Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - May 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/7) 9 $2.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(4/8/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/2)-(4/8/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2)-(4/8/2)-(4/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/8/2)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2)-(3/1/6)-(6/4/2) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-3   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(2/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/1)-(2/6/8/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/7) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-7   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/5/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/5/7/9)-(3/4/5/7/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   05/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP HAT TIGRESS Apr25 Mar05 Feb21 Jan25 Jan03 (silva pabl)LEON A 118 3.00 54% 0.80    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARS COLLIDE by JAVA GOLD)
2  ORCHARD ROAD         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 11% 8.20    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of LIWA OASIS by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
SCR  WOMP Nov20         (pease harry)VEGA L 118 15.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of JASMINE JEWEL by MR. GREELEY)
4  DON'T LOOK UP         (sipp burton )GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 12.00 10% 9.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TAPITEAO by TAPIT)
5  ROMANCE PELUSA May01 Apr05 Mar05 Dec15 Oct27 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 118 30.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ONE TIME ONLY by LEMON DROP KID)
6  DEL MAR WOMAN Apr21 Mar26 Mar09     (si)DA FAUSTO 118 2.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MILWAUKEE WOMAN by MILWAUKEE BREW)
7  OUT FOR MYSELF Apr08 Mar22 Feb10 Dec10   (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.00 ★    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of RENEE'S CAT by COWTOWN CAT)
 
MNR-2   05/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNKEMPT May09 Nov14       (mcdonald willi)JURADO EDDIE 123 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of IZZY IZZY by MIZZEN MAST)
2  CRYPTIC CODE Apr22 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (shanle)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 8% 11.20    
  (by HONOR CODE out of READYFORHERCLOSEUP by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  KEYSER Mar15 Feb02 Jan01 Dec04 Nov13 (gotera juan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 4.00 21% 3.90    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  JOHN'S KID May09 Apr22 Apr11 Mar29 Mar25 (si)DA FAUSTO 116 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of MEMO FROM PAT by GREY MEMO)
5  BLACK BULL Apr30 Dec07 Nov22 Nov09 Oct31 (knowles luc)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 20.00    
  (by DONE TALKING out of RUNAWAY LIZ by YONAGUSKA)
6  SCREAMING JEREMY May01 Apr05 Mar02 Feb14   (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 5.00    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
7  SHEA D CAPTURE May08 Apr15 Apr03 Feb16 Jan23 (gotera juan )TERRAZA GERMAN 116 3.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of SHOCKING DUNN by WHEATON)
8  HUNTER JUMPER May07 Mar28 Mar13 Feb01 Nov30 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by GRAYDAR out of PEACEFUL SKY by SKY MESA)
 
MNR-3   05/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TWENTY SIX Jan11 Nov14 Oct02 Sep14 Aug17 (go)DA FAUSTO 123 4.50 21% 3.90    
2  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 Sep26 Sep13 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 5.00    
3  IMPETUOUS Apr28 Apr07 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 (shanle)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 32% 2.20    
4  ENZOEXPRESS Dec12 Nov29 Nov16 Nov08 Oct24 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00    
5  MAJESTIC SEAS Apr28 Apr07 Mar17 Feb22 Feb02 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.60    
6  KOLSCH Nov14 Oct19 Sep26 Aug28 Aug08 (poole c)WHITACRE B 123 3.00 12% 7.00    
 
MNR-4   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU MARLEE Mar04 Oct02 Sep21 Aug25 Aug16 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00    
2  CYBERBURG May01 Feb27 Feb07 Dec14 Nov30 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MARIPOSA D'ORO Apr30 Dec05 Nov21 Oct31 Oct25 (inirio carlos)VEGA L 123 4.50    
4  UNDETECTED May01 Oct19 Oct09 Sep13 Aug31 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  SUGAR BRITCHES May01 Dec12 Nov27 Nov15 Oct23 (hernandez ricard)CCAMAQUE M 123 8.00    
6  BAD KARMA Apr18 Apr01 Mar25 Mar18 Oct30 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 1.00 56% 0.80    
 
MNR-5   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHINIST Nov08 Oct26 Oct16 Oct03 Aug31 (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 12.00 ★    
2  FLIMFLAM MAN Aug26 Jul12 May25 Apr26 Mar07 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  SAINT SCOTTY Dec14 Dec04 Nov21 Nov08 Oct26 (bell b)ENRIQUEZ JR 123 20.00    
4  PROFESSIONAL May01 Jan18 Jan03 Dec28 Dec12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
5  NANO Feb27 Feb09 Jan16 Dec12 Nov16 (stansbury ju)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
6  FLATTER ME PLEASE Mar01 Dec22 Nov29 Aug02 Jul13 (hetrick)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.60 18% 4.50    
7  REDACTION May02 Apr25 Apr08 Mar28 Feb13 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 5.00    
8  BOATSWAIN May01 Dec27 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 10% 9.20    
 
MNR-6   05/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALFIE SOLOMONS Mar16 Feb02 Jan19 Dec27 Nov23 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40 13% 6.80    
2  AWESOME OX Nov02 Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 Aug30 (bird danny)DIAZ I 120 4.00    
3  SHIELD OF FAITH Apr30 Dec12 Nov27 Nov14 Oct29 (clouston edward)WHITACRE B 120 5.00 9% 9.60    
4  SOMERSET BAY Nov08 Oct14 Oct05 Sep02 Aug18 (stanoszek s)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
5  SOUL OF DISCRETION Dec14 Dec05 Nov21 Oct24 Oct11 (inirio carlos)VEGA JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  JUSTIN FRONT Nov22 Nov13 Oct30 Oct17 Oct05 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 2.50 54% 0.90    
 
MNR-7   05/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAOILIN May02 Dec28 Nov23 Nov12 Oct21 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  OCEAN LILLY Apr15 Jan19 Jan07 Nov03 Oct08 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
3  ITSALLABOUTACTION Apr13 Feb20 Dec15 Oct23 Sep19 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.60 53% 0.90    
4  CANDY ISLAND Feb20 Dec15 Nov21 Sep24 Aug19 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
5  CHACALOSA Feb20 Jan10 May08 Apr21 Jan26 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
6  ADMAA Mar15 Jan24 Oct31 Oct04 Jul08 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 5.00    
 
MNR-8   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ODINA Apr29 Apr20 Apr07 Feb11 Feb04 (figgins l)HO WESLEY 116 8.00    
2  COUNTESSOFLOVELACE Nov07 Oct24 Sep26 Aug30 Aug09 (wade justin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
3  NYSSA May02 Apr13 Jan20 Jan06 Oct27 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 57% 0.80    
4  MAMALONA Apr18 Apr01 Mar20 Feb16 Feb04 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 3.50 14% 6.20    
5  STELLAR LEGACY Apr29 Apr15 Mar30 Mar15 Feb15 (delong ben)MAYTA J 116 4.50 ★    
6  FRANCIA (PER) Mar08 Feb22 Jan30 Jan09 Jul27 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00    
7  GOT MORE May01 Mar30 Mar01     (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  JANSELLE May01 Dec11 Nov29 Nov14 Sep25 (meals lois)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 30.00    
9  ADRIANA ES BONITA May01 Feb22 Feb14 Jan11 Oct11 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 123 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.