Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Wednesday - March 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(7/6/10/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(7/6/10/3/4)-(1/9/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-2   WIN (7/6/10/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/10/3/4)-(7/6/10/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/10/3/4)-(7/6/10/3/4)-(7/6/10/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/10/3/4)-(1/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/10/3/4)-(1/9/6)-(7/4/9/15) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (1/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/6)-(1/9/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/6)-(1/9/6/8/7)-(1/9/6/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/9/6)-(7/4/9/15) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/6)-(7/4/9/15)-(3/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (7/4/9/15) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/15)-(7/4/9/15) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/15)-(7/4/9/15)-(7/4/9/15) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/9/15)-(3/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9/15)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6)-(3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/6)-(3/8/4)-(11/7/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/4)-(3/8/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/4)-(3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/4)-(11/7/1/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4)-(11/7/1/6/2)-(8/1/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-7   WIN (11/7/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/7/1/6/2)-(11/7/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/7/1/6/2)-(11/7/1/6/2)-(11/7/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/7/1/6/2)-(8/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/7/1/6/2)-(8/1/4)-(2/10/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-8   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4/14/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4/14/5)-(8/1/4/14/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/1/4)-(2/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FG-9   WIN (2/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/9)-(2/10/9/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/9)-(2/10/9/3/8)-(2/10/9/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM SQUARE         (stall m)MCMAHON J 125 3.00 53% 0.90    
DROMAS Feb04 Jan12 Dec22     (savoie sherman)RIQUELME J 117 5.00    
BOLIVER Feb12 Jan21 Dec31 Dec03 May05 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
BARON OF THE NILE Feb09 Dec30       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00    
GEMSTONE WARRIOR Feb01 Jan07 Dec14     (arndt theodore)NAVAS YOEL 120 5.00    
LEGENDARY DRAGON Feb08 Dec06 Nov15     (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 3.50 23% 3.30    
DATS TRUE LOVE Feb12 Dec31 Oct29     (flint stev)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 10.00    
 
FG-2   03/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIN DUDE Feb12 Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 Oct07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
JIMMIE'S HALO Dec31 Nov24 Oct26 Aug21 Aug12 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 121 4.00    
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Feb17 Dec30 Dec20 Nov25 Oct28 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 11% 8.40    
PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Feb12 Jan06 Dec21 Nov11 Oct06 (richard russell )ROSIER R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
PLAY MASTER Feb16 Jan20 Dec21 Nov25 Jul13 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
GYPSY'S SOULMATE Feb12 Dec31 Nov23 Aug10 Nov26 (david b)HERNANDEZ K 121 8.00 19% 4.10    
HOOSIER Feb18 Jan15 Jan05 Dec21 Nov18 (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
STONE ALLIANCE Dec31 Dec07 Jun29 May10 Apr12 (cuccia j)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00    
HAIL THE CAT Feb16 Jan25 Dec16 Nov22 Nov01 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 121 4.50    
10  SCORING DRIVE Feb12 Jan13 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 11% 8.00    
 
FG-3   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIZELESS Feb17 Feb03 Jan12 Dec09 Nov03 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 60% 0.70    
HEZA PRIORITY Feb22 Feb09 Jan04 Dec17 Dec03 (mouton)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00    
CHARLI MICHAEL Feb12 Jan04 Dec09 Nov18 Aug05 (charles ke)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
OUR FREDDIE MAC Feb12 Jan25 Jan11 Nov30 Sep02 (ladner her)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 15.00    
CARLOS PUNCH Feb08 Jan05 Dec21 Nov30 Sep05 (broussard jer)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
WISE ANCHOR Feb01 Dec28 Nov17 Sep09 Aug05 (romero j)MELANCON G 121 4.50 5% 17.70    
VETERANS DAY Feb21 Feb01 Jan13 Nov21 Nov04 (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 5.00    
ADIEU ACES Feb22 Feb03 Dec07 Nov15 Jun30 (alberto)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
HOSTILE AFLEET Feb21 Feb03 Jan12 Dec20 Nov24 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 6.00 5% 17.60    
 
FG-4   03/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHAOSMOS Feb13 Jan21 Dec29 Dec02 Nov17 (richard russell)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
SCR  MALTHAEL Jan05 Dec14 Dec01 Jun03 May01 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
SECOND OF JULY Feb21 Jan27 Dec08 Oct14 Sep03 (degeyter randy )LANERIE J 120 8.00    
TELEPHONE TALKER Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Oct13 Aug25 (hernandez ar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 15% 5.80    
STATE OF THE UNION Dec16 Nov08 Oct25 Sep16 Sep03 (bruno l)MELANCON G 120 20.00    
SCR  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jan21 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 Oct24 (hernandez armando)GRAHAM J 120 4.00    
HOODLUM Feb10 Jan05 Dec14 Nov12 Feb25 (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
MY BARILEY Feb10 Jan05 Dec29 Dec16 Nov23 (leonard geor)TORRES A 120 5.00    
HARD ATTACK Feb22 Dec16 Oct20 Sep15 Jul16 (arnett g)VARGAS JOSE 120 15.00 10% 9.00    
10  CALLINGINTHENIGHT Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 Nov15 Oct20 (ramirez eduar)MORALES EDGAR 117 15.00    
SCR  OPTIMUS KAT Feb13 Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 (camejo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50    
SCR  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Jan21 Dec29 Dec08 Nov17 Oct13 (falcone n)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00    
SCR  INDIMAAJ Feb16 Jan27 Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 (knudsen kent)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00    
SCR  GIMME SOME MO Dec17 Jul22 May15 Feb21 May08 (munoz yov)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
15  BODE'S LIGHT Feb09 Jan27 Dec07 Nov03 Oct06 (ramirez eduardo)CURTIS BEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-5   03/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UXMAL Feb18 Dec21 Dec06 Nov21 Oct25 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
TEMPLE CITY RUN Feb16 Jan18 Dec07 Nov08 Sep24 (guillory he)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 12.00    
HAROLD'S CLOUD Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 Nov15 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 1.80 26% 2.80    
RICKY BOBBY Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 Jul29 Jul01 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50    
FLAWLESS RULER Feb08 Jan04 Dec07 Nov19 Nov03 (flint steve)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
JULIA'S WARRIOR Jan26 Sep30 Jul16 Jun18 Mar24 (alfortish sean)CURTIS BEN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
MY ROMEO LIMA Jan04 Dec07 Oct25 Oct13 Sep14 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 121 3.00    
 
FG-6   03/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIESTA BESTA Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 Aug01   (felks jose)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FIESTA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
GOLDYS LOCK Feb10 May14       (lovell miche)TORRES A 125 8.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of A LITTLE GOLD by LORD CARSON)
GRAPES FOR ELOISE Jan21 Dec31 Nov16     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of VIEW FROM THE TOP by DISTANT VIEW)
MS. LILIBET Feb10 Jan01 Dec03 Nov08 Sep17 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00 8% 12.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of LA MALAGUENA by DIABLO)
COLLIER Dec16 Nov01 Oct08 Sep14 Aug18 (litfin ver)WELLINGTON KYLIE 112 20.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of JUNGLE LANE by TALE OF THE CAT)
RILEY JEAN Feb10 Jan13       (amoss m)NAVAS YOEL 120 4.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of IF NOT FOR HER by NOT FOR LOVE)
ELLIPTIC (IRE)         (vaccare)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of REDHEADS RULE by BIG BROWN)
MUSICAL PRAYER Nov10 Oct28 Sep24     (vaccar)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of RIVER'S PRAYER by DEVON LANE)
 
FG-7   03/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CREDO Jan27 Nov30 Nov15 Oct14 Aug10 (charles keith)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 16% 5.50    
DUDE DROP KID Feb03 Dec29 Aug05 Jul17 Jun18 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
TAMBOURINE STAR Feb10 Jan20 Dec07 Aug04 Jul14 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
SONYA KNOWS BETTER Feb16 Feb03 Jan04 Dec09 Nov24 (fuselier jonah)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
RANCH WATER Jan19 Dec29 Nov24 Oct20 Aug11 (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 6.00    
EL DEAL ME ACES Feb18 Jan28 Jan01 Nov23 Oct14 (dandridge courtn)CURTIS BEN 121 8.00 11% 8.30    
THE BOSS SOSS Feb10 Jan20 Jan04 Dec13 Nov24 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 18% 4.70    
JOEY'S GAME Feb18 Jan28 Jan13 Dec29 Nov24 (mojica edit)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 30.00    
DUVEE Feb10 Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Mar10 (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50    
10  TINCAN CAT Feb10 Jan12 Nov15 Oct18   (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 121 20.00    
11  COFFEE COUNTY Feb08 Jan13 Dec17 Nov24 May06 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
12  PESO PESADO Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 Aug21 Jun08 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
 
FG-8   03/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RADICAL MISCHIEF Feb08         (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.50 6% 16.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
FRIO RIVER Dec30 Nov26       (lovell )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of GARDEN DISTRICT by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  HONORANDPRINCIPLE         (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of FLAME MINGO by BLAME)
LAST ATTACK Jan20 Dec30 Nov18 Sep13   (gelner j)LANERIE J 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EXPECT A KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
GLACIAL POWER Jul08         (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by ASTERN out of KODIAC GAL by KODIAC)
PED D'ORO         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MELODIC by REBMEC)
LUCKY ROMANCE Jan18 Nov25 Oct24 Aug27 Aug20 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SPARKLINGROMANCE by SCAT DADDY)
LINZER Jan18 Dec22 Oct29 Oct07 Aug25 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MACAROON by TAPIT)
SCR  TAKETHEFIFTH Feb08 Oct05       (rubley kell)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of PERDONA by BLAME)
SCR  HERO WORSHIP Feb08 Dec30 Nov24     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ADORE YOU by TACTICAL CAT)
SCR  BALTIMORE HEART Feb13 Jan12 Dec16     (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of FLIGHT PATTERN by STRAIGHT LINE)
SCR  BRONTE DIEM Feb13         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of ZAMSWEET by ZAMINDAR)
SCR  COURAGEOUS CUPID Feb17 Jan20       (alonzo)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
  (by CUPID out of COURAGEOUS HEART by BODEMEISTER)
14  HIGGINS BOAT Feb17 Jan20 Jun01     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BETTY DRAPER by STREET CRY)
15  SUCCESSFUL RUN Jan27         (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
16  PAINTED SUNDAY         (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STORMY SUNDAY by SIR CAT)
 
FG-9   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO MORE WORDS Feb23 Jan04 Dec09     (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
HE'S JUST LUCKY Feb17 Jan20       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 1.20 66% 0.50    
GRAN CHICO Feb01         (pomier devi)STOKES J 122 12.00    
ALLER VITE Feb09         (richard russell )ROSIER R 122 30.00    
JAYDE'S BANDIT Jan20 Dec31       (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 122 10.00    
SCR  FRAN'S STAR Feb02 Dec19 Nov29     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00    
MUNCLE Jan25 Jan04 Dec07     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
WICKED PUNCHES Feb09 Jan20 Dec19     (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 122 12.00    
CAJUN CYCLONE Feb02 Jan20 Dec31 Dec09 Nov17 (courville ricky)LANERIE J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  OUR DETERMINATION         (sanchez ju)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
11  CONNECTIQUE Feb01         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 12.00    
12  HENNESSY WILD Feb17 Dec23       (marechal merlin)MELANCON G 122 20.00    
SCR  PUT IT BACK DAVE Feb24 Feb08       (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.