Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-3   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (4/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-7   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (8/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O K BABY Jun10 May16 Feb27 Oct26 Sep26 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAY BEAU Jul03 Jun21 Jun12 May29 May20 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00    
3  DREAM TO WIN Jul03 Jun14 May23 May10 Apr26 (brown glenroy)HALDAR J 119 3.50    
4  TIME FOR CUPID Jul03 Jun10 May23 May10 Apr10 (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  MITESSE Jul03 May30 May10 Mar26 Mar02 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
6  EASTER PRIDE Jun26 Jun13 May11 Apr26 Apr15 (schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY Jun21 Apr10 Mar07 Feb14 Jan28 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
2  FIONA Jun21 May31 May06 Apr05 Feb20 (erdel jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  ROSE KNOWS Jun21 Jan28 Jan09 Dec13 Nov14 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  TRULY A DREAM Jul06 Jun21 May26 May06 Apr15 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 119 5.00 14% 5.90    
5  SILENCING Jul11 Jun13 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 2.00    
6  LEWD Jun21 Jun06 May30 Dec01 Nov02 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50    
 
TDN-3   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTISSIMO Jun02 May15 Nov21 Oct29 Oct04 (zielinski)PILARES P 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
2  MOBIL SOLUTION Jun24 May06 Dec03 Sep22 Sep07 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 6.00    
3  HOPPY GILMORE Jun24 Aug30 Aug09 Jul21 Jul05 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00    
4  TO WIN Jun27 Jun02 May10 Apr12 Apr04 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TANTRUM Jun27 Jun02 May10 Apr15 Oct29 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
6  MORESTRIDE Jun27 Jun02 May15 May02 Nov21 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  I WANNA WIN Jun27 Jun06 May10 Oct29 Sep27 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISE YOU ONE Jul05         (mavec kathl)GONZALES J 118 15.00    
SCR  AGNELLO CITY Jun12 May25       (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
3  WHY KENNY WHY Jul05 Jun14 May25 May10 Apr24 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00    
4  COLOR BEARER Jul05 Jun14 May25     (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  NOSEY POWER Jul05 Jun14 Apr24 Apr12 Mar29 (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
6  MY HOMBRE Jul05 Jun19 May25 May10 Apr24 (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
7  MY TICKET Jul05 Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 Jan24 (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
8  MOMENT IN THE DARK         (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 19% 4.20    
9  MARQUITOS M         (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 6% 14.80    
 
TDN-5   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUNVEGAN DOLL Jun19 May09 Apr26 Mar15 Feb20 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
2  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jun19 May31 Sep27 Aug25 Jul26 (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SECRET FIX Jun27 May22 Mar24 Mar10 Jan29 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  RED HOT LASS Jun24 Jun19 May31 May09 Mar02 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
5  PURITY May15 Apr27 Mar27 Nov21 Sep07 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
6  MARKET SUCCESS Jun24 Jun07 May09 Oct29 Oct11 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 121 3.00    
 
TDN-6   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUFF ATTACK Jul03 Jun10 May20 Mar24 Feb19 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
2  K P SILVER BULLET Jul03 Jun15 May30 May15 Apr27 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  UNCAPTURED PULSE Jul11 Mar28 Mar14 Jan02 Dec20 (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 20% 4.10    
4  DIAMONDS ENJOY Jun24 May29 May01 Mar02 Feb07 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 10.00 6% 14.70    
5  EXONERATED PREZ Jun12 May31 May03 Mar08 Feb20 (genovese )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
6  VALIANT THOR Jul11 Nov27 Nov07 Oct24 Oct16 (cady khalil)TOLEDO S 119 3.50    
7  PAT DADDY Jun26 Jun10 May15 Apr15 Mar28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
TDN-7   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLY (NZ) May10 Apr11 Mar13 Jan28 Dec22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 4.50 9% 9.90    
2  SURF AND TURF Jun26 Jun06 May10 Apr16 Oct10 (londono j)BRACHO A 123 10.00    
3  FRANCO (MEX) Jun26 Jun05 Dec13 Dec06 Nov23 (shanyfelt valer)TOLEDO S 123 6.00    
4  SO DIALED IN Jul10 Jun26 May30 May08 Apr15 (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
5  BEER CHASER May30 Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Jan28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50    
6  STRIKE APPEAL Sep07 May24 Apr01 Mar09 Jan29 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
TDN-8   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONDUTTORE Jun10 May20 May03 Mar22 Mar09 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00    
SCR  LITTLE EMPIRE Jul11 May25 Dec08 Oct05 Aug24 (reust megan)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00    
3  TIPARILLO Dec11 Nov28 Nov06 Oct22 Oct10 (buck)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 7% 12.80    
4  LADY GIULIANA Jul11 Jun20 May25 May10 Apr25 (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 115 5.00    
5  WHAT KNOT Jun10 May03 Mar18 Feb19 Dec30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 20.00 11% 8.50    
6  WELLOILEDCAT Jul05 Jun21 May16 Dec19 Oct24 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
7  MANGORITA May06 Mar29 Mar21 Feb10 Jan21 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
8  ROWDY DAISY Jul11 May25 May04 Apr14 Mar25 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
9  BELLAVALENCIA Jun20 May25 Jul11 Jun11 May31 (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.