Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - May 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/7/6)-(3/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/1)-(6/7/1) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(5/3/1/2)-(9/5/2) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (5/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/1/2)-(9/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (9/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/2)-(9/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/2)-(9/5/2)-(9/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   05/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER VISION Nov23 Nov08 Oct27 Sep12 Aug29 (inirio carlos)CCAMAQUE M 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  THIRSTY ACTOR Mar22 Feb21 Dec29 Nov23 Oct13 (erwin andre)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00    
3  SMOOTH PAPA May02 Dec06 Nov21 Nov08 Nov01 (jimenez migue)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 8.00    
4  LOST IN MANHATTAN Apr22 Mar31 Mar09 Feb17 Jan12 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
5  TWO GOLD SPOTS Nov06 Oct11 Sep18 Sep04 Aug08 (witherow sandr)DIAZ I 120 20.00    
6  PARADE GRAND Nov14 Oct19 Oct10 Sep27 Sep14 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 120 10.00 6% 14.90    
7  VALEROSO Apr15 Apr03 Mar07 Feb21 Feb09 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 9% 10.40    
 
MNR-2   05/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROFOUND ONE Feb02 Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 Nov09 (eidschun gr)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  FOREST SELECTION May01 Feb14 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00    
3  KAPHAVATA Apr04 Mar16 Feb22 Jan30 Jan02 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  TRINNI SUMMER Mar29 Feb18 Jan22 Dec28 Nov12 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 32% 2.20    
5  GET ALONG Feb07 Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 Nov10 (meals lois)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
6  EL CARDINAL Apr27 Oct27 Oct04 Sep16 Sep01 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 4.50    
7  AS DE ORO COCO Mar05 Feb12 Dec14 Nov21 Nov07 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 120 12.00    
 
MNR-3   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUST FUND ROBBER Apr30 Dec28 Dec07 Nov14 Oct06 (lopez e)VEGA L 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  HICKORY BILL Apr30 Oct13 Sep09     (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
3  PAPA CHARLES Jan19 Dec20 Dec07 Nov29 Oct26 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.20 49% 1.10    
4  ZACH AND JILL Mar05 Feb11 Jan29 Jan12 Dec22 (stanoszek sara)DIAZ I 116 10.00    
5  WHY WINCHILL WHY Dec06 Nov30 Nov06 Oct17 Jun13 (meeks karl)MUSARRO JOE 123 15.00 ★    
6  BAYTOWN BEAVER Apr15 Feb16 Jan11 Nov21 Nov08 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 116 2.00    
 
MNR-4   05/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLIMT RIDE Jan04 Dec07 Nov14 Oct31 Oct09 (ewell devan)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 8.00 6% 16.50    
  (by KLIMT out of HONEYED by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  I LOVE MY GIRLS Jul10 Jun27       (knowles lucinda)MUSARRO JOE 123 20.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of NOMUDDERAFLEET by NORTHERN AFLEET)
3  BALLOT BOX Dec07 Oct09 Sep13 Aug31 Aug07 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 6.00 ★    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
4  CLASSY REY DE ORO Dec06         (flores)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of OROLUCE by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
SCR  MR MAYHEM         (iniri)MONSERRATE A 123 15.00    
  (by TWO STEP SALSA out of MOUNTAIN FIRE by FIRE SLAM)
6  HUNTER JUMPER Mar28 Mar13 Feb01 Nov30 Nov12 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by GRAYDAR out of PEACEFUL SKY by SKY MESA)
7  GUN FACTOR Mar17         (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 1.20 18% 4.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ZINDI by VINDICATION)
 
MNR-5   05/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'VE BEEN THINKIN Apr05 Nov23       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SOFT KISS by BERNARDINI)
2  BREEZY CONNECTION Mar16 Jan26 Jan06 Dec29 Dec15 (brooks geral)AYALA J 123 3.50 8% 11.20    
  (by CONNECT out of KRISPY KRITTER by DUNKIRK)
3  KELSEY'S ANGEL Apr08 Mar17 Feb17     (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MINE OWN by MINESHAFT)
SCR  DEVIN ON EARTH Apr29 Sep16 Sep02     (farrior anthon)JURADO EDDIE 116 5.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of TRAVEL WISH by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  BETHPAGE Oct07 Aug16 Jul16     (hayes leland)RIVERA R 123 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of THE CRANE by TIZNOW)
6  GLO GIRL GLO Dec07 Oct11 Sep07 Aug10 Jul19 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 116 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TIZ GROUND SPEED by TIZNOW)
7  SHEZ FIRED UP Aug22 Aug10 Jul27     (decker)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of A LITTLE GOLD by LORD CARSON)
SCR  STRAIGHT TO GO Apr05 Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Nov09 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of FLARING by TWO STEP SALSA)
 
MNR-6   05/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELUSIVE MOTION Dec12 Nov30 Oct31 Oct16 Oct05 (demczyk virg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 17% 4.80    
2  FIFTY PESOS May01 Apr02 Feb07 Dec12 Sep23 (silva pablo)RIVERA R 116 1.60 20% 4.00    
3  HOPE HE'S FAST Mar16 Feb19 Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 8.00    
4  STRONG SAFETY Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 Oct05 Aug24 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00    
5  SONGWRITER Mar30 Feb22 Jan19 Dec28 Dec07 (caramori caio)DIAZ I 120 2.00    
6  WARRIOR'S ESTATE Apr07 Mar16 Jan27 Dec16 Nov16 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
MNR-7   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIKO Oct30 Oct18 Sep05 Aug23 Jun02 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 15.00 6% 15.90    
2  REGAL HOLIDAY Oct18 Oct05 Sep12 Aug17 Aug02 (gray christopher)WHITACRE B 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIMBERRY TIDDLER Dec04 Nov07 Sep12 Aug23 Jul31 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Apr08 Mar19 Feb26 Jan14 Dec22 (hayes leland)RIVERA R 116 5.00    
5  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Apr07 Mar16 Mar04 Feb18 Jan21 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 116 0.80 45% 1.20    
6  PRETTY LOUD May02 Apr15 Apr03 Mar15 Mar06 (gomez alejandro)VEGA L 120 20.00    
7  STORMIN ROCKET Apr01 Mar16 Jan26 Jan07 Dec09 (craig e)HO WESLEY 120 3.50    
 
MNR-8   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG FRANK Apr29 Apr04 Mar20 Mar01 Feb07 (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 20.00    
2  KICKSTARTER Dec14 Dec05 Nov13 Oct17 Oct03 (demczyk vir)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00 5% 18.70    
3  ROYAL CRUSADER Apr07 Feb23 Feb01 Jan22 Jan11 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50    
4  KIKKERLAND Mar30 Mar03 Feb02 Dec19 Nov28 (brooks geral)AYALA J 120 12.00    
5  HIDDEN RULER Mar15 Feb09 Jan24 Jan03 Nov29 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  TOMMY TUESDAY Dec12 Dec05 Nov21 Nov02 Oct24 (gray christopher)WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
7  HOLY TRUTH Apr03 Nov22 Nov13 Sep20 Aug30 (meeks karl)MUSARRO JOE 120 20.00    
SCR  JACKZILLA Nov28 Nov02 Oct03 Aug21 Aug08 (ewell sr)VEGA L 120 50.00    
9  UNYIELDING Apr04 Feb27 Dec27 Jun25 May16 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  TOMMY SHELBY Mar17 Feb18 Jan26 Jan06 Nov26 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 5% 17.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.