Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - May 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/2)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(6/3/5)-(6/7/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(6/7/1)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(4/1/6)-(2/6/7/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(2/6/7/3)-(4/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-5   WIN (2/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (2/6/7/3)-(4/8)-(4/7/1/8) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
ASD-6   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8)-(4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/7) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
    DD (4/8)-(4/7/1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
ASD-7   WIN (4/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/8)-(4/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/8)-(4/7/1/8)-(4/7/1/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I LOVE MY LIFE Sep26 Aug22 Jul27     (pruitt lise)BALROOP SVEN 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  ADJOURNMENT Sep19 Aug29 Aug10     (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 2.50 12% 7.60    
3  WELL PLAYED Aug02 Jul16       (brown )LEWIS ANTHONY 120 12.00    
4  SAXON SAGA Apr07 Mar19 Jan28 Jan07 Nov27 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.20 40% 1.50    
5  ARROGANCE Oct14 Oct01 Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 120 8.00    
 
ASD-2   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE SKY Sep27 Sep06 Aug17     (britton calvi)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 6.00 ★    
2  DUN RIGHT Apr22 Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 (morin shaun)ALI RONALD 122 4.00    
3  CROWNED ROYAL Sep27 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
4  SKY TIZZY Apr22 Mar05 Jan28 Jan06 Nov02 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 114 8.00    
5  CALL THE COPS Sep27 Sep06 Aug31 Aug23 Aug02 (dickey elton)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
6  BEARLY REGAL Jul05 Jun14 Jun01     (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
7  UNUSUAL ACCOUNT Aug28 Jul31 Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 (kinch bi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 25.00    
 
ASD-3   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEER TOWN May07 Apr16 Mar31 Sep22 Sep03 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of WINTER SOLSTICE (GB) by UNFUWAIN)
2  FAVORITE LIGHT Apr30         (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT (FR) out of FAVORITE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  CANADIAN AUTHORITY Apr26         (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of KARAKORUM ELEKTRA by FREUD)
4  PARTYATMYPLACE Aug02         (brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 122 20.00    
  (by DESTIN out of WOODFLOWER by WOODMAN)
5  GREEN AMAZON Dec11 Dec01 Nov13 Oct27 Oct13 (gaskin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 10.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of KODIAK KOCKTAIL by KODIAK KOWBOY)
6  CHICAGO'S GRAY May06 Mar31 Jan08 Dec10 Nov19 (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 122 1.00 43% 1.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of DULCE ARABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  CARPIQUET Oct29 Oct15 Sep27 Sep06 Aug02 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 122 15.00 19% 4.40    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TIZ MY CHERRIE (FR) by UNKNOWN)
 
ASD-4   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEAL HOME Apr18 Mar28 Mar20 Mar11 Feb15 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  HANDCARVED Nov17 Oct27 Oct01 Sep10 Jul22 (anderson carl)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.50 ★    
3  DESTINY ONE Apr17 Mar25 Mar05 Feb06   (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 124 15.00    
4  TRUMP UM Sep19 Aug24 Jul18 Jun01   (wise richard )BYNOE DAMARIO 122 5.00 27% 2.60    
5  BIG NICK May06 Apr15 Mar10 Feb24 Feb05 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00    
6  MISTER MCLEAN May06 Apr04 Mar08 Dec13 Nov23 (sanderson bruc)BALROOP SVEN 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
7  GONE SOMEWHERE May02 Apr01 Feb19 Dec26 Nov30 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 12.00    
 
ASD-5   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO HANDSOME Apr26 Apr11 Mar13 Feb28 Jan25 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 8.00    
2  LAST RENEGADE Apr24 Apr03 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  RIDE EM Sep26 Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 (maxwell curtis)BALROOP SVEN 122 20.00 5% 18.80    
4  HARD WEST Feb14 Jan16 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.00    
5  TOIL AND TROUBLE Apr26 Apr05 Mar21 Feb27 Feb07 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 2.00    
6  MAYBE SOMETIME Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 10.00 21% 3.90    
7  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Apr11 Feb23 Jan07 Dec14 Nov13 (desjarlais r)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00 11% 8.30    
8  DEANO Aug17 Jul20 May27 Apr30 Mar23 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 122 25.00    
 
ASD-6   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURDO Apr22 Apr08 Apr01 Mar12 Feb24 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 10.00    
2  LUCKY BREAK Apr21 Apr15 Mar12 Feb11 Jan18 (keplin steve )TARASENCO P 124 8.00    
3  BIG ENDEAVOR Apr11 Mar28 Mar04 Feb13 Jan12 (danelson gar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00    
4  OUT ON SATURDAY Sep20 Sep07 Aug31 Aug22 Aug09 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
5  SHOOTIN MONEY Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 Aug01 (dickey elton)CARRENO J 122 6.00 ★    
6  HEAVENLY TRIP Mar16 Dec17 Oct11 Sep21 Aug19 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 12.00    
7  LIVING VICARIOUSLY Apr25 Apr04 Mar13 Mar01 Nov05 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 4.00 ★    
8  ALPHABETICAL Mar26 Mar01 Feb18 Feb04 Jan17 (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 124 15.00 31% 2.20    
 
ASD-7   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELISANDRE Sep12 Sep07 Aug24 Jul18 Jun29 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 6.00 10% 9.10    
2  SPEEDY GIGI Apr01 Mar08 Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 3.00    
3  ORANGE THEORY Oct29 Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 Aug13 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 12.00    
4  ENSLEYS DREAM May02 Apr10 Mar28 Mar03 Dec17 (danelson gar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  GIANNA'S WILD CAT Apr29 Mar05 Jan13 Dec17 Jul28 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 121 8.00    
6  FAVORITE Nov04 Oct22 Oct09 Sep18 Aug27 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 121 20.00    
7  FRENCH ROSE Aug29 Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun22 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
8  BIG STRETCH Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.