Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Monday - February 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(9/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(9/6/4/5)-(3/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (9/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/5)-(9/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/5)-(9/6/4/5)-(9/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/4/5)-(3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/4/5)-(3/6/8)-(1/4/7/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(1/4/7/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(1/4/7/2/6)-(4/3/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-4   WIN (1/4/7/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2/6)-(1/4/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2/6)-(1/4/7/2/6)-(1/4/7/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/7/2/6)-(4/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/2/6)-(4/3/6)-(5/2/4/8/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-5   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(5/2/4/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(5/2/4/8/3)-(3/4/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (5/2/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/8/3)-(5/2/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/8/3)-(5/2/4/8/3)-(5/2/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/4/8/3)-(3/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/8/3)-(3/4/5/1)-(8/10/7/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/1)-(8/10/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/1)-(8/10/7/11)-(4/1/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/10/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/7/11)-(8/10/3/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/7/11)-(8/10/3/7/11)-(8/10/3/7/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/10/7/11)-(4/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-9   WIN (4/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SENSE YOU ASKED Jan31 Dec20 Nov29 Feb18 Jan21 (mouton cha)ALBERT S 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PUCKSTER Jan27 Jan02 Dec15 Sep22 Sep09 (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 3.50    
3  LA BOUCANE Jan27 Jan02 Dec20 Nov29 Mar22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 20.00    
4  SKIP THE LINE Jan04 Jan31 Jan01 Oct01 Jul29 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 125 0.80 74% 0.40    
5  RAYFIELD Jan27 Jan02 Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 125 20.00    
6  BRILLIANT CALL Jan26 Jan04 Nov23     (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 2.50 ★    
7  ROSENOW Jan27 Nov06 Sep20     (heitzman eri)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   02/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONGRATS CADET         (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
2  KINSLEY GRACE Feb01 Jan18 Dec29 Dec14 Oct12 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
3  LOVE IN THE DARK Jan31 Jan01 Dec06 Aug09   (sanchez c)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
4  EVE OF EVE Jan18         (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 18% 4.70    
5  CALL ME SUSAN Jan18 Dec14 Nov22 Oct11 Aug31 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  A WICKED NUMBER Jan18 Dec12       (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 120 3.00 21% 3.90    
7  IT'S BEEN REAL         (gelner jayde)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00    
8  TITTLE Jan02 Dec12       (woodley j)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
9  BECKY'SGOTTAHAVEIT Feb06 Jan02 Dec12     (david b)TORRES A 120 4.00 32% 2.20    
 
FG-3   02/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO SMOKING Jan12 Dec21 Nov28 Oct06 Sep15 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
SCR  OLIVIA G Jan11 Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 (west g)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
3  EMILYHASHERTURN Jan01 Dec19 Nov28 Nov09 Oct18 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 46% 1.20    
4  SAVED BY GRACE Jan26 Jan11 Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 122 3.00    
5  ANITA'S VISION Jan11 Aug19 Feb29 Feb08 Jan07 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
6  SWEET ALEXIS Jan30 Dec15 Nov22 Oct11 Aug31 (devereux p)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  DREWSILLA Jan26 Jan04 Aug19 Jun17 May13 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 5.00    
8  PAT HAND GIRL Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 Nov28 Oct18 (hargrave ke)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 15.00 8% 12.00    
 
FG-4   02/17/2025 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOITANO Jan24 Jan03 Nov12 Jun07 May01 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
2  TWOKO BAY Jan30 Jan09 Dec16 Nov24 Nov02 (scherer g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  SKI PATROL Jan09 Dec13 Oct24 Sep18 Aug15 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50    
4  Z Z'S PRINCE Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 Sep14 (zeringue j)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
5  SHORTLIST Jan30 Dec28 May23 Apr27 Apr17 (munoz yovani)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
6  SEVEN CHANNELS Feb01 Jan16 Dec16 Nov24 Aug09 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FIREWATER JAKE Jan09 Oct10 Sep19 Sep04 Aug01 (barnett bo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 10% 9.10    
8  NILES CHANNEL Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Oct10 Sep12 (tracy tann)ALBERT S 120 15.00    
9  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jan09 Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
SCR  X J RASCAL (IRE) Jan30 Jan19 Dec03 Nov05 Oct09 (jeansonne ju)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
11  HOODLUM Jan04 Nov16 Oct18 Sep22 Jul20 (stall m)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
12  ALL ABOUT TONITE Jan16 Dec26 Dec05 Nov23 Nov02 (rodriguez ed)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 20.00    
 
FG-5   02/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T DENY IT Jan18 Dec19       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
SCR  MOBETTERTHANGOOD Jan18 Sep02       (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
3  INSTANT REPLAY Dec13 Nov09 Sep27 Aug12   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  JOEJOE GO Jan16 Dec19       (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  HANDSOME PANTS Jan26 Oct05 Sep14     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
6  PERRY COUNTY Jan25 Nov20 Nov01 Sep28 Aug25 (litfin veronic)THORNTON G 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FURIO Jan20 Sep12       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
 
FG-6   02/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM FORCE Jul27 Jun21 May27 Mar21 Feb29 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 20.00    
2  PAVED IN GOLD Apr13 Mar16 Feb10     (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 8% 12.00    
3  HIGGINSVILLE Jan05 Dec15 Nov29 Jul15 Jul05 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  JUNGLE LAW Jan26 Dec27 Oct24 Oct05 Jul15 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 125 10.00 7% 12.90    
5  MAGISTRATE Apr26 Mar20 Feb14 Jan17 Dec28 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 125 4.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  GRAND ACADEMIC Jan25 Jan10 Dec19 Nov30 Nov08 (husak gary )ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 10.00    
7  NA PALI JOE Jan05 Nov24 Oct30 Sep08 Aug03 (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 125 10.00    
8  INTERLUDE Jan26 Nov29 Oct10 Jun08 Nov25 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  TROUBLE SHOW         (foley greg)TORRES A 125 12.00    
10  BERKUS (FR) Feb02         (stall m)GRAHAM J 125 6.00    
11  MAX S Jan04 Dec22 Dec10 Nov10   (gomez jorge)DEL-CID VICENTE 125 30.00    
12  WARP NINE Dec27 Dec07 Nov03 Sep08 Aug25 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50    
13  SHARP STRIKE Nov24 Sep05 Aug08 Jun08 Apr13 (simpson da)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 12.00    
 
FG-7   02/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GERLIN'S EMPIRE Dec21 Nov28 Nov06 Sep26 Aug07 (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ITWILLBEFUN Jan20 Dec29 Nov28 Nov13 Oct10 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
3  TROUBLE IN LOVE Jan20 Dec01       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  EVANESCENCE Sep13 Aug03       (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  MRS. MENDELSSOHN Jan20 Dec22 Nov08 Oct26   (landry r)THORNTON G 119 8.00 9% 9.70    
6  STABLE CURRENCY Jan20 Dec21 Nov15 Oct18 Sep26 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00    
7  PRIMA BELLA Jan19 Dec21 Nov29 Oct12   (brinkman bre)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
8  PONDERING Jan20 Oct05 Aug31 Jul22   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50    
 
FG-8   02/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORILLA TREK Jan27 Jan04 Nov28 Sep26 Sep01 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00    
2  IF I WERE YOU Jan27 Dec07 Oct26 Sep18 Jul06 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
3  BETTERA Jan17 Jan01 Dec14 Sep14 Aug18 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 ★    
4  EZ ROLL Jan01 Nov16 Oct18 Sep21 Aug15 (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
5  GOTTA KEEP HIM Jan17 Jan01 Dec07 Sep04 Jul17 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00    
6  FAITH RUNNER Jan27 Jan01 Jun13 May23 May04 (stewart dall)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
7  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Jan01 Nov22 Oct13 Aug04 Jun16 (simpson daniel)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  KAKE'S ARROW Jul06 May17 Apr13 Feb15 Dec22 (russell br)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
9  LAST ATTACK Jan17 Dec20 Dec08 Oct12 Jul04 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
10  D DAY REUNION Dec14 Oct30 Oct08 Sep19 Aug22 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 14% 6.20    
11  YOU'RE ON MUTE Jan17 Dec20 Dec07 Nov27 Oct12 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HE'S A FINE BABY Jan19 Sep14 Jul22     (foster joseph )THORNTON G 111 20.00    
SCR  KICK A BUCK Nov09 Oct26 Sep19 Aug31 Aug04 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
SCR  NORWICH Feb01 Jan03 Oct24 Aug31 Jul11 (mcgee paul)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.50    
SCR  CLOUD FOREST Jan27 Sep01 Jan12 Dec02 Oct20 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00    
SCR  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON Jul20 Jun07 May02 Apr12 Jul04 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
 
FG-9   02/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOCKEY'S DRIVETHRU Jan25 Dec21 Nov28 Jul25 Jun21 (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  BLACK SWORD Feb01 Jan18 Dec27 Nov22 Nov08 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 6.00    
3  CLEAR AS A BELE Feb01 Dec28 Dec14 Nov23 Aug31 (dandridge courtn)RIQUELME J 120 6.00    
4  BENJI STAR Jan18 Dec12 Nov28 Mar07 Feb17 (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
SCR  CALIBRACHOA KID Aug27 Aug13 Jul05 Jun21 May08 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
6  SONOFASHIP Dec27 Nov30 Sep15 Jul18 Jun01 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
7  BIG CHOPPER Feb01 Jan08 Nov22 Oct06 Aug05 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 120 15.00 17% 5.10    
8  PRODIGY PARADISE Jan25 Dec05 Oct23 Jun15 May17 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  DUVEE Apr12 Mar22 Mar06 Feb10 Jan19 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.