Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - March 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(5/1)-(2/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(2/4/6)-(6/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(6/5/2)-(1/4/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/4/7)-(7/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(7/3/5)-(3/6/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(3/6/1/4)-(2/7/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/4)-(2/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (2/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Mar03 Jan27 Jan05 Nov11 Oct07 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  CONNECT THE BROCKS Mar03 Jan08 Dec10 Nov02   (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 10.00    
3  DUDLEY DICKERSON Feb26 Jan28 Jan03 Nov21   (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 2.50 25% 3.10    
4  URAGANO Sep24 Aug18 Jul15 May30 May06 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.80 31% 2.20    
5  MYLES         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 5.00    
6  WONKER WARRIOR Mar03 Feb25       (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
 
AQU-2   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY SHYLOCK Mar03 Feb02 Nov27     (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  DREAM CHASER Mar06 Feb08 Jan04 Dec06   (reid rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 ★    
3  DREAMAWAYSEVEN Mar17         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
4  LOCKBOX Mar03 Feb17 Jan22 Dec04 Nov08 (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
5  CURLINS CHOIR Mar03 Jan26 Dec10     (baker charlt)TORRES A 113 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  HONEST BANKER Dec16         (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
 
AQU-3   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVIN Mar11 Feb26 Jan22 Nov10 Sep23 (tess)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 10.00    
2  REED KAN Feb02 Jan01 Oct27 Sep06 Aug23 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
3  MISTER WINSTON Sep06 Aug22 Jul19 Jul09 Jun24 (sel)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
4  PRINCE JAMES Feb26 Feb13 Jan26 Dec04 Jul20 (handal ra)VARGAS A 123 4.00 16% 5.20    
5  MAGNIFICENT CHROME Feb02 Jan19 Aug14 Jul20 Jun19 (lynch natali)TORRES A 113 8.00 ★    
6  MONTAUK DADDY Mar05 Feb11 Jan16 Dec31 Dec03 (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  SUPER GARNER Feb23 Feb09 Nov18 Oct20   (dun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 8.00    
 
AQU-4   03/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG LIGHT Jan27 Jan08 Dec15 Dec09 Nov25 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
SCR  HOLEY MATRIMONY Mar19 Feb20 Jan07 Jan01 Dec16 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 ★    
2  REGALITY Feb10 Jan14 Jan02 Dec14 Nov22 (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 122 4.00 13% 6.40    
3  EXXTOP Mar18 Mar05 Feb10 Jan26 Jan12 (thompson)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
4  JAY'STALKER Feb18 Dec10 Nov10 Oct02 Aug05 (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
5  BREADMAN Feb18 Dec15 Nov26 Nov19 Nov11 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 14% 6.30    
6  RIA'S ANGEL Feb10 Jan05 Dec09 Nov05 Sep25 (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  SEANAN Feb18 Jan07 Dec10 Nov16 Oct31 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 115 8.00    
8  HANG TIGHT Feb17 Feb05 Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 (thom)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 12.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   03/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATTY CAKES Feb11 Jan01 Oct30 Sep17 Aug14 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
2  SIMPLE SUGAR Feb20 Jan20 Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 120 10.00    
3  SISTER LINDA Dec29 Dec01 Sep24 Jul25 Jun24 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50    
4  RACING COLORS Feb20 Jan29 Jan22 Dec10 Oct27 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 12.00 9% 9.80    
5  RHUBARB MARTINI Feb20 May29 Apr21 Mar03 Jan08 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
SCR  ANATOLIAN Jul08 Jun18 May08 Mar27 Feb27 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 14% 6.00    
7  RAFFINITY Mar17 Feb20 Jan13 Dec30 Dec02 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00 9% 10.10    
 
AQU-6   03/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAMISHED Mar04 Feb05 Jan15 Dec15 Nov04 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50    
2  PIT BOSS Mar10 Feb11 Jan07 Dec16 Nov15 (bernardi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
3  TWO THIRTY FIVE Feb09 Jan20 Dec15 Nov12 Oct14 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  GLORY ROAD Mar25 Mar12 Feb09 Jan01 May27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★    
5  EMPTY TOMB Feb02 Nov23 Oct29 Oct07 Jan29 (falcone robe)TORRES A 116 4.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  MICROSECOND Jan19 Apr16       (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00    
7  GULFSTREAM WAY Feb04 Dec18 Nov25 Oct08 Sep17 (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
AQU-7   03/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY FARM Mar05 Jan22 Dec30 Nov26 Sep30 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  A C EXPRESSWAY Oct16 Sep17 Jul03 May30 May07 (boniface)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
3  KING ANGELO Feb18 Jan13 Dec17 Nov20 Oct16 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  SCOCCIATORE Feb10 Apr07 Mar19 Feb12 Jan28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 6% 15.40    
5  HIGH OAK Mar04 Mar05       (mott willia)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
6  SHERIFF BIANCO Feb18 Feb05 Dec30 Dec17 Nov17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  BIG ENGINE Feb18 Feb10 Jan21 Dec30 Nov25 (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 4.50    
8  IN DREAMS Feb10 Dec30 Nov25 Feb05   (de horacio)PENNINGTON F 118 15.00    
 
AQU-8   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZA BROWN Mar18 Mar05 Jan27 Jan21 Jan05 (persaud rand)SAMUEL L 125 15.00    
2  GENTLEMAN BURGLAR         (hennig ma)VARGAS A 118 4.50 33% 2.10    
3  CAMPBELITO Jan08 Dec10       (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 12.00    
4  IRON HORIZON Feb26         (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 6.00    
5  MR. BUSTA Mar11 Feb26 Jan29     (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 125 20.00    
6  STELLWAGEN BANKER Mar10 Feb11 Dec10     (gorham michae)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 14% 6.00    
7  REUNION TOUR Mar18 Feb26 Jan27 Jan05 Dec11 (ferraro )DAVIS A 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  GO GET THE BAG         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 6.00 6% 15.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.