Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Nov22 Oct31 Oct05 Sep19 Aug26 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 5.00 ★    
2  SUNDRENCHED Nov01 Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 (faulkner )CORREA L 124 8.00    
3  ACT LIKE A LADY Aug24 Aug04 Jun21 Mar28 Feb16 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 ★    
4  PUBLICIST Nov14 Oct31 Oct11 Sep20 Sep07 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  UNTAPPED ENERGY Oct30 Oct02 Sep13 Aug22 Jul25 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
6  RIVA BELLE Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 Oct12 Oct02 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 4.00 31% 2.30    
7  FLECK Oct17 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-2   12/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONGRATS JENSEN Nov01 Oct07 Aug23 Aug01 Jul13 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
1A  LOVELY LADY LINDA Nov23 Mar19 Mar05 Feb01 Jan14 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 10.00    
2  BEEBLEGEE Nov23 Oct29 Oct11 Apr05 Mar23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 9% 10.30    
3  GIFT FROM MOM Nov10 Oct05 Sep02 Aug13 Aug01 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
4  HEIDI'S BACK Nov23 Nov16 Nov03 Oct06 Sep21 (suarez ja)CORREA L 124 10.00    
5  SPEAK LIGHTLY Oct11 Sep01 Aug01 Jun28 Jun01 (ruberto v)DIAZ R 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
6  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Nov17 Oct07 Sep02 Aug17 Aug04 (wi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
7  SWEET BETTY JOYCE Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 Sep14 Aug15 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   12/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRY UP CHIC CHIC Nov02 Sep13 Jul27 Jun14   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 1.60 51% 1.00    
2  IMA SURE BET Nov16 Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 Aug22 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 126 10.00 ★    
3  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE Oct04 Sep06 Aug16 Jul21 Jun19 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 125 8.00 ★    
4  ASHWICKEN Nov04 Oct20 Oct07 Aug27 Jul16 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 4.50    
5  LIZNOW Nov07 Oct24 Sep16     (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 125 3.00 ★    
6  SWEET ASHLEY Oct24 May13 May07 Jan27 Jan14 (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
7  LOVINGTIZ Oct25 Sep20 Apr24 Apr15   (bracho j)BRACHO A 125 8.00    
 
MVR-4   12/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKING ME CRAZY Nov15 Nov08 Oct22 Sep29 Sep19 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50    
2  HAPPILEA Oct22 Jul13 Jun13 Apr28 Mar15 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
3  LAUTREC Nov15 Oct27 Oct14 Sep14 Aug17 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
4  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Nov28 Nov09 Oct07 Aug28 Jul18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 8% 11.80    
5  SAINT GOAR Nov07 Oct18 Oct03 Aug31 Jul21 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 ★    
6  LAZARUS PROJECT Nov08 Oct22 Oct10 Sep29 Sep15 (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 9% 10.10    
7  ASTRO JAK Nov09 Oct22 May25 Apr25 Apr15 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 7% 13.00    
 
MVR-5   12/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAIL'S DANCER Nov23 Sep08 Aug17 Aug03 Jul01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 11% 8.50    
2  SO GO MY LUCEILLE Nov17 Oct29 Sep22 Jul20 Jul05 (brown t)BRACHO A 124 15.00 7% 13.40    
3  BAY MAGIC Nov17 Nov01 Sep26 Aug23 Aug04 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 15% 5.70    
4  BISCAYNE BAY Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 12.00    
5  APPEALING SENORITA Nov19 Oct25 Sep27 Sep12 Aug25 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
6  STAR MABEE Nov17 Oct26 Oct03 Sep01 Aug09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
7  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Nov22 Nov03 Oct05 Sep13 Aug09 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50    
8  BOX STEP Nov22 Oct29 Oct06 Sep07 Aug17 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 4.00    
9  CHECK OUT LINE Jul15 Jun30 Jun11 Jun01 May13 (cline c)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
10  PROPHETESS Oct29 Oct11 Sep12 Aug29 Jul26 (bird d)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 16% 5.40    
 
MVR-6   12/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACTSPECTATION Nov08 Oct06 Sep13 Jan24   (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
2  ARTEMUS EAGLE Nov08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug26 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
3  COME SEE ABOUT IT Sep30 Sep14 Aug18 Jul22 Jul05 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  STAR HAWK Nov10 Oct14 Sep29 Jun14 May18 (erdel john)RIVERA R 126 1.80 40% 1.50    
SCR  AMERICAN UNION Nov22 Oct22 Sep14 Aug24 Aug06 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 10% 8.90    
6  OPEN OUT Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 Aug25 Aug10 (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 12.00    
7  ZERO GRAVITY Nov02 Oct26 Sep28 Sep05 Aug17 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   12/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOANA'S TALE Nov22 Nov08 Aug29 Aug09 Jul28 (dodge alber)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.00    
2  SHE MAKES ME TIZZY Nov22 Nov07 Oct03 Sep12 Aug04 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 4.00 25% 2.90    
3  DANCE ON OVER Oct25 Oct06 Sep22 Sep09 Aug25 (green troy)RIVERA R 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  PRINCESS MORO Nov15 Oct11 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00    
5  PASATIME Nov15 Oct13 Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  HALF LEGEND Nov15 Nov08 Oct26 Oct13 Sep21 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 6% 16.20    
7  GRAN MAMIBELLA Nov22 Nov08 Oct22 Oct06 Sep21 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 125 6.00 ★    
8  PEACH BELLINI Nov28 Nov01 Oct11 Sep19 Sep07 (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   12/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Nov16 Aug31 Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
1A  MASTER Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug29 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00    
2  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Nov10 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 Sep01 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 123 15.00 ★    
SCR  STEINBECK Nov26 Nov12 Oct29 Oct20 Oct08 (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00    
4  KAELY'S BROTHER Oct27 Sep22 Jan30     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  FAMOUS N FLASHY         (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
6  DESOTO'S WAR Nov17 Oct14 Sep23 Sep07 Aug11 (bright derri)HALDAR J 124 6.00 5% 17.20    
7  UNCLEJACKOMO Nov16 Oct27 Oct03 Sep15 Aug29 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
8  ATOMIC TONE Nov14 Oct12 Sep15 Jul01   (rone mike)GONZALEZ A 125 3.50 43% 1.30    
9  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Nov10 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 Aug16 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
10  ICON Nov10 Nov03 Sep16 Aug21 Jul24 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 10.00 ★    
11  SHARKS COVE Aug16         (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.