Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(2)-(4/1/3/7/9) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/3/4/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/3/4/1/6)-(2/3/4/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2)-(4/1/3/7/9) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (2)-(4/1/3/7/9)-(7/5/8/2) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TUP-5   WIN (4/1/3/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/7/9)-(4/1/3/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/7/9)-(4/1/3/7/9)-(4/1/3/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/3/7/9)-(7/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/7/9)-(7/5/8/2)-(4/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2/4)-(7/5/8/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/8/2)-(4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8/2)-(4/2)-(12/7/1/8/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/3/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/3/7/5)-(4/2/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2)-(12/7/1/8/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
TUP-8   WIN (12/7/1/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/7/1/8/4)-(12/7/1/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/7/1/8/4)-(12/7/1/8/4)-(12/7/1/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PANCAKES AND BEER Feb15 Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 Feb18 (grissom roberta)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00    
2  FAST TO FORTUNE Feb21 Feb08 Jan11 Dec26 Dec13 (woolley benni)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.00 ★    
3  LADY LANA Feb20 Jan11 Nov26 Oct18 Sep27 (vitali)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 5.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  POETIC PURSUIT Mar01 Feb02 Jan07 Nov14 Oct02 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 15% 5.50    
5  VALUE DANCER Feb21 Feb01 Jan24 Jan14 Dec10 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  A THOUSAND DREAMS Feb01 Jan14 Dec26 Nov12 Sep02 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
SCR  MISS GHISLAINE Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Jan02 Jul01 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-4   03/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINE POINT ASSAY Feb18 Jan31 Jan09 Dec14 Nov15 (martinez a)LEON A 124 5.00 ★    
2  K P HARRY KITTY Mar07 Jan28 Dec13 Nov08 Oct18 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 66% 0.50    
3  ANGRY EMMY Feb27 Feb18 Feb08 Dec04 Nov13 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 ★    
4  GRANDIOSE SUMMER Feb27 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 Nov22 (silva rodri)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.00 ★    
5  DADDY'SFAVORITESON Mar07 Feb18 Feb08 Jan25 Nov22 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
6  VALDINI Feb27 Jan21 Dec30 Nov24 Oct10 (villamar candel)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00 ★    
7  FULL OF WINE (ARG) Jan30         (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
8  TED'S CANDY GIRL Feb16 Jan25 Jan11 Dec19 Nov28 (potts )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 6.00    
 
TUP-5   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR VALLEY Jan30 Jan07 Dec27 Nov29 Nov12 (mc)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
2  MONGOL ALTAI Feb04 Jan14 Dec21 Nov28 Sep17 (asprino alfre)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00    
3  EXECUTIVE ACTION Feb27 Jan30 Dec28 Dec08 Sep11 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 6% 14.70    
4  GIVE EM HECK BECK Mar06 Feb15 Feb04 Jan24 Sep14 (silva jr)VERGARA P 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  FRISCO KID Feb28 Feb19 Feb04 Dec11 Nov13 (villamar candel)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
6  BARNFIELD Feb27 Feb15 Jan24 Jan07 Oct28 (person a)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
7  IN THE MIDST Feb27 Feb18 Feb04 Jan14 Dec21 (person kenn)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  BOLD VOYAGER Mar07 Feb07 Apr20 Apr01 Mar10 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
9  FORGOTTEN VOWS Mar07 Feb18 Feb05 Jan19 Jan09 (dennis clif)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   03/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STYLISH ELEGANCE Mar01 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Jan02 (villamar candel)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
2  DEVIL'S TEETH Feb26 Feb13 Jan30 Dec10 Nov26 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 8% 11.70    
3  MANY ROSES Feb26 Feb13 Feb01 Jan12 Dec26 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
4  TRIBAL IMPACT Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 Jul29 Jul15 (garcia jesus)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 ★    
5  THAT'S BIND BABE Feb25 Feb12 Jan27 Jan16 Dec26 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 14% 6.40    
6  STONUS MAXIMUS Feb26 Feb19 Feb05 Jan10 Dec27 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
7  PARLEY STREET Mar04 Feb09 Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
8  CALIBOGEE Feb09 Dec26 Nov28 Sep12 Aug08 (pearman jaymie)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 10% 9.50    
 
TUP-7   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYZSLAK Feb21 Feb06 Jan23 Jan17 Dec19 (rumsey cory)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00    
2  KOVACS Jan23 Jan05 Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 20.00 8% 11.90    
3  BALI STAR Feb28 Feb11 Jan05 Nov14 Sep23 (breashear b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 ★    
4  RAVINA LANE Feb21 Jan23 Jan05 Sep30 Sep23 (woolley bennie )CORBETT W 124 4.00 67% 0.50    
5  DESTINY ONE Mar05 Feb06       (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 ★    
6  NAVY PIER Feb28 Feb11 Aug10 Jul25 Jul05 (chamberlin ti)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
7  TRUTH TO POWER Feb01 Jan05 Dec13 Nov14 Sep12 (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 ★    
8  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Feb28 Feb11 Jan18 Dec08 Nov04 (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
9  RIGHT TO SUE Mar06 Feb26 Feb06 Aug29 Jul23 (villamar cand)VALDES ALEXIS 124 20.00    
10  KEENEYE GEORGE Feb28 Dec18 Nov24 Aug27 Aug06 (ba)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   03/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIZONA JEREMY Feb13 Feb01 Apr25 Apr11   (laufenberg joyce)MAWING A 122 8.00 11% 8.30    
2  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Feb22 Feb13 Feb01 Jan12 Dec15 (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00    
3  MO GEE Mar01 Feb11 Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 (matt l)CORBETT W 122 20.00    
4  START A RUNNIN Feb22 Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 Apr19 (asprino alfr)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  PISTOL POWER Feb22 Feb13 Jan30 Jan12 Dec15 (baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
6  RIVER ROSE Mar01 Feb16 Feb02 Jan17 Jan09 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00    
7  LOYALTY SPIRIT Feb22 Feb01 Nov16 Oct11 Sep18 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
8  HEY SEQUOIA Feb22 Feb06 Jan18 Dec19 Dec08 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 10% 8.50    
9  MY CALL Feb22 Feb01 Sep08 Jul19 Jun26 (moreno carl)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
10  BLUES RAPPER Feb21 Feb06 Dec13 Nov23 May07 (trejo ama)VALENZUELA A 122 20.00    
11  OSTINI Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 (weaver gordon)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 20.00    
12  CHEST CANDY Feb01 Aug21 Aug10 Jul09 Apr01 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.