Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - December 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/4)-(7/5/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/4)-(7/5/6/9)-(3/4/1/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/5/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/9)-(7/5/3/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/9)-(7/5/3/6/9)-(7/5/3/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/6/9)-(3/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/9)-(3/4/1/5)-(2/10/11/3/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/5)-(2/10/11/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/5)-(2/10/11/3/8)-(6/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/10/11/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/11/3/8)-(2/10/11/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/11/3/8)-(2/10/11/3/8)-(2/10/11/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/11/3/8)-(6/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/10/11/3/8)-(6/3/7)-(4/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-6   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(4/5/6)-(6/3/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(6/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAZZBERRY RIPPLE Nov26         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 8.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of RAZZLEDAZZLE ME by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
2  SHANGHAI DELIGHT Oct26         (rone mike)AVILES YAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of TURNER'S HALL by FOREST WILDCAT)
3  FOXY'S COUNTRY HIT Nov13 Oct26       (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 122 4.00 11% 8.10    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BILLBOARD HIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  CREDIT CHECK Nov26         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CREDIT ANALYST by CENTRAL BANKER)
5  UBETCHAMISTER         (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 1.60 59% 0.70    
  (by VEKOMA out of ROXANNE O by ROCK HARD TEN)
6  A THOUSAND PRAYERS Nov26 Nov13       (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 122 3.50    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
 
MVR-2   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LAST FACT Nov27 Nov02 Oct22 Jan06 Dec09 (castillo ja)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 15.00    
2  TAPSOLUTION Nov17 Oct24 Oct07 Sep20 Sep04 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
3  CARABINERO Nov21 May21 Feb15 Jan22 Dec04 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 15% 5.90    
4  SUMMERFEST Nov27 Nov12 Oct23 Oct08 Sep20 (urieta johann)ZONETT KEYNER 126 8.00 6% 17.10    
5  DYRDEK Nov20 Nov03 Oct07 Sep04 Aug21 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
6  BOURBON AND ICE Nov27 Oct25 Sep29 Aug30 Apr21 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
7  IRISH UNITY Nov26 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Aug06 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
8  LOCK ON Nov20 Nov04 Oct03 Sep13 Aug09 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00    
 
MVR-3   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEAM TRAVIS Nov11 Oct09 Sep25 Sep12 Aug23 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
2  SAGE RUNNER Nov26 Nov07 Oct23 Oct10 Sep23 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50    
3  NIGHTSCAPE Sep23 Jun13 May02 Mar15 Feb21 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 5.00 ★    
4  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Nov26 Nov11 Oct10 Sep23 Aug26 (erdel joh)POTTINGER MICHAEL 118 15.00    
5  TURBO TRIP Nov18 Nov02 Sep24 Jun10 May21 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 4.50 19% 4.40    
6  MANSION PARTY Nov26 Nov07 Oct23 Oct05 Sep11 (short thomas)PEREZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUN FOR REAGAN Nov27 Nov08 Sep27 Aug16 Jul05 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 54% 0.80    
8  HECHICERO Nov26 Sep30 Aug30 Aug19 Jun30 (rom)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 8.00    
9  DOMI Nov20 Jun27 Jun08 Apr24 Apr04 (szczepan)MARTINEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   12/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR NOVEL Nov18 Aug03 Jun08 May18 Apr24 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Oct29 Oct11 Aug15 Jul23 Jun17 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
3  SMASH Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40 51% 1.00    
4  BOBBY'S GIFT Nov18 Nov05 Sep28 Sep06 Jul12 (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 126 3.50 21% 3.80    
5  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Nov27 Nov05 Oct23 Oct10 Sep30 (ortiz-ru)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOBBY G Oct23 Oct07 Jun05 May22 May05 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 2.00    
7  VISKI JONES Nov11 Jun05 May24 May16 Mar07 (winters michelle)STOKES J 126 20.00    
 
MVR-5   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE PLATE Nov26 Nov11 Oct26 Sep26 Sep09 (langley joshu)ZONETT KEYNER 123 6.00    
2  ROLL ON MAX Nov11 Oct26 Sep04 Jul31 Jul01 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  FORT GRANDE Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Aug28 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Oct26 Sep19 Aug15 Jul19 Jun26 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
5  WAR ON THE RIVER Nov11 Oct21 Sep04 Jul31 Dec26 (flores christi)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
6  PLAYFULASITGETS Nov11 Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 Jul05 (smith larry)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
7  CARSON N SPENCE Sep25 Sep06 Aug23 Aug03 Jul18 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 15.00    
8  SEEKING FREEDOM Jan18 Jan02 Dec18 Nov30 Nov15 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  MOMENT IN THE DARK Nov11 May21 May01 Mar27 Mar13 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 30.00    
10  SOCIAL HISTORY Nov11 Jul15 Jun26 May21 May01 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 123 2.00 15% 5.50    
11  SWAYBACK MOBIL Nov11 Oct26 Oct07 Sep16 Aug28 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 123 10.00 14% 6.00    
12  SOL OF VAQUERO Nov11 Oct07 Apr11 Mar27 Mar13 (campbell ant)HALDAR J 124 30.00    
 
MVR-6   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARGE NURSE Nov29 Nov12 Oct07 Sep17 Jul25 (knudsen)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
SCR  DIVINE FASHION Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Sep01 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 126 2.50    
3  STACY ATTACK Nov19 Nov02 Oct21 Sep10 Jul29 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
4  RENO TOUCH Nov19 Sep26 Aug13 Jul11 May30 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
5  SECRET GLENDA Nov23 Oct31 Oct05 Sep03 Aug07 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 123 4.00    
6  BLUSHING BETTY Nov19 Nov06 Oct01 Aug21 Jul23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 42% 1.40    
7  A KISS FOR KHOZAN Nov19 Oct07 Sep10 Aug19 Jul17 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 12% 7.70    
 
MVR-7   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEISTHEHERO Nov25 Oct01 Sep09 Aug04 Jul11 (loudin-smith lori)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
2  HARTFUL HOPE Sep04 Aug09 Jul07 Jun18 Jan27 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
SCR  FLOWER MOUND Nov18 Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
4  BACK TO OHIO Oct26 Oct03 Sep05 Aug13 Jul11 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 126 1.80 55% 0.80    
5  THE SWEATY FOX Nov25 Sep26 Aug13 Jul25 Jun24 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
6  LIBERTY BELLE Nov25 Oct10 Sep11 Aug15 Jul25 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIAM'S LASS Nov18 Sep05 Aug15 Jul09 Jun13 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
8  RED HOT LASS Nov25 Oct01 Jul11 Jun22 Jun03 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
 
MVR-8   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRYCANE DON Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 Aug28 May10 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WILD ISLAND STORM by WILD HORSES)
2  VERNON'S BEST Nov02 Oct22 Oct11 Sep30 Sep09 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 125 1.80    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
3  WANDALOU'S PRIDE         (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 26% 2.90    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of DEPUTY WANDA by WANDO)
SCR  FATHER FRANK Nov21 Oct04 Sep21 Aug22 Aug03 (haehn r)STOKES J 126 20.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of HOLY HABIT by HOLY BULL)
5  MOONSHINE JOE Nov02 Oct22 Sep30 Aug28 Jun20 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MOONSHINE PROMISE by WILL HE SHINE)
6  ILIKETHAT         (poole m)AVILES YAN 125 1.40 48% 1.10    
  (by INDY WIND out of SWEET MARGI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
SCR  LUCKY JUULZ         (flick julia)DIAZ I 125 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of CRIMSON KATE by FIRST SAMURAI)
8  SKUNK APE Nov21 Nov02 Oct11 Sep30 Sep16 (loudin-smith lori)PEREZ A 125 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
9  HIDDEN HEART Nov21 Oct11 Sep30 Sep09 Aug28 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 6.00    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.