Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Sunday - March 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(5/2/3)-(6/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/1/6)-(5/2/3/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(6/1/3)-(2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-3   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/2/3/5)-(6/1/2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(2/3)-(5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/3/4)-(4/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4/1/6)-(5/3/4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/1/3)-(2/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-6   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/5/6)-(4/1/3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/5/7)-(3/9/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-7   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/1/4)-(2/5/7/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(3/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/5)-(3/9/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/5)-(3/9/5/6)-(3/9/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAYER OF JABEZ Mar08 Feb19 Jan07 Dec20 Nov19 (kereluk edwar)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  BOBBY BRINKLEY Mar05 Feb08 Dec27 Dec08 Nov21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 ★    
3  TRUMPED Feb27 Feb06 Aug21     (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  PURE ROCKET Mar14 Feb22 Jan31 Jan09 Dec13 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
5  WESTPHAL Mar14 Feb25 Jan07 Nov28 Nov19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
6  POVERTY BAY Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 Jan11 Dec01 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
TUP-2   03/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSY WIFE Mar08 Feb20 Jan18 Dec26 Nov20 (eikleberry )MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.50 ★    
2  LEXINGTON HUMOR Mar04 Feb11 Dec31 Nov19 Oct29 (morgan dan)VERGARA P 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  HURRICAIN HUNTER Mar08 Jan09 Dec15 Sep18 Aug29 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 10% 9.30    
4  THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) Feb14 Jan28 Jan10 Nov18 Sep17 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00    
5  GOLDEN SUN DROPS Feb28 Feb07 Jan23 Jan09 Dec19 (vitali)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 5.00 41% 1.40    
6  FAIRY TALE BLISS Mar11 Feb20 Nov18 Oct16 Aug28 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   03/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIPER ROSE Mar12 Feb14 Feb06 Jan14 Dec19 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
2  STREAMER Mar06 Feb26 Jan31 Dec27 Jun18 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 ★    
3  FUN PADDY Feb14 Jan03 Nov19 Oct07 Sep09 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 6.00 7% 13.10    
4  CANTERBURY GOLD Mar06 Feb14 Jan14 Dec19 Nov30 (birdwell ten)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00    
5  EARLYNTHEMORN Mar12 Feb21 Feb14 Jan30 Jan04 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 ★    
6  SEVEN POINTS Mar12 Feb25 Feb14 Jan14 Dec17 (peacock shane)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
TUP-4   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS FLASHY HARBOR Feb26 Feb06 Jan10 Sep17 Aug28 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 ★    
2  EDDIE'S ON PATROL Mar12 Feb13 Jan23 Jan03 Dec15 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 4.00 71% 0.40    
3  PHOENICIAN MAGIC Mar07 Feb20 Feb04 Jan03 Dec20 (brown r)LEON A 121 6.00 8% 11.10    
4  COASTLINE HOTTIE Mar11 Feb21 Feb01     (se)DA FAUSTO 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  TIZ THE PROSPECT Mar12 Jan23 Dec20     (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 3.50 ★    
6  PAISLEY'S VISION Feb15 Jan07 Dec26 Nov30 Nov04 (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50    
 
TUP-5   03/26/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARGE'S SERMON Mar01 Feb01 Jan24 Jan07 Dec17 (wo)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 ★    
2  BLUES RAPPER Feb21 Feb06 Dec13 Nov23 May07 (trejo ama)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
3  HANKY PRANKY Mar12 Feb01 Jan24 Dec20 Dec08 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
4  TOUR THE WORLD Feb28 Jan24 Dec27 Dec13 Nov15 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 9% 10.30    
5  BOSS NINE Mar06 Dec17 Nov09 Aug27 Aug19 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
6  GUARDSMAN PASS Feb28 Feb06 Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 ★    
7  ARMAVEER Mar13 Feb26 Dec16 Nov12 Oct22 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   03/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU SPLIT TENS Mar14 Feb15 Jan30 Jan19 Dec21 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  THE BEAT Mar11 Feb21 Feb02 Jan04 Dec19 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
3  OLDER BROTHER Mar14 Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 Jan26 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 10% 9.00    
4  UNBROKEN STAR Mar08 Feb21 Feb04 Jan03 Dec19 (brown jared)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  SILVER DASH Mar04 Jan25 Dec20 Nov16 Sep15 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 124 4.00 ★    
6  KELLER'S GOLD Feb27 Jan31 Jan10 Dec03 Nov12 (moreno ca)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   03/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME TO MEDDLE Jun04 May03 Apr08 Mar16 Feb16 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 ★    
2  ROYAL JOKER Mar04 Feb20 Jan28 Jan17 Dec26 (valerio r)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  KYSTONE         (hedge rick)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 10.00    
4  RAMPATIOUS Jan04 Dec03 Oct16 Sep18 Jul31 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 ★    
5  STREET HUMOR Mar04 Feb06 Nov04 Oct02 Aug18 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
6  PRIME EXAMPLE         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00    
7  FOREIGN INFLUENCE Mar04         (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
TUP-8   03/26/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST IMPRESSION Feb18 Jan31 Dec19 Nov29 Jul02 (eidschun greg)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 ★    
2  HER PERFECT VISION Dec20 Nov18 Aug07 Jul15 Jun10 (howey quinn)LEON A 124 5.00    
3  DADDY'S GIRL Mar11 Feb08 Jan18 May02 Mar31 (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  BE TOUGH Mar18 Feb28 Jan26 Jan07 Dec20 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
5  MARGOT'S GIRL Mar13 Feb28 Jan30 Jan08 Nov04 (bullene micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LEMON DROP LADY Feb14 Dec13 Nov01 Oct18 Mar17 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 ★    
7  BREAKFAST BALL Mar01 Feb14 Jan28 Dec22 Nov15 (whitehouse )MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
8  MIZZEN MILLIONS Feb21 Jan15 Dec16 Nov27 Sep03 (garrett j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
9  JEWEL AZUL Mar11 Feb14 Sep04 Aug17 Aug04 (wo)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.