Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - May 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/2)-(2/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/2)-(2/4/3)-(1/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/8/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/8/7)-(10/9/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/7)-(10/9/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(10/9/4/1)-(5/7/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (10/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/4/1)-(10/9/4/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (10/9/4/1)-(10/9/4/5/1)-(10/9/4/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/9/4/1)-(5/7/6/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (10/9/4/1)-(5/7/6/4)-(8/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/4)-(8/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/4)-(8/3)-(5/7/6/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-6   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/3)-(5/7/6/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(5/7/6/4)-(10/1/8/6/9) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/4)-(10/1/8/6/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (10/1/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/8/6/9)-(10/1/8/6/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (10/1/8/6/9)-(10/1/8/6/9)-(10/1/8/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL GOOD VYBZ Oct23 Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 Jul25 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 4.00    
2  MY BRIDGET VERDOT Oct23 Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 (s)CARPIO JAIME 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  IRISH VICTORY (IRE) Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 May29 Apr07 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 5.00 13% 6.50    
4  TEAM FEISTY Oct29 Oct09 Sep21 Aug30 Aug22 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
5  UPPITY UP Oct25 Oct11 Oct02 Aug30 Aug16 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 6.00    
6  VARSITY DOLL Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 Feb14 Jan24 (brooks gerald )LOPEZ DERECK 112 2.50 15% 5.70    
7  GATITA SUAVE Mar28 Mar15 Feb08 Jan10 Nov29 (walsh colleen)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
PID-2   05/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON AN ISLAND Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 Aug22 Jul25 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50    
2  CERTAIN Aug22 Aug05 Jul22 Jun15 Jun09 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
3  PARTNER TOURS Oct20 Sep02 Aug20 Jul30 Jul14 (fennessy john)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Mar14 Feb23 Feb14 Jan24 Dec01 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
5  MO TOWN BLUES Apr14 Mar10 Dec06 Nov14 Oct23 (skawinski car)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
6  VERY DEBONAIRE Apr27 Apr14 Mar27 Feb11 Feb03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
SCR  YEAH TAKE THAT Nov16 Oct29 Aug16 Jul19 Jul03 (brooks gerald )LOPEZ DERECK 108 6.00    
 
PID-3   05/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WROTE IN STONE Oct26 Oct10 Aug23 Aug09 Jul17 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  HENRY'S WORLD Apr13 Apr03 Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
3  GINS AND TINS Feb04 Oct24 Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00    
4  THALBERG May06 Mar29 Mar16 Mar07 Feb07 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 15.00    
SCR  GREY CHARMER Mar29 Feb10 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00    
6  DEVIL OR ANGEL May07 Nov15 Sep26 Aug29 Aug14 (lecesse )GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
7  AESTHETICALLY Nov19 Oct28 Sep22 Aug06 Jul07 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  RESIST THE DEVIL Apr06 Mar22 Jan13 Dec09 Oct20 (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 112 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
PID-4   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCLUSIVE ENTRY Aug17 Aug01       (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of CHARMING ENTRY by KEYED ENTRY)
2  THORN OF HEARTS Aug09         (miller d)BAYS BROOKE 110 6.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of GOODFORYOURHEART by FOREST DANGER)
3  COSMIC CONNECTION Dec03 Nov14 Aug07     (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 20.00    
  (by EASTWOOD out of STREET SHINER by INDYGO SHINER)
4  CHANGE THE HOUR Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 5% 18.60    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of CHANGE THE RATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  MAC'S CAT Oct26 Oct09 Sep19     (russell randa)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 5.00 ★    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHABBY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
6  NOT TODAY GOVERNOR Feb22         (hayes leland)ALLEN D 124 10.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of MOUNTAIN VOW by BROKEN VOW)
7  MR. IMPATIENT Oct24         (morrell justin)LOPEZ DERECK 110 12.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of TURKOCRAFT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
8  OVERTIME CHARLIE Sep19 Aug29 Aug07     (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 15.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of OVERTIME GOAL by CITY PLACE)
9  NOPALINO         (walsh colleen)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of CACTUS COPY by CACTUS RIDGE)
10  REIGERT GIRLS Dec29 Nov15 Oct16 Oct02   (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 115 3.00 58% 0.70    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of REIGERT by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
PID-5   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL THE BALL Apr24 Oct17 Sep06     (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.00    
2  REAPPLY Mar09 Feb03 Dec27 Dec06 Oct31 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 3.50    
3  MR. BONES May01 Apr12 Apr03 Mar22 Feb11 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00    
4  FACE DOWN Oct17 Aug23 Aug09 Jul18 Jul03 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STONE'S THROW Apr24 Mar08 Feb01 Dec28 Dec08 (estvanko rich)MORALES PABLO 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  SPAN OF CONTROL Oct19 Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 Aug10 (fennessy john)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 9% 10.40    
7  COOL IN BLUE May06 Mar23 Feb24 Feb14 Dec30 (brooks geral)AYALA J 118 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
PID-6   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST GLIMMER Nov19 Sep13 May20 Apr30   (hayes le)RODRIGUEZ O 124 6.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of GLOAMING by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
SCR  LEMON CURRY Aug10 Jul31 Jul12     (fennessy john)WALKER M 124 10.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of STEP ASIDE BOYS by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  CIRILLA (FR) Apr06 Feb11       (delacour arnaud)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00 6% 16.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of APPLAUDED by ROYAL APPLAUSE (GB))
4  LOVE RESTRAINED Oct13         (morley thomas)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JOINT RETURN by INCLUDE)
5  CUPID MISSED Sep21 Sep05 Aug21     (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 12.00    
  (by CUPID out of TRI AGAIN by CREATIVE CAUSE)
6  SWEET LILIBET Apr13 Mar27 Feb28 Aug02   (walsh colleen)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
SCR  CITY MINUTE         (salvaggio mark)ALLEN D 120 4.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of E BUILT THIS CITY by CITY ZIP)
8  RILEY JEAN Apr18 Mar06 Feb10 Jan13   (amoss th)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of IF NOT FOR HER by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  TWISTED EMPRESS Oct16 Oct02 Sep21 Sep05   (antus lawrence)SPIETH S 120 20.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TWISTED PURPOSE by HARD SPUN)
SCR  WARRIOR'S TREASURE May02 Apr10       (beattie )GALLARDO A 124 4.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of PROMISED TREASURE by BROKEN VOW)
 
PID-7   05/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUV TO WIN May04 Apr13 Mar02 Jan13 Dec10 (martin n)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50    
2  HECTOR May04 Apr14 Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 5.00    
3  BRADITUDE Oct18 Oct02 Sep13 Sep06 Aug17 (rogers ronald)WALKER M 122 15.00    
4  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Apr07 Oct26 Oct18 Oct02 Sep13 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  COLONEL POPPY Oct26 Oct18 Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 4.50 52% 0.90    
6  SHY DA RUNNER Jan11 Oct25 Oct10 Sep25 Sep05 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 7% 12.80    
7  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) Apr21 Mar15 Feb16 Feb01 Dec07 (walsh colleen)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
8  HERONEANDONLY Oct19 Sep04 Aug19 Aug09 Jul08 (goodwin )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
SCR  TONY SMALL Apr28 Aug28 Jul26 Jul13 Jun13 (hoffman mark)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
 
PID-8   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICY SHOT Jun14 May15 Oct24 Oct13 Sep13 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 4.00 13% 7.00    
2  PONT DU GARD Dec05 Nov06 Oct24 Oct12 Sep28 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
SCR  EXTRA MEDIUM Nov03 Oct17 Oct09 Sep11 Aug08 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
4  HE'S ON THE FLY Oct03 Sep17 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
5  ROCK WITH YOU Feb22 Feb07 Dec28 Dec07 Nov02 (rice anthony)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 3.00    
6  GALAXY BUILDER Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 Apr08 Mar03 (fennessy john)FOX CHRIS 122 10.00 6% 15.90    
7  EXECUTIVE SIGHT Apr30 Dec15 Dec01 Nov12 Oct21 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
8  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Dec16 Nov15 Oct17 Sep28 Sep11 (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
9  BLOODPROF Aug27 Aug07 Aug31 Aug10 Jul14 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  MR TITO'S Apr17 Mar20 Mar01 Jan28 Apr20 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.