Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (7/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/1/3)-(6/3/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/4)-(1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/4)-(1/7/5)-(4/1/3/8) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(4/1/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/3/8)-(1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/9/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/9/5)-(7/8/9/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5)-(3/5/4/6)-(10/7/9) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (3/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/4/6)-(10/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (10/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/7/9)-(10/7/1/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (10/7/9)-(10/7/1/9)-(10/7/1/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DUQUE Oct02 Sep17 Aug28 Aug14 Aug01 (reffner b)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00 12% 7.00    
2  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Sep13 Sep06 Aug09 Jul17 Jun25 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 120 10.00    
3  BRAVE HILARIO Sep17 Sep04 Mar11 Feb11 Feb03 (stansbury julie)LEON A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIRE KING Oct09 Sep15 Aug20 Aug04 May21 (inirio ca)HERNANDEZ H 118 1.40    
5  KALINBA Oct03 Sep20 Aug25 Jul21 Jul14 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 4.00    
6  NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Aug30 Aug01 Jul13 Jun15 May25 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 29% 2.50    
7  CAJUN BAYOU Oct02 Sep19 Sep06 Aug20 Jul30 (robillard j)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.50 33% 2.10    
8  MACHO CASH Sep04 Aug22 Aug06 Jul10 Jun04 (sipp bu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00    
 
MNR-2   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENIUS Sep27 Sep11 Sep04 Aug04 Jul20 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 8.00    
2  KAZTHAROS Oct09 Sep24 Sep06 Aug27 Aug13 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 10% 9.20    
3  HENDRIX Oct03 Sep20 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 (alvarez nery)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  LIGHTNING JACK Oct02 Sep17 Jul31 Jul21 Jun20 (kocijan)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BASSETT Sep24 Sep11 Aug28 Jul31 Jun10 (viands gr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 30.00    
6  CRACK THE MOON Sep27 Aug13 Jul25 Jul05 Jun20 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  VENICE BEACH Oct03 Sep16 Aug23 Jul29 Jun29 (esquiv)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50    
8  AMES MISTER Sep27 Oct27 Sep13 Aug25 Jul28 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
 
MNR-3   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL MR MATT Sep25 Sep14 Nov24 Oct18 Sep27 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.60 34% 1.90    
2  AMERICAINAED Aug03 Jun18 Nov13 Oct25 Oct10 (sipp k)LEON A 120 15.00    
3  FOGGY ALBION Oct06 Sep25 Sep04 Aug28 Aug13 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 120 2.50    
4  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Oct03 Sep25 Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 (gray )MONSERRATE A 120 20.00    
5  CHASING A PAYDAY Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Aug06 Jul24 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.50 10% 8.60    
6  BLACK BULL Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Aug02 (knowles lucin)NELSON TYRONE 120 20.00    
7  RONITHELIMODRIVER Sep06 Aug31 Aug20 Jul31 Jul07 (andrade h)HERNANDEZ H 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
 
MNR-4   10/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNKY ZOEY Sep26 Sep14 Aug16 Jul29 Jul13 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  MOONLIGHT TANGO Sep11 Aug28 Aug01 Jul02 Jun11 (crago ter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00    
3  DON'T LOOK UP Sep24 Sep12 Aug01 Jul16 Jul03 (sipp k)LEON A 118 6.00 6% 16.40    
4  LADY OCEAN Sep20 Sep05 Aug21 Mar26 Mar01 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  SAINT FOXY Sep26 Aug25 Aug16 Aug08 Jul26 (reffner b)CCAMAQUE M 118 12.00    
6  MARPIN Sep24 Aug30 Aug16 Jul16 Jun16 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 10.00    
7  AMERICA'S DREAM Sep24 Sep11 Aug09     (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 4.50    
8  MAYSVILLE MISS Sep26 Aug08 Jul26 Jul16 Jul02 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SISTER JOANN Oct02 Aug30 Aug21 Jul27 Jul14 (hess jacob )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00    
10  LITTLE FOUR Sep11 Aug16 Aug09 Jul30 Jan12 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
SCR  BLACK LICORICE         (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 2.50    
 
MNR-5   10/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWEAQUED Jul05 May23 Mar26 Feb09 Jan15 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  DONTLOSETHATNUMBER Aug23 Mar14 Feb14 Dec12 Nov30 (erwin a)BRAVO MISAEL 113 15.00    
3  DE PURA SANGRE Oct01 Aug23 Aug08 Jul17 Oct12 (poole jami )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00    
4  QUEEN OF CLASS Oct01 Sep24 Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.00    
5  MEDWAY QUEEN Sep06 Aug13 Jul26 Jul06 Jun29 (delong ben)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PASSINGTHEMISTERY Oct04 Sep24 Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 (rivera a)AVILES YAN 121 2.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  MISS MARPLE Oct03 Sep05 Aug07 Nov22 Nov10 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 4.00    
 
MNR-6   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGSTON TIME Sep27 Sep05 Jul11 Jun13 May31 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
2  CRICKET WEST Oct03 Aug30 Aug17 Jul29 Jul05 (morzan javier)CEDILLO MAURO 115 30.00    
3  MAMBO KITTEN Sep24 Sep10 Sep02 Aug19 Jul06 (andrad)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
4  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO Aug30 May25 May02 Jan04 Oct26 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
5  MAOILIN Oct04 Aug22 Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CARLIE Q BLUE Aug27 Jul26 Nov02 Sep28 Aug16 (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.00    
7  SASSY JUSTICE Oct03 Sep18 Aug30 Jul16 Jun20 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 123 3.50 69% 0.50    
8  VINTAGE SPARKLE Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 Jul19 Jul05 (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 7% 13.60    
9  PETTIGO GIRL Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul19 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 120 5.00 ★    
 
MNR-7   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERLAN Sep01 Aug19 Aug03 Jul14 Jun30 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 20.00    
2  CHOCO ROCO Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug16 Aug02 (alamo migue)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00    
3  FAT DADDY Sep26 Sep12 Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
4  LATIN SPICE Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 Jul24 Jul12 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 6% 15.20    
5  OBIWAN Aug29 Aug06 Jul24 Jul10 Jun05 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  HIPPODROME Oct02 Jun24 Jun06 May22 Nov09 (ginter )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  AMICUS BRIEF Sep25 Sep10 Aug23 Jul26 Jul11 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 123 10.00    
8  CONFESSOR Oct01 May20 Apr16 Mar10 Feb15 (poole a)AVILES YAN 120 5.00    
9  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Oct02 Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 Aug04 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 120 4.00    
 
MNR-8   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KESTENNA (GB) Jul21 Jun23 Apr30 Mar26 Feb25 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 ★    
2  GORILLA GIRL Oct02 Sep04 Jun24 May25 May12 (fletcher kev)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  TOP MULE Sep19 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 Nov06 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 10.00    
4  TOO CROWDED Oct02 Aug30 Aug22 Aug01 May29 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 20.00    
SCR  AYY LADIES Sep25 Sep07 Aug19 Apr30 Apr11 (west m)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 ★    
6  SECRET ARCHANGEL Sep24 Aug21 Aug01 Sep02   (babcock)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
7  TEQUILA SUNSET Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Aug08 (van den)CEDILLO MAURO 115 5.00 14% 6.20    
8  GRAND VENUS Sep11 Sep04 Aug21 Aug06 Jul19 (gilbert julia)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00    
9  AWESOME INCENTIVE Sep27 Mar30 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  TIME FOR CUPID Sep27 Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 Jul20 (norris st)HERNANDEZ H 120 4.50 60% 0.70    
11  MARKET OF STOCKS Oct07 Sep20 Sep08 Aug29 Aug10 (rodak geraldine)PAUCAR E 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.