Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/5/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(6/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(6/5/4/3)-(5/8/4/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/3)-(5/8/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/3)-(5/8/4/2)-(4/5/6/7/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/2)-(4/5/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/2)-(4/5/6/7/9)-(8/7/3/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/5/6/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/7/9)-(4/5/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7/9)-(4/5/6/7/9)-(4/5/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/6/7/9)-(8/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/7/9)-(8/7/3/6)-(3/8/7/4/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/4/3/6)-(8/7/4/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/3/6)-(3/8/7/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3/6)-(3/8/7/4/6)-(3/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/8/7/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/4/6)-(3/8/7/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/4/6)-(3/8/7/4/6)-(3/8/7/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/7/4/6)-(3/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/4/6)-(3/7/6)-(2/6/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(2/6/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (2/6/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/9)-(2/6/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/9)-(2/6/4/9)-(2/6/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI PRINCE Dec05 Nov11 Oct26 Oct02 Sep10 (cline c)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
2  REINVESTEDINTEREST Dec05 Nov19 Oct26 Oct11 Aug06 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Dec05 Nov02 Oct02 Sep17 Aug27 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
4  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Dec16 Dec05 Nov25 Nov11 Oct22 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHAT A RUSH Oct02 Sep07 Aug17 Jul26 Jul04 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
6  COWTOWN BOSS Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 May06 Mar13 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50    
7  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Dec19 Dec04 Oct29 Oct08 Sep19 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 124 2.50    
 
MVR-2   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAN ANDREWS Dec07 Nov06 Oct10 Sep02 Aug22 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50    
2  HOLY SAINT Nov18 Oct23 Mar20 Sep07 Aug21 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 8.00 7% 13.70    
3  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Nov05 Oct23 Sep04 Jul11 Jun06 (lopez e)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  REAL NAUGHTY Nov16 Sep24 Sep03 Jul23 Jul08 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
5  MY HANDSOME MAN Dec11 Nov27 Nov14 Jul25 Jul13 (ovando mo)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
6  INSIDE STUNT Dec02 Nov11 Oct30 Sep24 Jun11 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 1.80 64% 0.60    
7  FROSTY PAWS Dec02 Nov14 Oct19 Oct02 Mar26 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
8  TAP EM Nov17 Oct24 Oct16 Sep25 Sep16 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
 
MVR-3   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE PINK Z Dec18 Dec05 Nov02 Oct02 Sep07 (silva fernando)HERMAN NOEL 119 20.00    
2  GOLDEN MONEY Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 Oct11 Oct02 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 4.00    
3  PRIVATE DRIVE Dec05 Nov02 Sep25 Sep10 Aug12 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOTROD BOBBY Dec18 Dec05 Nov21 Oct29 Oct08 (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  MUCHO PRIMO Dec19 Dec05 Nov19 Oct29 Oct11 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 4.50 17% 4.70    
6  WILDCAT BILL Dec05 Nov18 Oct29 Sep26 Sep09 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 126 3.00 51% 1.00    
7  RAISE THE PURSES Dec16 Nov26 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
8  SPIRIT OF AKRON Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 (bailey ricardo)VEGA L 123 8.00    
 
MVR-4   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST LUCK Dec12 Nov25 Oct30 Oct02 Sep19 (short thomas)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
2  REASON TO BELIEVE Dec12 Oct30 Oct08 Sep30 Aug09 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
SCR  LUKE'S LASSO Dec12 Nov25 Oct30 Oct02 Sep19 (short w)STOKES J 122 20.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
4  MISS LITTLE BIT Dec05 Nov25 Oct30 Sep30 Sep09 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 7% 13.90    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIP NINETY THREE by HARLINGTON)
5  HEAVYLIKEACHEVY Dec02 Nov20       (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of BEAR'S PEARL by SEEKING THE DIA)
6  RUFUS Dec12 Nov25 Nov11     (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 122 3.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KEY VISTA by REDATTORE (BRZ))
SCR  EL ADIVINO Dec02         (flores christia)LEON A 122 20.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SEA SWIFT by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
8  MISTER ROSSO Dec12 Nov13 Oct28     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 2.50 13% 7.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SHELTOWEE'S POINT by CALEB'S POSSE)
9  SAVE FERRIS Dec12 Nov25       (zielinski ri)AYALA J 122 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SANDRA'S DAY by MR. GREELEY)
 
MVR-5   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEE SPOT RUN Dec12 Nov20 Oct15 Oct01 Sep18 (spiess m)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00    
2  SALTA Nov21 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Mar25 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
3  K P SILVER BULLET Dec12 Nov20 Nov04 Oct19 Oct07 (castillo jab)HALDAR J 124 12.00    
4  SOUTHERN SENSE Nov27 Nov18 Nov12 Oct22 Oct13 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
5  GAME BOY BENNY Dec16 Nov26 Nov06 Oct28 Oct19 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
6  IRISH UNITY Dec10 Nov26 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 8.00 16% 5.30    
7  THE COACHMAN Dec16 Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 Jul04 (urieta)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ABE HONESTLY Nov20 Oct08 Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
9  ONE RED CENT Dec12 Nov21 Oct15 Sep18 Sep07 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WETZEL Dec02 Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 Aug20 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
2  GAPPER Dec04 Nov14 Oct02 Sep07 Aug09 (galloway khadee)REYES FRANK 123 20.00    
3  TEAM LEYENDECKER Dec08 Nov27 Dec28 Dec13 Nov28 (ramgee)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DARK VADER Dec11 Oct26 Oct10 Sep10 Jun07 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Dec11 Oct22 Sep26 Apr25 Jun02 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
6  GONE IN A FLASH Dec05 Sep26 Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  UPTOWN Dec05 Nov04 Jul09 Jun07 May14 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
8  LIBERATE Dec11 Oct06 Jun13 May15 Mar11 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
9  OKLAHOMA JOE Nov25 Nov04 Sep26 Aug30 Aug06 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 124 10.00    
10  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Nov18 Nov04 Oct03 Jul31 Jul10 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   12/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPA DUDE Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun13 May23 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 126 20.00    
2  BLESS THE KITTEN Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 Aug12 Jul30 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 15.00    
3  GEAUX YOSHKA Sep18 Aug28 Jul25 Jun27 May30 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
4  BREEZY MONEY Nov26 Nov13 Oct20 Sep18 Aug20 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DOCTOR WU Dec16 Nov26 Oct22 Oct07 Aug22 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 126 3.50    
6  CUGINE Nov19 Oct22 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  C J ALL THE WAY Oct08 Aug11 Jul09 May09 Apr09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 5.00 8% 10.90    
8  COLLECTORATE Jun23 Jun02 Nov07 Sep17 Aug21 (urieta johanna)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 23% 3.40    
9  CREDIT RIVER Nov13 Oct23 Aug27 Aug06 Jun25 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00    
 
MVR-8   12/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BANK BUSTER Dec03 Nov05 Oct19 Sep19 Jun22 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00    
2  PRINCESSTAPITURE Dec02 Nov16 Oct28 Oct14 Sep24 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
3  GRAY ROYALITY Dec03 Nov05 Apr23 Mar27 Feb06 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
4  ELIKA Dec12 Dec03 Nov18 Nov05 Oct28 (bailey ricardo)VEGA L 124 20.00    
SCR  DEE DEE B Nov03 Sep02 Aug12 Jun13 May08 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
6  SWEET SERENADE Dec01 Nov02 Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DIVINE FASHION Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Sep01 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 16% 5.40    
8  CHARGE NURSE Nov29 Nov12 Oct07 Sep17 Jul25 (knudsen kent)STOKES J 124 6.00    
 
MVR-9   12/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEXAS HOBO         (bogart ro)POTTINGER MICHAEL 120 20.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of PEPPER RIDGE by STREET BOSS)
2  RED IN FRONT Dec07 Nov17 Oct13 Sep01 Jul26 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of SWEEPING FRONT by WAR FRONT)
3  CLOUDY CLOUD         (al)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of AEROSCOUT by DUNKIRK)
4  GREAT REVELATION Dec05 Jul14 Jun29     (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 10.00 6% 14.70    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
5  BEER TIME         (short thomas)SOSA LAUREANO 125 6.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of CHEESECAKE by NELSON (IRE))
6  DOCS LEGEND         (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 125 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CREATE A LEGEND by MEADOWLAKE)
7  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Dec11 Nov14 Oct28 Sep24 Aug20 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 125 2.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
8  DAME STRAIGHT Aug16 Jul26 May31 May16 Mar14 (donjuan sergi)CEDILLO MAURO 123 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of ISSUED by U S RANGER)
9  SAILINGTHEISLANDS Nov20 Nov05 Oct07 Sep17 Aug27 (mahan p)DIAZ I 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of TANCOOK by MACHO UNO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.