Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - March 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3/2)-(5/1/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/4/3)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/3)-(4/5)-(3/4/6/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/7/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/7/2/1)-(4/5/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5)-(3/4/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5/1)-(3/4/6/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
PEN-4   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
PEN-5   WIN (9/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/5)-(9/1/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/5)-(9/1/4/5/7)-(9/1/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/4/5)-(4/3/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/4/5)-(4/3/1/2/6)-(3/4/1/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
PEN-6   WIN (4/3/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/2/6)-(4/3/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/2/6)-(4/3/1/2/6)-(4/3/1/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/1/2/6)-(3/4/1/6/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/4/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6/2)-(3/4/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6/2)-(3/4/1/6/2)-(3/4/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR MARK STEVEN Feb02 Dec21       (houghton )VARGAS L 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
2  SPELLED WELL Dec13 Nov23 Oct07 Sep22   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 ★    
3  Z'S SO GOOD Jan11 Dec13 Nov23 Nov04 Oct20 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 11% 8.20    
4  ON THE EDGE Feb16 Jan11 Dec07 Nov18   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 12% 7.00    
5  NEON SIGN Jan25 Dec16 Nov09 Oct18   (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  BRODY'S WAR Jan25 Nov18 Sep10     (carpio erin)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
7  BUCK WILD Jan26 Jan01 Nov25 Nov11 Sep30 (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 Dec21 Dec11 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 ★    
2  NAIL POLISH Feb08 Jan19 Oct14 Sep01 Jul18 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 ★    
SCR  ALL THAT MAGIC Jan13 Dec14       (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
4  LANFRANKOPHILE Feb08 Jan19 Dec02 Oct29 Oct21 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
5  QUEEN'S DREAM Feb08 Jan19 Dec02 Oct14 Sep01 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 14% 6.40    
6  COSMOLOGICAL Feb08 Jan12 Dec27 Dec14 Nov23 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
7  KNICKERSINATWIST Feb08 Jan19 Dec02 Nov18 Nov02 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-3   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMAGISM Feb15 Feb08 Jan25 Jan16 Dec20 (farro patrici)RIVERA D 122 10.00 ★    
2  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Feb08 May17 Apr29 Mar09   (schoenthal phil)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00    
3  YELLOW DRESS Feb14 Jan16 Dec19 Nov16 Nov02 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  PLATINUM PROMISE Feb08 Jan12 Dec06 Nov01 Oct04 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
5  TREAT ME SPECIAL Feb15 Jan04 Dec03 Nov11 Nov04 (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 7% 13.00    
6  MISS REMMIA Feb09 Dec10 Nov07 Oct07   (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-4   03/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRONE SWARM Feb20 Feb14 Feb06 Jan18 Jan04 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 114 5.00 ★    
2  DIGGERS DIAMOND Feb15 Jan12 Dec14 Oct11 Sep22 (geist w)BAKER J 124 15.00    
3  VISHNU Feb15 Jan12 Dec30 Nov18 Nov04 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 ★    
4  TOMASCO Feb15 Jan18 Dec09 Aug25 Jul20 (farley j)LLOYD W 124 15.00    
5  PAL CAL Feb15 Nov18 Oct21 Jul27 Jul15 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 ★    
6  BANANAS ON FIRE Feb08 Dec30 Dec06     (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES Feb02 Jun24 Jun15 May19 Mar30 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 1.60 72% 0.40    
8  ROLLING PALISADES Feb15 Jan20 Dec30 Nov29 Nov08 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 124 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-5   03/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORSE DADDY Feb04 Dec31 Nov10 Aug27 Aug05 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
2  HAYROLL Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
3  ICHIGO Feb01 Jan13 Dec20 Dec02 Mar09 (meister wil)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
4  GIVE IT A GO Feb01 Jan16 Dec29 Nov24 Nov11 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
5  ADY'S MUNNY Jan11 Dec20 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 11% 8.40    
6  HE CAME TRUE Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Oct28 Oct07 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00    
7  FRANCIS X. Feb02 Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 May13 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 ★    
8  SOUL PROVIDER Feb01 Jan17 Jan02 Dec14 Nov30 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00    
9  SUMMER ASH Feb02 Jan20 Dec14 Nov16 Oct14 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
 
PEN-6   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSIKIN Feb09 Dec16 Nov04 Oct12 Sep21 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  LIMONATA Feb15 Dec16 Nov18 Nov01 Oct17 (boyer jr)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00 7% 14.20    
3  STORMY SPELL Jan26 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Apr29 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  HILL VALLEY Jan26 Nov18 Nov01 Sep09 Apr29 (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  SHOW SOME SKIN Feb07 Jan16 Nov03 Oct17 Oct03 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 2.50    
6  ORIGINALY FROM DOT Jan26 Nov18 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 10.00 6% 15.20    
 
PEN-7   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT BARONESS Feb02 Dec30 Dec07 Nov23 Oct21 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 12% 7.00    
2  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Feb17 Jan03 Dec07 Nov23 Oct20 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 15.00 5% 18.80    
3  TROPICALDEPRESSION Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  GOLDEN BOW Feb01 Jan16 Jan04 Nov28 Mar17 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  BLEZNIATKA Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 Jun11 (lovato patr)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
6  SHOYYOOKH Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Nov23 Nov09 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
7  FALSE RULING Feb02 Jan18 Sep16 Aug31 Aug05 (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00    
8  LADY BERNADETTE Feb13 Feb01 Dec16 Dec07 Nov28 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 110 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.