Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - January 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (7/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (9/2/7/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-4   Win (6/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-5   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-7   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHABULOUS PHOEBE Nov22 Nov09 Oct25     (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 118 3.50    
DAKOTA SPRINGS Dec29         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
FAYTASTIC Dec20 Oct26       (iannotti tho)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 6.00    
PAULA'S SURPRISE Nov22 Nov09 Oct09     (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
LADY AHAVA Nov22 Oct25 Sep14     (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
MARIA SAYS SO Dec27 Dec11 Nov29 Nov06 Oct03 (krebs steven)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
NORMANDY LIFE Jan10 Nov22 Oct16 Sep23 Aug21 (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 5.00    
 
PEN-2   01/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILTERED LIGHT Dec28 Dec06 Nov08 Oct06 Sep15 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
SO FULLY SUE Jan09 Dec12 Nov08 Oct10 Sep19 (linder jr)OCASIO M 122 3.00    
GIRVINIZED Dec28 Nov16 Oct25 Oct09 Sep08 (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 26% 2.80    
POP THE CLUTCH Nov09 Sep14 Jun01 May24 May09 (geist w)ROJAS MARTINA 115 30.00    
MORGANS COVE Nov29 Nov03 Sep15 Aug25 Jul28 (geist da)SMITH DANIEL 115 12.00    
I CAME TO DANCE Aug25 Aug16 Jul18 Jun28 Jun01 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOCIAL LADY Dec04 Nov14 Sep19 Jul06 Jun18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Dec20 Nov17 Oct18 Aug03 Jun20 (meister willi)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OVER THE BORDER Dec22 Nov24 Oct25 Oct08 Sep08 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
WICKED IRISHMAN Dec22 Dec08 Nov24 Nov09 Sep20 (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 122 5.00 13% 6.40    
SMART AND FAST Dec26 Dec19 Nov20 Nov01 Oct03 (padilla-)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Dec22 Nov24 Oct26 Sep06 Aug04 (crane clovi)HERNANDEZ A 122 50.00    
SPELLED WELL Dec22 Dec08 Nov16 Aug24 Jul14 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
BOOK MARKER Dec27 Dec20 Nov06 Oct24 Sep18 (mosco robert)MOYA F 122 10.00    
BOSS HOLIDAY Dec08 Oct05 Aug30 Aug06 Jul14 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 9% 10.10    
BUMBLE MONSTER Dec22 Nov20 Oct24 Sep20 Aug29 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
HE IS BAD Dec22 Dec08 Nov08 Sep20 Sep06 (salvaggio v)CORA D 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
10  NOTORIOUS REY Dec08 Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 (ippolito mark)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 50.00    
SCR  HOLY CITY Dec08 Nov24 Nov09 Oct26 Oct04 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
SCR  CARPE ALL DAY Dec27 Oct18 Sep26 May10 Apr10 (vega richard)RANGEL JOEZER 122 8.00    
 
PEN-4   01/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARVEY SPECTER Dec27 Nov08 Aug24 Jul21 Jun22 (geist da)SMITH DANIEL 115 8.00    
KEEN LOOKIN Dec13 Nov17 Sep09 Jul31 Jun26 (caiazzo corby)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
MAKE ME LUCKY Dec27 Dec15 Nov03 Sep22   (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Dec27 Dec09 Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 (smith lawrence )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
UNCLE YUDI Dec27 Dec01 Nov09 Sep22 Aug02 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
MCCRAKENS GHOST Jan01 Dec08 Nov15 Oct17 Sep20 (ness jamie)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  REBEL RULER Dec27 Nov09 Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 Oct26 Sep21 (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 7% 13.50    
 
PEN-5   01/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELISHMENT Jan03 Dec12 Nov21 Nov01 Oct16 (bravo-estrada jai)BOWMAN ADAM 122 12.00    
DEVOTED KITTEN Dec29 Dec07 Nov02 Sep21 Aug24 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
EASY SHOT Dec29 Nov21 Nov06 Oct10 Sep13 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  HIBACHI Jan03 Dec20 Dec12 Nov10 Oct19 (perez fl)GONZALEZ JR 122 12.00    
THE TWINS SNEAKERS Dec20 Dec13 Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 (castillo mi)RODRIGUEZ R 122 15.00    
SECRETARY AT WAR Dec29 Dec07 Nov15 Oct11 Aug25 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
CARTE BLANCHE Dec20 Nov16 Nov02 Sep21 Sep07 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Dec29 Dec10 Nov19 Oct12 Sep16 (allen ferris)MENA E 122 12.00    
SCR  RUNABOUT Nov21 Nov06 Oct25 Sep26 Aug02 (englehart jeffr)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00    
SCR  PATTY'S BOY Dec13 Nov17 Nov01 Sep30 Sep13 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.50    
 
PEN-6   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VANISHING FAITH Jan02 Dec14 Nov22 Nov13 Oct30 (flores-coba f)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 3.50    
HELLO GRACIE Dec21 Nov22 Nov01 Sep08 Aug17 (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
KIRBY Dec21 Nov30 Nov04 Oct20 Oct07 (maldonado jonat)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
LADY JEAN Dec21 Nov27 Nov03 Oct20 Oct09 (patterson kev)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 46% 1.20    
LA LIMA Dec14 Nov28 Nov20 Nov07 Oct24 (ippolito mark)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00 7% 13.40    
DREAM MUSIC Dec13 Oct02 Aug14 Jul18 Jul04 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
PRUSSIAN BLUE Dec29 Dec15 Nov02 Oct19 Sep15 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00    
ROSES FROM HEAVEN Dec21 Oct27 Sep27 Sep08 Aug17 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   01/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Dec28 Nov29 Nov01 Oct10 Sep15 (wadams j)CORA D 124 15.00    
SWEEPING PASSION Dec14 Nov30 Nov02 Oct05 Sep21 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
GEMINI WARRIOR Dec28 Dec14 Nov30     (fields kevi)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIONIC KAT Jan09 Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 Nov02 (padilla o)RANGEL JOEZER 124 5.00    
SASSY TALLAHASSEE Dec30 Dec15 Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50    
GET LOADED Dec23 Nov30 Nov09 Oct15 Sep16 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
SECRET SPELL Dec28 Dec14       (zalalas michael)ROJAS MARTINA 119 15.00    
SCR  CHIMING IN Dec28 Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 Sep22 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 50.00    
JOYFUL DEPARTURE Dec28 Dec14 Oct25 Sep26   (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.