Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - December 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (8/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/6)-(8/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/6)-(8/7/5/6)-(8/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/6)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/6)-(3/2/5)-(1/8/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(1/8/3/4)-(2/1/8/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/4)-(2/1/8/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/4)-(2/1/8/11/7)-(7/1/3/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/1/8/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/11/7)-(2/1/8/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/11/7)-(2/1/8/11/7)-(2/1/8/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/8/11/7)-(7/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/11/7)-(7/1/3/5)-(6/5/2/1/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-5   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/5)-(6/5/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/5)-(6/5/2/1/4)-(4/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/5/2/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1/4)-(6/5/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/1/4)-(6/5/2/1/4)-(6/5/2/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/2/1/4)-(4/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/1/4)-(4/1/2)-(8/10/11/5/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-7   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(8/10/11/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(8/10/11/5/4)-(8/9/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/10/11/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/11/5/4)-(8/10/11/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/11/5/4)-(8/10/11/5/4)-(8/10/11/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/11/5/4)-(8/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-9   WIN (8/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/6/2)-(8/9/12/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/6/2)-(8/9/12/6/2)-(8/9/12/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   12/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITS WILD AGAIN Aug27 Jul27 Jul29 May13 Apr28 (peterson j)ALBERT S 121 5.00    
MINE YOUR BIZ Sep24 Aug27 Jul27 Jun15 May08 (peterson jess)HERNANDEZ K 121 20.00    
SEEKING A SOLDIER Oct16 Sep23 Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00    
SCR  SLICK AND FAST Mar08 Feb16 Feb03 Jan18 Mar11 (david b)PARKER L 121 2.50    
HANDSOME HAROLD May06 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Jan04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAZZ Apr12 Feb23 Feb08 Jan12 Dec08 (zenon char)RAMIREZ JR 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
VERO CAMPIONE Sep18 Aug27 Jul29 Jun12 Mar16 (duke steven)MURRAY M 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Oct03 Aug04 Jun16 May25 Mar16 (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
FG-2   12/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURRRFECT RHYTHM Oct26 Jul12 Jun28 May10 Apr17 (larrosa jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00    
CAJUN AMI Nov05 Oct17 Jun15 Jun01 May17 (landry al)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 27% 2.80    
THE BOSS SOSS Nov06 Mar22 Mar06 Feb10 Jan20 (landry r)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
BAILEYS BRO Nov21 May04 Jan12 Nov25 Nov11 (lara jorge)PARKER L 121 8.00    
MY PAL SWEET Nov09 Jul12 May22 May01 Mar22 (thomas lee)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TITANIUM DEAL Nov21 Sep04 Aug22 Jul12 Jun28 (richar)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00    
GAMER NATE Oct17 Aug14 Jul12 Jun01 Mar23 (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 118 4.00    
 
FG-3   12/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACE THE FUTURE Jun23         (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 65% 0.50    
DIAMOND EYED JACK         (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 4.50    
RAISING KANE         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTAWALKINTHEPARK         (lopez elias)TORRES A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SOMEKINDA MISCHIEF Nov03 Sep26       (flint steve)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
MISCHIEVOUS SMILE Nov20 Oct10 Jul25     (robbins ha)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 10.00    
GOOD TO BE PRINCE Nov22 Sep26 Sep08     (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
COLONEL YORKE Oct05 Sep12 Aug03 Jul07 Jun08 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 6% 15.90    
 
FG-4   12/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGATINO (IRE) Oct14 Sep08 Jun11 May27 Mar09 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
GOTTA KEEP HIM Sep04 Jul17 Jun12 May08 Apr26 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
CANDY CORN Oct21 Oct12 Jun13 Oct23 Sep07 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 12.00    
MAX IS G MONEY Oct17 Sep24 Sep04 Jul17 Jun06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
DAPPER DUDE Nov02 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 May25 (rodriguez ed)TORRES A 121 20.00    
CESNOLA Oct18 Sep19 Aug29 Aug01 Jun14 (rubley kelly)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
PONCHO ATTACK Oct10 Sep19 Sep08 Aug29 Aug04 (childers v)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAASAI WARRIOR Nov22 Jun06 May23 May04 Mar07 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KICK A BUCK Nov09 Oct26 Sep19 Aug31 Aug04 (rice linda)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50    
10  SKALKAHO Sep26 Aug30 Jul22 Jul03 Jun10 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
11  YOU'RE ON MUTE Nov27 Oct12 Sep28 Sep04 Aug12 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Nov22 Oct13 Aug04 Jun16 May25 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00    
13  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Sep14 Aug28 Jul19 Jul05 Aug05 (mouton cha)ALBERT S 121 20.00    
14  IF I WERE YOU Oct26 Sep18 Jul06 Jun15 Apr12 (rubley kelly)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00    
SCR  HIGH RANSOM Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 May29 (west henry)PARKER L 118 12.00    
SCR  CONCENTRATION Oct28 Oct18 Sep23 Sep06 Aug07 (camejo jose )TORRES A 118 6.00    
 
FG-5   12/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER MOON Oct18 Sep27 Aug09 Jul20 Oct20 (schultz lind)TORRES A 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
D'ORO UNBRIDLED Oct16 Sep15 Jul27 May04 Apr06 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 1.20    
BOLTAGE Nov22 Oct09 Feb17 Jan06 Oct08 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
NATIONAL ECLIPSE Nov13 Oct06 Sep15 Jan20   (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
COPPERMASTER Nov07 Oct11 Aug17 Jul19 Jun22 (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
WICKED ROSE Nov22 Apr13 Mar07 Feb04 Dec29 (singh s)SINGH R 117 20.00    
WELAKA Nov16 Aug27 Jul14 Jun28 Jun02 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
FG-6   12/07/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL HOME Oct07 May25 Apr25 Mar23   (wilkes ia)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of LENAWEE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
CRANK IT UP Aug25 Jul27       (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
  (by FROSTED out of HERMAJESTYCOMMANDS by WAR FRONT)
ISEULT         (devaux ch)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of GLINDA by STREET SENSE)
CLOSING PRAYER Jun02 May19 Mar28 Feb28   (margolis r)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
FANCY QUALITY (GB) Sep21         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 12% 7.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
POLYRHYTHMIC Oct28         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by KANTHAROS out of JAZZMINEGEM by MINESHAFT)
STAR ANISE Oct10 Sep21 Sep04 Jun05 Apr21 (brinkman bre)TORRES A 122 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON SPICE by GEMOLOGIST)
MOON MIST         (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SAN ANTONIO STROLL by STROLL)
CATCHYALATER Jun08 May22 Mar22 Feb25 Feb09 (munoz yovani)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of JUST A CATCH by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
 
FG-7   12/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAD Oct24 Sep29 Dec23 Nov23 Oct29 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.00 21% 3.70    
UXMAL Nov02 Aug26 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (guillory hen)TORRES A 120 10.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  OVERBORE Nov05 Sep24 Sep04 Jul24 Jun02 (wong jonathan)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00    
CHROME BABY Nov23 Nov08 Aug02 Jul06 Jun18 (larrosa j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
MAYCOCKS BAY Jan07 Nov23 Oct28 Sep23 Aug13 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 117 2.00    
UNIFIED DREAMS Sep21 Aug25 Jun22 Jun02 Apr06 (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
CASCADE CRUISER Aug24 Jul06 May19 Apr13 Mar16 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 117 8.00    
 
FG-8   12/07/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($59K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGER RISING Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Feb02 Dec23 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 20.00    
SIR PISTOLERO Oct10 Sep26 May27 May11 Apr16 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 120 20.00    
SONO Nov23 Aug16 Jul05 May23 May10 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 117 12.00    
SOVEREIGNS JOY Nov22 Oct09 Aug24 Jul15 May29 (maker michae)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROCK N ROLL BOLT Oct31 Aug31 Jul28 Jul20 Jun30 (camejo jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SASSI D Nov21 Oct23 May25 May09 Jan12 (thomas lee)WELLINGTON KYLIE 112 8.00    
MALIBU RAIN Feb03 Dec23 Nov18 Oct15 Aug26 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
GLACIAL POWER Nov08 Oct11 Sep11 Aug05 Jun27 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 32% 2.20    
DRUNK ON SAKE Sep08 Jul27 Jun29 Jun06 May16 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
10  UNLEASH THE POWER Nov02 Aug31 Aug02 Jun30 May31 (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
11  THINK BIG Oct16 Sep14 Jul27 Jun30   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
FG-9   12/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLATINUM MIDNIGHT Nov22 Oct24 Sep27     (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
PEPPERED GAL Nov16 Oct25       (knudsen kent)COHEN DAVID 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRAWFISH BURL Oct25 Aug17 Jul19     (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 120 3.00    
SCR  SIR SAWYER         (castille )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00    
CUSTOM V K W Oct25 Sep24       (devereux pat)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
REAL SILK Oct25         (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP BERTIE         (klanfer ala)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
HONOR HIS HALF         (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 52% 0.90    
MO VISTA         (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 21% 3.70    
10  SHOW' EM NOLA Nov22 Sep07 Aug22 Aug01   (west henry)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 20.00    
11  FRET NO MORE Jul27         (ducoing j)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
12  CANADIAN CARLA Aug09         (david sam )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
SCR  CANDY GIRL MISS Nov16 Oct30 Oct12 Sep02 Aug02 (landry ja)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  UTHINKICARE         (demouchet ricky)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.