Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(3/5/2)-(5/1/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/1/7/4)-(1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/4)-(1/4/2)-(2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(2/4)-(7/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(7/5/6)-(6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(6/5/1)-(8/7/10/2/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-7   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(8/7/10/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/7/10/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/10/2/5)-(8/7/10/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/10/2/5)-(8/7/10/2/5)-(8/7/10/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERJURY Jun24 Feb17 Jan17 Dec31 Dec06 (cros)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 3.50    
2  FROOME (IRE) Jan11 Dec07 Sep20 Aug27 Aug05 (adams l)REYES R 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
3  IKE AND JACK Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Aug28   (norris mike)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
4  WRITEITONTHEICE May25 May12 Apr29 Apr13 Mar04 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 122 3.00    
5  OFFICIAL BUSINESS Dec07 Nov10 Oct16 Sep01 Jul23 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
6  KICK ROCKS KID Jun23 Jun03 May06 Apr28 Apr16 (adams nan)CORREA L 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
 
BTP-2   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WANNAGOCAMPING Jun29 Mar15       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 4.00    
2  FLAT OUT FAY Jun08 May16 May04 Jan27 Dec30 (blevins b)CORREA L 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  CORTADO Jun21 May26 May16 Mar30 Feb24 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 1.80 43% 1.30    
4  DOODLE DOO Jun02 May04       (obert danielle)STEVENS C 125 4.50    
5  AMATTEROFPRINCIPLE         (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00 27% 2.80    
6  SLY WINK Jun30         (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
 
BTP-3   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAMFIR Feb08 Oct28 Oct01 Aug13 Jul16 (tsirigotis)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 5.00 6% 15.20    
2  CELTIC MISCHIEF Jun09 Oct11 Sep30 Sep22 Sep02 (hancock a)MCKEE J 125 3.50    
3  NO COMMISSION Jun30 Jun10 Mar12 Dec31 Dec14 (figueroa cesar)REYES R 125 6.00    
4  BOLD ADVENTURE Jun17 May18 Feb09 Jan18 Dec14 (peterson anne)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  THIS ILL DEFEND Jun23 Jun01 May18 Mar23 Mar16 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 2.50 67% 0.50    
6  SUGGESTED Jun17 May25 May13 May04 Mar18 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 125 3.00    
7  LOCK ON Jun23 Jun09 Jun01 May05 Apr04 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   07/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALK RADIO Jun08 May17 Apr13 Mar23 Feb16 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Jun30 Jun08 Mar23 Feb23 Feb10 (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  SUM KINDA PRETTY Jun22 May26 May17 Apr27 Mar30 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
4  HOT DAME Jun21 Jun08 May17 May05 Apr13 (hernandez jav)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 1.60 16% 5.30    
5  ENDLESS Jul06 Jun10 May26 May12 Apr05 (adams l)HESS SARA 116 5.00    
 
BTP-5   07/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAND ZHOUL Jun29 May29       (bennett c)MCKEE J 125 3.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHICKIE by SLEW CITY SLEW)
2  FACTUM'S STAR Jun29 Jun14 May18 Aug25   (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by FACTUM out of APHRODISIAC by ARCH)
SCR  C V JERSEY BEE         (gonzalez lili)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LOU'S ANGEL by CACTUS RIDGE)
4  GRAY DAY Jun29 May26 May11 Feb21   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
5  NEW YORK MIRACLE Jun29 Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 Dec29 (fernandez ed)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of NEW YORK GEM by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  PALACE TEMPTATION Jun29 Jan04 Dec03 Sep06   (chain pear)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 5.00    
  (by PALACE out of TWICE TEMPTED by WILD AGAIN)
SCR  MALUMA         (londono o)CORREA L 125 12.00    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of CHIQUILINA by OUR EMBLEM)
SCR  A K A FIBBER MCGEE Mar13 Feb16 Jan04 Sep21 Sep07 (skeens jeremy)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00    
  (by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
 
BTP-6   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUNNING BABY Jun20 Jun01 May15 May05 Jan25 (fernandez ed)TAPARA BRANDON 121 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE CHARMING Jul01 Jun15 May31 May06 Mar28 (skeens jeremy)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00    
SCR  WHISKEY ROAN Jun15 May27 Apr29 Apr15 Feb25 (sweeting craig)MCKEE J 123 4.00    
4  TOMAHAWK KITTEN Jul01 Mar24 Feb22 Feb09 Jan25 (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 6.00    
5  NOT YET CHARLIE Jul01 Jun12 Mar02 Feb07 Jan05 (cline rob)CORREA L 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
6  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Jun08 May27 May13 Apr29 Mar31 (howard d)HESS SARA 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HARD LIGHTING Apr21 Jan25 Jan14 Dec24 Dec07 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
 
BTP-7   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMBUSTION Oct18         (short thomas)AYALA ISAIAS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCLE DICK Jul05 Jun18 May31 May04 Apr02 (gonzalez lili)CANUTO THIAGO 123 15.00    
3  TOP HAT BLITZ Jun24 Jun03 May27 May18 Apr29 (adams nan)CORREA L 123 4.00    
SCR  ADMIRAL TIM Jun07 Apr28 Feb22 Feb04 Jan04 (newton troy)MCKEE J 123 2.50    
5  MAYAN Jun10 May27 May07 Mar31 Mar04 (crumley jevon)OUZTS W 123 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  SUPER BROTHER Jul01 Jun07 May24 Apr29 Apr13 (skeens jeremy)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
7  FAST ROY Jun24 Feb03 May27 Apr29 Apr08 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 5.00    
8  PASION AZTECA Jun24 Mar06 Feb06 Jan23 Dec20 (morelos m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 10.00    
 
BTP-8   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAVAGE KISS Jun15 May06 Mar24     (heitzman eric)MOJICA JR 120 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of KISSIN KIM by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  FLYING HOUDINI Jun17 Apr29       (scott anthony)LEBRON VICTOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  JUSTICEOFTHEPEACE May31 May09 Oct05 Apr29 Mar15 (walden william)HEARD TYLER 124 6.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of MISS METEOR by TRAPPE SHOT)
4  ALY STONE Jul06 Jun17 Jun03 Mar07 Feb15 (holton rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 124 30.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of GINGER STONE by ELITE SQUADRON)
5  RIDGERUNNER Jul06 Jun17 May20 May04   (scott anth)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of HARD LIFE by ROCK HARD TEN)
6  THE BIG NAUGHTY Jun22 May31       (obert danielle)STEVENS C 124 20.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PALIN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  ROENICK Jun17 Jun05 May21 Apr27 Apr01 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SEE ROCK CITY by TAPIT)
8  ERASMUS Jun17 May20 Mar25     (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LAUDEMIO by PULPIT)
9  RED CHEEKS May31         (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of FOFA MELECA by QUINZE QUILATES)
10  ICONICUS Jun22 Nov13 Oct15 Sep08 Aug19 (meah m)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of STEF'S INHERITANCE by LEESTOWN)
11  CANTSTOPTHEFUN Jun17 May20       (shifflet)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 30.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of FUNSHINEINMYPOCKET by INVASOR (ARG))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.