Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/2)-(2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/2)-(2/7/6)-(7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(7/1/5)-(3/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(3/6/5)-(5/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(5/3/6)-(2/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/4/1)-(3/1/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(3/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(3/1/7/2)-(10/1/3/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/2)-(10/1/3/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/2)-(10/1/3/8/2)-(12/4/13/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-9   WIN (10/1/3/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/3/8/2)-(10/1/3/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/3/8/2)-(10/1/3/8/2)-(10/1/3/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/3/8/2)-(12/4/13/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
AQU-10   WIN (12/4/13/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/4/13/5/3)-(12/4/13/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/4/13/5/3)-(12/4/13/5/3)-(12/4/13/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/22/2025 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILES AND MILES Nov15 Sep22 Sep02     (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
  (by MITOLE out of CATALINA ISLAND by BELONG TO ME)
2  DOMINICAN PIRATE Jan04 Oct12 Sep02     (jimenez l)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of BLANK SLATE by GIO PONTI)
3  POWERED BY COAL Jan04 Nov03 Oct19 Aug30   (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SHARED DREAMS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
4  DEAR CHAIRMAN Jan25 Dec15 Nov25     (guerrero ca)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of AUNT CHIPPY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  ASSET MANAGEMENT Feb01 Dec15 Nov17 Nov02   (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of INDEMAND by SAARLAND)
6  MAGNI Jan04 Nov17 Oct18 Sep22   (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CARAMEAWAY by LAWYER RON)
7  LUCKY DRAGON Jan25 Nov23       (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of HUNDRED ACRE WOOD by TEUFLESBERG)
 
AQU-2   02/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLLY MISS JILL Jan19 Jan05 Dec14 Nov08 Oct10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.80    
1A  HALO CITY Jan19 Jan03 Nov08 Oct20 Aug16 (rodriguez rudy)CEDENO CAROL 121 1.80    
2  RAW POWER Jan31 Jan05 Dec14 Nov26 Nov12 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  FIND YOUR JOY Jan23 Jan05 Dec12 Nov17 Oct18 (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 2.00    
4  EVERLYS GIRL Jan31 Jan25 Jan12 Dec08 Nov21 (chatterpaul )HARKIE K 123 12.00    
SCR  OBSTINATE Jan14 Dec16 Dec09 Nov18 Oct16 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 123 5.00    
6  SISTER LINDA Jan05 Dec08 Nov08 May25 May10 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00 17% 4.90    
7  CONDIMENT GIRL Jan05 Dec14 Nov07 Oct10 Sep15 (potts wayne)ROBLES O 116 15.00 19% 4.30    
 
AQU-3   02/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Heavenly Prize Invitational Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID'S LAST LAUGH Jan05 Nov17 Oct04 Mar28 Feb24 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of KID SILVER by SILVER GHOST)
SCR  CATCHPHRASE Jan31 Dec13 Nov22     (green j)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GRACE'S TREASURE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  WEIGH THE RISKS Jan19 Nov16 Oct10 Jul07 Jun06 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL LIAR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  PATRICIA ANN Jan05 Nov29 May04 Mar28 Feb24 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
5  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Jan11 Dec06 Oct10 Aug28 Jul18 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
6  BON ADIEU Dec27 Oct27 Oct19 Sep20 Aug14 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VIVA SHEILA by TIZNOW)
7  AUSSIE GIRL (IRE) Dec01 Oct17 Aug31     (walden william)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 34% 1.90    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of RAVISSANTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
AQU-4   02/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Jan01 Dec01 Jul05 May26 Apr27 (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
2  BEIRA Jan24 Nov29 Oct18 Aug16 Jun29 (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.50 20% 4.00    
3  BLENHEIM BABY Jun27 Jun15 Apr17 Feb10 Jan03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 31% 2.30    
4  FOCUS POCUS Jan12 Dec08 Nov09 Oct20 Aug23 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00    
5  TO BE LOVED BY YOU Dec28 Nov12 Oct01     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  DAT DARES RIGHT Feb09 Jan16 Dec08 Oct13 Apr05 (keithan racha)OLVER MADISON 123 20.00    
7  STREET VIEW Jan31 Dec29 Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00    
SCR  SHE'S COOL Jan24 Jan12 Dec27 Nov22 Oct20 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
 
AQU-5   02/22/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONDSLIKSOMDINIDDO May02 Apr11 Jan14 Sep04   (falcone rober)JARA FERNANDO 123 5.00    
2  SEVENTH RACE SHAKE Nov27 Nov12 Oct14 Sep19 Jul26 (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 123 15.00    
3  YORK TAVERN Jan25 Jan18 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 31% 2.30    
4  BOSS THREE O TWO Feb15 Jan11 Apr21 Mar10   (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00    
5  KING FREUD Feb07 Jan11 Oct05 Sep21 Aug04 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MR. MENDELSSOHN Jan25 Jan01 Nov30 Nov09 Sep19 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  CONNIVING Feb07 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 Nov17 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 123 4.00    
SCR  KING OF THE GODS Feb24 Dec08 Sep10     (sacco )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
 
AQU-6   02/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCAT TU TAP Feb02 Jan24 Jan11 Dec14 Nov29 (arriaga anto)HARKIE K 123 8.00    
2  HOULTON Jan24 Dec28 Nov29 Oct03 Aug24 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
3  TRAFFIC MASTER Jan28 Jan11 Dec14 Nov12 Oct16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  MELT WITH YOU Feb02 Jan11 Dec28 Dec12 Nov19 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 8.00    
5  FRIZZANTE Jan11 Dec13 Sep29 Aug16 Jul04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.40 28% 2.50    
6  FINAL DENILE Jan11 Dec01 Nov23 Oct04 Aug24 (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 22% 3.60    
7  BERNING BEAUTY Feb02 Jan03 Nov29 Oct31 Sep22 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00    
SCR  BLAME IT ON DADDY Jan24 Jan03 Nov16 Oct18 Sep21 (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
 
AQU-7   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY ROYAL VOW Jan05 Nov26 Nov18 Oct09 Sep16 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
2  GRIDLOCK Jan10 Oct12 Jul20 Jun28 Apr21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  LIKA ROLLING STONE Jan31 Nov19 Oct29 Sep23 Sep09 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
5  DASHING DELLA Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 Nov30 Nov01 (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
6  MYSARIA Feb01 Jan05 Dec12 Aug02 Jul07 (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00    
SCR  BEDTIME STORY (IRE) Jan01 Nov19 Oct21 Jul30 Mar25 (johnston rob)OLVER MADISON 123 2.50    
SCR  FULIGNI Nov26 Nov17 Jul28 Jun30 May21 (bond kevin)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
9  POSEIDON'S MIST Feb01 Jan04 Nov21 Oct17 Sep02 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
SCR  IRISH JACKSON Dec12 Nov09 Jun30 May24 Apr07 ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-8   02/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARALO Jan30 Apr19 Feb24 Jan13 Dec16 (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 25% 2.90    
2  BRACIOLE Jan26 Dec15 Nov20 Nov05 Oct23 (giglio gina)LUZZI J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEARY FUNNY Jan19 Dec13 Dec01 Oct25 Oct12 (morey e)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  GOLDEN ARM Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 (smith lawrence )DAVIS KATIE 121 50.00    
5  HUMSTINGER Jan26 Dec29 Nov15     (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
6  CONCORDE SPIRIT Feb02 Jan19 Jan11 Dec28 Nov15 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
7  TRUST FUND Jan26 Oct16 Sep25 Aug27 Aug11 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 15% 5.50    
8  NOONZIO Jan26 Dec28 Oct25 Sep29 Aug29 (giangiulio mic)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50    
 
AQU-9   02/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTE DE BAYEUX Jan31 Dec28 Nov30 Nov09 Oct03 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  STRONSINO Feb03 Dec13 Nov08 Jun02 Apr27 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
2  COLLOQUY Jan25 Dec28 Nov22 Oct12 Aug18 (abreu r)JARA FERNANDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  EMIRATES ROAD Jan03 Nov10 Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 11% 8.00    
4  IRIDESCENT Feb09 Jan11 Dec07 Oct31 Sep15 (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
5  SMILE MON Jan24 Jan05 Nov14 Oct19 Sep21 (atras )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
6  GOOD MONEY Jan19 Apr06 Mar09 Jan26   (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
7  WAITLIST Feb02 Jan11 Oct19 Sep01 Jul24 (rice linda)CEDENO CAROL 123 10.00    
8  SHADOW DRAGON Jan23 Dec14 Nov22 Sep28 Aug01 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  ARROW SPEED Jan08 Dec14 Nov13 Oct16 Oct08 (de horacio)DAVIS KATIE 123 30.00    
10  BOURBON CHASE Jan25 Dec14 Nov22 Oct24 Sep28 (maker michael )LUZZI J 123 6.00 36% 1.80    
 
AQU-10   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZN'T ANYMORE         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MISS NANCY by ARCH)
SCR  WILL OF A WOMANNE         (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 120 15.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of ANNIE GO LIGHTLY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
3  LADY RAINICORN         (morey william )LUZZI J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of CUELLO DE LUNA by CHEROKEE RUN)
4  INTO STARDOM         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HIGHWAY STAR by GIROLAMO)
5  ELENI Dec07 Nov03 Oct05     (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of HERE'S ZEALICIOUS by HERE'S ZEALOUS)
SCR  GIULIANA'S DREAM Jan23 Jan10       (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of BULLISH SENTIMENT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  LADY OF MERCIA Feb13 Jan30 Nov16     (keithan )VILLA FAVINHO 120 50.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of TACTFUL SUSAN by HONOR CODE)
8  RARE SOCIETY         (rice linda)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
9  TRULLI MAGIC Jan23 Dec14 Nov16     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of MAKENNAS MAGIC by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  OTHERPEOPLESMONEY         (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of PLUTO FLIGHT by SILENT NAME (JPN))
11  VINO SAMARA Dec01 Oct20       (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SAMARA by HARD SPUN)
12  SASSY SHENANIGANS Jun23         (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of IRISH HEROINE by STREET HERO)
13  TWIRLY         (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ESTILO FEMENINO by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
14  MOONTOWN         (rice linda)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of CULVER MISS by ORB)
SCR  CALISA         (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 30.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of QUITE DRAMATIC by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.