Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/1/6)-(5/7/2/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/2/6)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/6)-(1)-(4/6/2/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3/2/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(4/6/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(4/6/2/1)-(6/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1/5)-(4/6/2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/2/1)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/1)-(6/4)-(2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/2/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/2/3/1)-(6/4/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/1/3)-(2/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(7/8/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3/8)-(2/5/6/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/6/3)-(7/8/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/3)-(7/8/5/4)-(4/2/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/5/4)-(4/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6/3)-(4/2/7/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHARIBE Feb28 Jan20 Jan10 Oct22 Oct06 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 4.00 ★    
2  VOODOOISM Feb27 Sep06 Aug22 Aug04 Jun20 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
3  PLAYFUL SUMMER Feb20 Jan05 Dec14 Nov08 Oct22 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
4  CONDUTTORE Feb20 Aug06 Jul20 Jun21 Jun13 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
5  UNCAPTURED FAITH Feb20 Jan24 Dec14 Nov25 Oct28 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  NELL'S BELLS Feb07 Dec11 Nov29 Nov02 Oct24 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUSPICIOUS MINDS Jan24 Jan05 Dec08 Nov05 Sep05 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 15% 5.90    
 
MVR-2   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKENDING Feb06 Dec27 Dec13     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 1.60    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
1A  ROARING GINGER Feb06 Dec27       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 1.60 74% 0.30    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of I RUN FOR DAN by FORMAL DINNER)
2  MISS MARY JEAN         (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00 ★    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
3  TITEBLUEJEANS Feb15 Jan26 Jan04 Dec06 Nov07 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 4.50 ★    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of RANSOM BRIDE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
4  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Feb23 Feb06 Sep14 Aug31   (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 4.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
SCR  VITA'S HOPE         (helmbrec)MARTINEZ LUIS 126 6.00 ★    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SATURDAY'S CATCH by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
6  PUNCHCORN Feb06         (bayley randy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
7  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Feb14         (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00 ★    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
MVR-3   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO CAUSE Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 Sep01 Aug02 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
1A  OAKEN Feb21 Jan26 Dec27 Nov09 Oct29 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
2  MURRY SPUR Feb13 Jan26 Dec03 Oct04 Sep20 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
3  KISSINGER Feb21 Feb13 Feb02 Dec21 Nov28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
4  PLAY BALL Feb28 Jan26 Dec12 Dec01 Nov09 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
5  OHIO PLAYER Feb13 Jan23 Jan11 Nov19 Oct29 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 ★    
6  GALACTIC Jan26 Dec08 Nov28 Jul18 Jun30 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
7  RECKLESS L J Feb13 Jan17 Dec27 Oct11 Sep20 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
8  PRIVATE DRIVE Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Dec27 Dec01 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00    
9  PAT'S KARMA Jan26 Jan10 Dec03 Nov12 Sep22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
 
MVR-4   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS VALENTINA Feb20 Dec27 Dec13     (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 5.00 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of KISS FOR DODIE by STATEMENT (IRE))
2  CATALINA         (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG (JPN) out of CHLOE KATE by AFLEET ALEX)
3  KAT TRAX Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 Sep29   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 2.50 ★    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of MENDASSITY by TOUCH GOLD)
4  KISS THE RED HEAD Nov07 Oct22 Oct03 Sep14 Jul26 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by KISS THE KID out of PAIGE'S SNIP IT by NEW WORLD ORDER)
SCR  MI CANCION Feb20 Dec27       (bird dann)BRICENO M 113 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
6  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Nov07         (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
7  BOLD NICKY Nov21 Nov07 Oct22     (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
 
MVR-5   03/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP TAXI Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 Nov13 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 7% 13.10    
SCR  ROSAS WAY Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Dec27 Jul05 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 ★    
2B  KREWE CHIEF Feb22 Jan23 Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  OVERBEARING Feb09 Jan05 Nov17 Oct04 Sep06 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.00    
3  UNION BROTHER Feb27 Dec12 Nov14 Nov02 Oct19 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 7% 14.00    
4  YOU ARE AWESOME Feb27 Sep13 Sep05 Aug18 Aug10 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
5  BEACH FRONT Feb27 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec27 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 126 5.00 ★    
SCR  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Feb20 Feb07 Jan18 Dec28 Dec12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
7  GET HAMMERED Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Jan03 Dec14 (murillo rodrig)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
8  CRAFTY CONQUEST Feb20 Nov26 Nov10 Oct24 Oct04 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
9  ALL STAR JUSTICE Feb07 Jan23 Dec29 Dec01 Nov14 (castillo )BRICENO M 119 15.00    
10  OUT FOR JUSTICE Feb07 Dec21 Dec14 Nov27 Nov13 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   03/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE COLD CAT Feb09 Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 Dec06 (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
2  SERVE REVENGE COLD Jan11 Dec12 Nov22 Oct24 Oct12 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 1.80 34% 2.00    
3  VISUAL MISSION Feb23 Jan09 Dec21 Dec06 Nov07 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 3.00 7% 12.60    
4  MONSTER HUNTER Feb09 Jan11 Dec21 Nov28 Nov12 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 20.00    
5  BIG OHIO Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 Dec06 Nov19 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
6  HANSENATION Feb20 Feb02 Sep01 Aug18 Aug02 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
7  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Feb22 Sep19 Sep05 Aug17 Aug02 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
8  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Feb02 Jan26 Dec12 Nov19 Oct29 (romero jo)BRICENO M 119 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   03/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL DRAGOON Feb21 Jan30 Jan10 Dec27 Dec14 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
SCR  MY REDEMPTION Feb08 Jan30 Dec11 Nov20 Nov11 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  MAKING ME CRAZY Feb20 Feb08 Dec20 Dec05 Nov15 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
4  COLAVITO Nov28 Nov14 Oct19 Oct12 Oct02 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Feb20 Jan26 Dec31 Nov19 Nov04 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRIGZ TOO Mar02 Jan30 Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00    
7  SMASH Feb21 Feb08 Dec29 Dec13 Nov29 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
8  HARD N'SWEET Feb22 Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 Nov08 (vickers t)PEREZ E 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
 
MVR-8   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIGHT MEISTER Feb09 Jan04 Dec03 Nov16 Oct12 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 122 20.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of MOONLIGHT SHEA by COLONEL JOHN)
2  TIER ONE Feb21 Jan26 Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 (fletcher jeff)DIAZ R 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
3  CONSTITUTION COAL Feb21 Feb09 Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
4  GOOD MUSIC Nov01 Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 Aug03 (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MY MANCITA by MR. GREELEY)
5  PAYMASTER GENERAL Feb21 Jan04       (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 117 15.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
6  HARSH TRUTH Feb21 Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 Dec03 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 122 12.00 5% 18.90    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  MAN'S CHOICE Feb21 Feb09 Jan26 Dec24   (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.00 10% 9.20    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.