Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (4/9/8/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/8/6/7)-(4/9/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/8/6/7)-(4/9/8/6/7)-(4/9/8/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/8/6/7)-(5/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/9/8/6/7)-(5/6/4)-(3/9/1/6/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/9/1/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(3/9/1/6/7)-(7/1/2/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (3/9/1/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/1/6/7)-(3/9/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/1/6/7)-(3/9/1/6/7)-(3/9/1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/1/6/7)-(7/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/1/6/7)-(7/1/2/9)-(6/7/1/8/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-4   WIN (7/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/9)-(7/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/9)-(7/1/2/9)-(7/1/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/9)-(6/7/1/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/9)-(6/7/1/8/5)-(10/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-5   WIN (6/7/1/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/8/5)-(6/7/1/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/8/5)-(6/7/1/8/5)-(6/7/1/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/1/8/5)-(10/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/8/5)-(10/2)-(2/1/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-6   WIN (10/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/2)-(10/9/4/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/2)-(10/9/4/2/7)-(10/9/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2)-(2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/2)-(2/1/8)-(5/1/7/9/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-7   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/8)-(5/1/7/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(5/1/7/9/8)-(1/2/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/1/7/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/9/8)-(5/1/7/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/9/8)-(5/1/7/9/8)-(5/1/7/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/7/9/8)-(1/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (1/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/8/4)-(1/2/3/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAY CAT STRUT Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 May05   (averett ronnie)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00    
2  PETEY Jul29 Jun23 Feb11 Jan20 Dec10 (larrosa a)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 15.00    
3  REGINALD AURELIUS Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 May05   (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 117 15.00    
4  KNIGHT OF HONOR Oct07 Sep05 Aug14 Jun10 Feb09 (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  ST JOE Oct27 Aug11 Jul07 Jun09 May26 (stemmans do)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00    
6  RAZZ Oct27 Aug11 Jul29 Jul06 Jun15 (prejean raym)BARRERA J 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
7  THA ILLEST DEAL Nov04 Aug11 Jun02 Apr29 Feb23 (west henry)STOKES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  FLASH FREDDIE Nov04 Sep04 Aug13 Jul02 May06 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
9  KIT KAT KIDD Nov01 Oct11 Jul29 Jun02 May18 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00 22% 3.60    
10  CHECKULATER Jul13 May26 May10 Apr14 Mar12 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00    
SCR  DIAL UNCLE JOEY Nov04 Sep04 Aug11 Jul22 Jul06 (ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 122 3.50    
 
DED-2   11/22/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY Nov11 Oct14 Sep10 Aug21 Aug04 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 121 8.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
2  C C LLAM Nov02 Aug26 Aug04 Jun03 May13 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of FLASHY PRODUCT by RUN PRODUCTION)
3  PLUM WINE Oct26 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25   (johnson henry)VARGAS P 121 5.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MS. JEAN ELIZABETH by OLD FASHIONED)
4  COAL DANCER Oct27 Oct11 Aug04     (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DANCE TILL TWO by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
5  TIFFANY'S FERRARI Oct14         (johnson hen)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of LAWYER TIFFANY by PURE PRIZE)
6  STEEL GUITAR Oct27         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 4.50 15% 5.90    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of REDREAMIT by TAPIT)
7  COZY COURTNEY Oct14         (ward ronnie)FUSILIER C 121 8.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of RULERSSHINYFUTURE by RULER'S COURT)
 
DED-3   11/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY CAT JAKE Apr13 Feb28 Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 (nelson r)POMPELL L 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
2  HOPESHECANRUN Nov02         (west henry)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00    
3  FISHIN WITH PETE Nov10 Oct08 Aug19     (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  BELLAMY BROTHER May13         (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
5  CHIPEEE Aug11 Jul27 Jun30 May10 Apr13 (prejean raym)BARRERA J 117 6.00    
6  TRUVY'S BANDIT Nov08 Oct18 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 (averett ronni)DELCID MARLON 117 6.00 9% 10.80    
7  LITTLE WARRIOR         (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00 8% 11.10    
8  FLASH OF RAIN Nov04 Oct12 Jul28 Jul07 Apr08 (charles jon)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 12.00    
9  I'M A NIGHT TRAIN Nov02 Oct12 Jul15     (noel dane)VARGAS P 122 6.00 18% 4.70    
10  BOSS MAN ZONG Oct26 Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 May18 (dison m)TORRES HUGO 123 20.00    
SCR  DEE'S LEGS Nov10 Jun24 Feb25     (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
SCR  HALF CRAZY Nov10 Oct07 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 (boxie joseph )VARGAS P 122 8.00    
 
DED-4   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME CAJUN Oct27 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 (coats t)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
2  DIRECTIONAL Nov09 Aug27 Aug07 Jul30 Jul03 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  SOULOLOGY Feb28 Jan20 Dec16 Nov17 Oct26 (segura kearney)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
4  ANGOLA VACATION Nov08 Oct11 Aug29 Aug05 Jul14 (zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
5  MULETRAIN Oct27 Oct06 Sep04 Jul29 Jun15 (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 120 20.00    
SCR  DEPUTY KNIGHT Sep12 Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 Jun23 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 123 20.00    
7  GOD'S GOLD Nov09 Oct20 Sep12 Aug13 Jul29 (martin jame)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  HULLINAHURRY Nov09 Oct20 Aug10 Jul31 Mar26 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 122 6.00    
9  EL JEFE COBB Nov10 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  LITTLE JONY Nov11 Sep04 Jul31 Jun19 Mar17 (rangel raul)BARRERA J 117 12.00    
 
DED-5   11/22/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARRANCA Nov08 Oct19 Jun24 Jun01 Aug17 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 120 8.00 6% 16.70    
2  KELLYS THE BOSS Oct28 Aug19 Jan26 Dec30 Dec09 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 114 10.00    
3  MIDNIGHT TRIP Oct07 Aug21 Jul09 Jun24 May26 (zeno benjam)MORALES ROBERTO 116 6.00    
4  GLORY TO ME Feb17 Feb03 Jan13 Jan04 Dec16 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 5.00    
5  CAJUN ACES Oct21 Sep04 Aug20 Jul17 Jun10 (wilson melt)MELANCON JANSEN 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MSCHITCHATTOUR Oct25 Oct14 Aug28 Aug12 Jul14 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 58% 0.70    
7  SENSE OF FLURRY Oct28 Oct14 Aug13 Jul26 Jul01 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 8% 11.90    
8  US SECOND CUTE PIE Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 May26 Feb28 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  LOVIN LIVIN Oct14 Aug21 Jul09 Mar05 Feb03 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00    
10  BEYOND THE HYPE Oct07 Aug26 Jun19 Jun05 Feb11 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
 
DED-6   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JESUIT Nov04 Sep03 Aug26 Jun04 May06 (garza e)STOKES A 123 20.00    
2  F J'S FLACO Oct11 Jul29 Jul15 May25 Apr08 (maturin chad)POMPELL L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROLL ON OUT Nov04 Aug10 Jun23 Jun01 May13 (knudsen kent)MAGNON H 122 15.00    
4  GTUONE BUCK Jun26 Jun04 May14 Mar24 Mar05 (larrosa a)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00 ★    
5  OUT MAKING TREBLE Nov01 Oct11 Sep03 Aug10 Jun30 (mason shane)FUSILIER C 123 12.00    
6  CAPTAINS COVE Oct27 Jul02 Jun22 Jun10 Jun02 (butler w)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.50    
7  PLENTY OF CENTS Nov09 Oct11 Aug27 Aug04 Jul13 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 123 6.00 ★    
8  HAIL THE CAT Nov01 Sep12 Aug28 Aug05   (gomez a)NEGRON LUIS 119 20.00    
9  MORO FLYBOY Oct27 Oct06 Sep03 Feb03 Jan21 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 123 3.50 ★    
10  NAPOLEONIC CODE Nov11 Jul03 Jun25 Apr17 Mar29 (evans justin)BIRZER E 122 2.50 72% 0.40    
SCR  BUD WON Nov11 Oct25 Oct11 Sep02 Aug03 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 122 5.00    
 
DED-7   11/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENT CITY Nov08 Oct13 Sep02 Jul01 Mar30 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  STRAIGHTEN UP Aug25 Jul23 Jul09 Oct02 Sep09 (evans justi)MELANCON JANSEN 118 1.80 49% 1.00    
SCR  LORD BRANCUSI Jan30 Nov20 Jul17 Jun04 Apr29 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00    
4  YO DAWG Nov03 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  MOTAWAAFEQ Oct26 Oct06 Sep09 Jul29 Jun16 (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 20.00    
6  FAHAN Nov10 Jul01 May27 May12 Jul15 (noel dane)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
7  HALO MOON Nov03 Sep08 Jul22 Jul09 May29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 15.00    
8  RUNTODAY Oct19 Aug17 Jul16 Apr28 Nov05 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00 12% 7.70    
9  LULOS Oct26 Jun16 May26 Oct14 Aug25 (sturrock tom)MAGNON H 119 15.00    
 
DED-8   11/22/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LACIE BE GOOD Oct25 Aug04 Jun10 May20 Oct02 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.00 9% 10.00    
2  MISS LONELYHEARTS Oct19 Aug04 Jun24 Apr19 Feb28 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 8.00    
3  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Oct12 Sep16 Aug30 Jul29 Jul03 (richard chris)BIRZER E 118 12.00    
4  ROSES ARE GRAY Nov03 Aug26 Jul08 Jun10 May29 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 118 20.00    
5  FORGOTTEN FORTUNE Oct19 Oct07 Sep04 Aug12 Jul08 (segura kear)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.50 57% 0.80    
6  PAINTBRUSH Sep04 Jul17 Jul03 Jun03 Apr23 (garza e)STOKES A 119 20.00    
7  RAIN Oct28 Aug27 Jul15 Jun09 May26 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 114 6.00 6% 16.10    
8  WESTERN DREAM Oct28 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  PUGLIA Oct14 Sep03 Jul15 May27 May18 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  CZAR'S BALLERINA Sep03 Jul22 Jun29 May25 Apr22 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 116 6.00    
SCR  ELI'S GIRL Oct12 Sep22 Sep02 Aug13 Jun25 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 119 12.00    
 
DED-9   11/22/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURTS SO BAD Oct19 Aug13 Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
2  TENSAS ALL OURS Sep02 Aug04 Jul22 Jun22 May18 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 115 5.00 30% 2.30    
3  COOLCROSS Nov02 Oct13 Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.50 12% 7.00    
4  TAPALIST Nov01 Oct18       (ladner bill)MORALES ROBERTO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  GRAHAM 'S CRUISER Nov08 Oct20 Sep05 Jul28 Jul13 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 116 15.00    
6  MEAN CRUISER Oct25 Jul06 Jun01 May12 Apr14 (segura kearney)NEGRON LUIS 116 20.00    
7  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Nov01 Oct13 Sep10 Jun19 May30 (romero alvi)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 6.00    
8  GETCHA Nov01 Jul01 Jun22 Jun02 Mar10 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00 ★    
9  TEXAS TITAN Oct18 Sep03 Aug07 Jun10 May07 (payne danny )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
10  JOEBOY Aug21 Jul31 May27 May15 Feb18 (beavin judy)POMPELL L 116 20.00    
SCR  APPLEWOOD Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 Aug10 Jul06 (matthieu ronald )FUSILIER C 119 12.00    
SCR  BIRTHDAY PARTY Nov09 Oct27 Dec28 Oct22 Jul20 (west henry)STOKES A 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.