Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(6/4/2)-(2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (2)-(2/3/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(2/3/4)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(6/2)-(1/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(1/5/6)-(4/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(4/1/6)-(8/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOUD FOREST Aug28 Aug10 Jul08 May15   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.00 ★    
2  POWER IN NUMBERS Feb18 Jan14       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 46% 1.20    
3  GOLDEN PURCHASE Mar24 Feb25 Feb12 Feb02 Jan19 (jones eduardo )BROWN DALTON 126 30.00    
4  PIONEERING SPIRIT Mar24 Jun24 May28 May03 Apr09 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
5  PREDICTED Mar03 Feb02 Dec15 May15 Apr21 (dutrow a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 4.50    
 
AQU-2   04/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEYBIGNOSE Feb26 Jan20 Dec16     (lynch natali)TORRES A 111 8.00    
2  JOEY THE FISH Mar12 Jan27 Jan06 Nov18 Oct08 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 16% 5.20    
3  AUDIT COMMITTEE Jan26 Jan13 Nov10     (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00    
4  PRETTY MISS KEENS Feb17 Jan20 Dec16 Dec03 Oct01 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
5  GOLDIENESS Feb10 Jan13 Aug25     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00    
6  WILL BE FAMOUS Mar03 Feb09 Jan12 Dec06 Oct22 (brown r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.20 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-3   04/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTESSA Mar19 Mar05 Nov02 Oct16 Sep01 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 111 15.00    
2  AFILADA Mar05 Jan26 Jan01 Nov21 Sep22 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.20 68% 0.50    
3  SHAYMYNAME Mar05 Nov06 Oct06 Sep28 Aug07 (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 118 15.00    
4  WELCOMETOMYWORLD Dec18 Nov25 Nov06 Sep15   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.00 ★    
5  GERMANY JAYVO Mar05 Jan22 Jan12 Dec04 Nov27 (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  BOUNTY KILLAH Mar19 Mar03 Feb24 Jan13 Jan07 (richards m)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 12.00    
 
AQU-4   04/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR ATTITUDE Mar19 Mar10 Feb02 Jan20 Aug25 (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
2  SOUTHERN PASSAGE Oct02 Aug12 Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 (arriaga anto)TORRES A 117 3.00 51% 1.00    
3  VIVE BIEN Mar10 Feb09 Sep02 Jun17 Apr21 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 2.50 12% 7.10    
4  GINNSU WARRIOR Feb09 Jan15 Dec31 Dec04 Nov05 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 10% 9.30    
5  RAW COURAGE Mar10 Feb09 Jan29 Dec31 Nov11 (toscano john )OLVER MADISON 117 10.00    
6  BOURBON'S HOPE Mar05 Feb19 Feb12 Jan01 Dec09 (ric)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
 
AQU-5   04/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLY GIRL Mar03 Dec29 Dec11 Nov02 Jul25 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 10.00    
2  MIA BEA STAR Mar12 Feb10 Jan19 Dec30 Dec17 (persaud rand)TORRES A 113 1.40 24% 3.10    
3  CARAMOCHA Mar03 Feb05 Jan19 Jan08 Dec15 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 118 8.00    
4  FREDDYMO FACTOR Mar25 Mar17 Jan28 Jun25 Apr29 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00 ★    
5  AMITY ISLAND Mar25 Mar19 Feb10 Jan29 Dec30 (goberd)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
6  BUSTIN BAY Mar03 Feb19 Jan19 Dec29 Dec01 (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 0.80 51% 1.00    
 
AQU-6   04/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING CONNECTION Mar11 Jan19 Dec17 Dec01 Oct28 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Mar11 Jan14 Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
3  GOING IN STYLE Jan01 Dec04 Oct28 Sep18 Aug22 (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00    
SCR  MASTER OF NONE Feb04 Jan14 Dec18 Oct13 Sep16 (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50    
5  INCANTATION Mar03 Jan28 Dec17     (bond harold )TORRES A 113 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  KINGFISH STEVENS Mar11 Dec03 Sep24     (martin carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
 
AQU-7   04/02/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Top Flight Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALCONET Feb18 Jan01 Nov25 Sep24 Jul09 (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BIRDATTHEWIRE by SUMMER BIRD)
SCR  EASY TO BLESS Mar11 Feb10 Jan05 Dec11 Jun10 (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 30.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ARBEKA by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  SWEET WILLEMINA Mar07 Jan01 Nov23 Oct27 Oct03 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of WILLIAMS BAY by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  KATHLEEN O. Feb18 Nov25 May06 Apr02 Mar05 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 0.80 42% 1.40    
  (by UPSTART out of QUAVER by BLAME)
5  MOMMASGOTTARUN Mar17 Jan26 Jan12 Dec31 Nov13 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LOVE IN TOKYO by TIZNOW)
6  TIMELESS JOURNEY Mar12 Jan26 Dec30 Nov27 Oct29 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 7% 14.20    
  (by VERRAZANO out of MATCHMADEINHEAVEN by UTOPIA (JPN))
7  LET HER INSPIRE U Feb24 Jan26 Dec17 Oct30 Sep24 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CARIBBEAN LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
AQU-8   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY FLAME Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 Jun19 May28 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 3.00 ★    
2  MOSTLY HARMLESS Jan26 Jan01 Dec08 Nov25 Oct21 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
3  BONANA FANNA FOE Jan20 Jan05 Dec08 Nov21 Oct24 (englehar)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
4  BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Feb11 Dec08 Nov10 Oct06 Sep02 (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 21% 3.80    
5  DIVINE WINE Mar12 Jan28 Dec31 Dec08 Nov17 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
6  FOCUS Jan20 Dec30 Nov04 Oct14 Sep18 (martin carlos)OLVER MADISON 115 6.00    
SCR  FULIGNI Mar03 Feb17 Jan01 Dec08 Nov12 (bond harold )TORRES A 115 20.00 ★    
8  CARBON Feb09 Jan06 Dec15 Nov18 Oct01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 48% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.