Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - June 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(5/6/4)-(1/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(1/2/3)-(6/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(6/1/5)-(5/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(5/6/4)-(2/5/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(2/5/7/1)-(1/2/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/1)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/4/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/8)-(1/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  Z U AT THE RACES May19 Apr29 Mar31 Mar16 Oct05 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50    
2  GONE ROGUE Dec20 Dec07 Sep29 Sep01 Aug24 (skeens jeremy)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 2.50 54% 0.90    
3  KICK IT CHARLIE Jun07 May19 Apr29 Mar24 Mar16 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 6.00    
4  DANCE MOVES May25 May11 Mar21 Feb27 Dec19 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50    
5  TWOBIRDSONESTONE Jul22 Jun25 May26     (lauer michael)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  HEY RAY May19 Apr27 Mar23     (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORGLO Jun08 May17 May05 Apr19 Mar11 (esquivel )CORREA L 121 3.00    
2  PHARIBE May25 Apr28 Apr06 Mar09 Feb28 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.00    
3  MORNING LINE NEWS Jun01 May18 May07 Apr28 Mar18 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 116 4.50    
4  EIDA'S STORM Jun07 May17 May05 Apr27 Mar17 (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  AND I KNOW May27 Apr18 Apr01 Mar19 Feb21 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.00 64% 0.60    
6  SHEZA HOOT Jun07 May24 May09 Jan02 Dec07 (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   06/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAWARD Jun11 May31 May17 May05 Apr23 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 116 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  SUM KINDA PRETTY May26 May17 Apr27 Mar30 Aug30 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
3  ADDISON May25 May12 May02 Mar11 Feb16 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 8.00 11% 7.90    
4  MIDNIGHT FROST Jun07 Feb23 Feb02 Jan19 Dec30 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
5  SUPER LUCY May17 Apr28 Mar23 Feb25 Feb10 (livers charli)BECKMAN ALICE 116 12.00    
SCR  ANCIENT BROWN Jun07 May05 Apr28 Apr15 Mar18 (hobson do)CORREA L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  PELLETIER Jun08 May27 May05 Mar17 Feb10 (hernandez javi)REYES R 121 4.50    
SCR  GIN N SIN May31 May14 Apr08 Mar11 Jan25 (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
 
BTP-4   06/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORB OF THE BORO Jun15 May20 Oct11 Sep14 Aug24 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  J W RUCKUS Mar31 Feb23 Feb02 Dec29 Dec14 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.50    
3  SAY IT AIN'T SO Jun15 May27 Oct11 Sep30 Sep09 (cook k)MCKEE J 121 8.00    
4  SENSE SHINES Jun01 May18 May04 Apr18 Mar30 (mcvickers)CORREA L 121 6.00    
5  MUSTANG WILLIE May15 Dec12 Nov22 Oct29 Oct12 (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 121 20.00 6% 16.90    
6  K W CAPTAIN HOOK May19 Feb02 Jan04 Nov07 Sep30 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  KEEN ON YOU May19 Apr29 Apr21 Mar04 Feb17 (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 116 5.00    
 
BTP-5   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASTIEN LE BROWN Jun09 May20 Feb10 Oct21 Sep02 (donjuan s)CORREA L 121 6.00    
2  FALCONS FURY Apr11 Mar21 Feb23 Jan24 Jan09 (skeens jeremy)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.00    
SCR  BLANKET OF ROSES Jun03 May24 Apr27 Mar09 Feb18 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 20.00    
4  SCAT SHACK Jun14 May25 May17 Apr23 Apr06 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CONTINUATION May20 Sep05 Aug04 Jul01   (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 121 3.00 77% 0.30    
6  HEZA HANDFUL May29 May08 Apr04 Jan03 Nov28 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  COYOTE ROAD May05 Apr11 Mar08 Aug25 Aug06 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 2.00    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE May31 Apr19 Mar31 Dec22 Nov30 (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 116 10.00    
 
BTP-6   06/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BIG NAUGHTY May31         (obert danielle)STEVENS C 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PALIN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  ON PALM SUNDAY Nov06 Oct09 Aug11 Jul29 Jun23 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ON OAKS DAY by MALIBU MOON)
3  ICONICUS Nov13 Oct15 Sep08 Aug19   (meah m)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of STEF'S INHERITANCE by LEESTOWN)
4  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL May17 Apr01       (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PAST MIDNIGHT by BERNARDINI)
5  JACK THE BIRD May24 May09 Apr19     (donjuan )MARTINEZ LUIS 119 12.00 6% 16.40    
  (by JACK MILTON out of BIRDGIRL by STRAVINSKY)
6  TENPAK May20 May06 Apr23 Mar26   (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 120 4.50    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of SILVERLITE J C by AIRDRIE APACHE)
7  SPERANZAS WILL Jun10         (rider david )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 12.00 6% 16.40    
  (by UNIFIED out of SANTINA DOND by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  SHANNONRUN Jun04 May06 Mar24 Mar11 Jan28 (perez car)AYALA ISAIAS 125 6.00    
  (by MAGICIAN out of BLASE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
 
BTP-7   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLUMN May27         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
2  WAR ENSIGN Jun03 May04 Mar19 Jan16 Mar10 (foley greg)MCKEE J 123 2.00 21% 3.80    
3  CHI TOWN HEAT Jun14 May19 Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 (esquivel )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 3.50    
4  ABIGAIL G Jun10 Sep12 Aug24 Jul14 Jun22 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  NOT A ROLE MODEL Jun10 Jun03 May25 May15 Dec22 (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 123 6.00    
6  THREE POINT KUZ Jun03 Sep06 Aug16 Jul14 Jun28 (fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
7  RAHTID Apr26 Apr12 Mar01 Feb18 Dec14 (lawrence )CORREA L 123 10.00    
8  MAXIMUM JOY Jun10 May11 Oct26 Sep16 Sep07 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-8   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GIRL May31 May06 Apr06 Nov12 Oct29 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  JUST ZOEY Oct05 Sep22 Aug30 Aug24 Aug12 (lowry kathleen)MCKEE J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  GIMME CLEARANCE Jun07 May25 May06 Apr05 Mar02 (silva ferna)JIMENEZ J 123 8.00    
4  SWEET MOBILTEE Jun07 May24 Dec13 Nov30 Nov12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  CONCORDSDIFFERENCE May31 May04 Sep08 Aug30 Aug24 (aguirre r)HESS SARA 118 20.00    
6  RUBY LAYNE May31 Sep15 Aug13 Jul05   (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 5.00 18% 4.50    
7  GIGGLIN KATE May31 Oct25 Oct06 Sep06   (craft guy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
8  LATE DATE Jun07 May25 May13 Apr27 Apr05 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.