLANCE Nov17 Oct28 Oct13 Aug03 Jun16 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 119 10.00 11% 7.90    
4  BAR TAP Nov25 Nov01 Sep11 Aug05 May27 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 119 9.00    
5  GIRL PRO Nov03 Oct13 Sep11 Sep01 Jul29 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 121 20.00    
6  SEAWARD Nov18 Oct25 Oct03 Sep14 Aug16 (hernandez jav)VARGAS P 119 2.50    
7  SHESAHEATWAVE Nov17 Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul03 (bullene michael)POMPELL L 119 5.00 16% 5.30    
8  EL CALIENTE LADY Nov16 Nov03 Sep09 Aug12 Jul03 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
9  CASHEW Nov03 Oct13 Aug03 Jul06 Jun02 (gelner j)NEGRON LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  A WISH FOR MADELYN Nov18 Nov02 Oct11 Jun25 Apr15 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 8.00    
 
DED-3   12/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NALIYA MARIE         (delahoussaye )LOZADA CARLOS 123 5.00    
2  CHACHA TO CATALINA Nov11 Sep02 Aug05     (arey anthon)MELANCON JANSEN 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
3  E R'S MIREYA Nov11 Oct19 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 123 4.50 21% 3.90    
4  SHARE THE DOE Oct19 Sep10 Aug28 Aug12 Mar18 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 12.00    
5  GLORIOUS GEARS Nov09 Jul13 Oct12 Aug26   (mason shane)FUSILIER C 123 15.00    
6  TIZ A BREAKUP Aug12 Jun17 Aug04     (bernard john)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
7  DON'T BLINK TWICE Nov09 Oct19 Aug28 Jul23 Jun11 (lara jorge)DELCID MARLON 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  HAIRTRIGGER HEART Jul22 Dec19 Aug11 Jul27 Jun25 (zenon charles)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
9  JAX'S STARRY BRIDE Oct19 Jun23 May12     (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 9% 9.90    
10  LOOKIN SPECIAL         (walker phillip)POMPELL L 122 10.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  LONG SHOT LOUISE Nov21 Sep10 Aug28 Jul09 Jun04 (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 122 6.00    
SCR  WHORL GIRL Nov21 Mar23 Feb24     (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50    
 
DED-4   12/06/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMS APRIORITY Aug10 Apr26 Apr07 Feb18 Jan21 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 119 12.00    
2  BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Nov09 Oct14 Jul07 May18 May05 (toups brent)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
3  MEGANS MILLIONS Nov25 Oct28 Jul31 Feb10 Jan19 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 10.00    
4  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Nov15 Jul29 Jun23 May11 Apr15 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
5  DIXIE FARMER Nov03 Sep09 Jul29 Jun24 Jun10 (amoss m)THORNTON G 118 1.40 35% 1.90    
6  BETISON Oct21 Jul27 May27 Apr12 Feb22 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
7  MUCHMORETHANREADY Nov24 Oct12 Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
DED-5   12/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTS OF TIME Oct13 Aug04 Jun10 May26 Apr28 (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  PREACHER Sep11 Aug12 Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  WAITIN' ON A WOMAN Aug03 Jun22 May26 Apr14 Feb11 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 116 15.00    
4  SAILOR CHOW Sep18 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (guillory henry )ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00    
5  GREY ROGUE Oct27 Oct22 Oct06 Aug13 Jul31 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 119 8.00 28% 2.50    
6  DAAHERS BULLY Nov11 Oct27 Oct07 Sep29 Aug13 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50    
7  HULEN Oct22 Sep30 Sep04 Jul29 Jul04 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 6% 16.60    
8  MCLEAN May14 Jan27 Nov03 Sep20 Aug16 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 116 10.00    
SCR  FAREWELL TIME Oct18 Sep02 Aug13 Jun30 May12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 4.50    
10  MUCHO MARVIN Nov10 Oct07 Aug13 Aug04 Jul14 (courville ric)VARGAS P 116 15.00    
 
DED-6   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY ACT Oct12 Jul07 Jun08 May20 May11 (segura kearney)STOKES J 122 10.00    
2  SABERFIGHT Nov17 Jul28 Jul08 Jun10 Jun01 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 123 8.00    
3  GRAEME'S DEAL May08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb28 Dec19 (johnson b)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
SCR  COUSIN VICKIE Sep11 Aug20 Aug07 Jul03 May29 (de al)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
5  JUST A WIN Nov17 Nov08 Oct27 Sep05 Aug11 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
6  THAT IS AWESOME Nov16 Oct25 Jul13 Jul04 Jun11 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 25% 3.00    
7  MOR KISSES Nov17 Oct12 Aug20 Jul06 May29 (delany sarah)DELCID MARLON 117 3.50 33% 2.00    
8  AUNT JANA Jul21 Jul01 Jun08 May20 Apr28 (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 123 8.00    
 
DED-7   12/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UXMAL Nov21 Oct25 Oct11 Sep25 Sep10 (guillory he)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 8.00    
2  DONEGAL FACTOR Nov18 Oct25 May25 Feb19 Nov26 (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 4.50    
3  SEIZE THE TREASURE Nov17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 Aug07 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
4  MAZING MARK Nov21 Oct14 Sep03 Jul29 Jul07 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 118 5.00    
5  ELUSIVE D'ORO Oct27 Jul31 Jun25 Jun05 May20 (fogarty desmo)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOSQUITO FLEET Nov24 Oct26 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  KID SHELLEEN Nov18 Oct25 Oct11 Sep09 Aug28 (borel renay)BOREL H 119 6.00 15% 5.50    
8  FLYING HOUDINI Sep20 Sep07 Aug11 Jul26 Jul13 (west henry)STOKES A 119 20.00    
9  MIDNIGHT RULES Nov17 Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 20.00    
 
DED-8   12/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CARRY THE FLAG Nov24         (courville rick)THORNTON G 122 20.00    
2  SECRET RIDDLES         (evans justin)BIRZER E 122 10.00    
3  YES JACK Nov18 Oct12 Sep12 Aug29 Aug12 (turner patti)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00    
4  RITE ON SAM Nov24 Oct12 Jul28     (noel dane)VARGAS P 122 3.50 ★    
5  WINMOR WENDY         (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR. SHORTY Nov15 Oct20 Sep12 Aug29 Jul04 (johnson hen)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
7  LATE NIGHT CRUISER Nov02 Oct07 Sep13     (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 122 10.00    
8  I NITA WARRIOR Nov18 Oct26 Aug19 Jul20   (reeves a)FUSILIER C 119 5.00 6% 16.70    
9  LEGENDARY DRAGON Nov15         (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 12.00    
10  THREE GOLD PIECES         (silva walter)POMPELL L 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.