Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - December 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(5/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(5/1/7/2)-(3/10/4/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/2)-(3/10/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/2)-(3/10/4/1/8)-(2/7/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/10/4/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/4/1/8)-(3/10/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/4/1/8)-(3/10/4/1/8)-(3/10/4/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/4/1/8)-(2/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/10/4/1/8)-(2/7/9/5)-(7/1/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/7/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/5)-(2/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/5)-(2/7/9/5)-(2/7/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/9/5)-(7/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/5)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/9/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/9/4)-(1/6/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/4)-(7/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/4)-(7/1/9/4)-(7/1/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/9/4)-(1/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9/4)-(1/6/3/2)-(11/4/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/2)-(11/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (11/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/4/3/5)-(11/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/4/3/5)-(11/4/3/5)-(11/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY MAC Sep22 Jun24 Jun16 Jun03 May04 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
2  SMOKIN SMITTY Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Sep28 Sep07 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
3  AIR KENNEY Nov15 Oct27 Sep29 Aug13 May03 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  FLASH OF DAY Sep22 Sep07 Aug05 Jul27 Jul15 (viands stacey)ADAMS L 115 4.50    
5  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Nov22 Oct25 Oct13 Sep22 Aug19 (shanley timoth)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  FLOOR IT Nov10 Oct20 Aug19 Jul21 Jun16 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 8% 12.10    
7  LONG COOL Nov15 Oct11 Sep21 Sep01 Jun25 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
 
CT-2   12/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOWY JUBA CAT Nov08 Oct13 Sep28 Jul27 Jul07 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 11% 8.40    
2  CHURCH KEY Nov20 Nov07 Oct16 Sep14 Aug19 (harrison glenn)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CORA'S CHOICE Nov26 Nov09 Oct27 Oct05 Sep09 (walters j)MONTANO JOSE 120 5.00    
4  LIME AFTER LIME Nov30 Jan21 Jan14 Dec17 Nov26 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
5  RIVER REWARDS RVF Nov22 Oct26 Oct13 Sep15 Aug26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 55% 0.80    
6  MY SISTER CLURRIE Nov22 Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 Aug04 (williams l)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
7  SHUTUPN'KISSME Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 Jul27 Apr29 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 8% 11.50    
8  GILDED QUEST Dec02 Oct29 Oct13 Aug18 Jul22 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
 
CT-3   12/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR THE FLEET Nov01 Oct20 Sep04 Aug11 Jul28 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 10% 9.50    
2  ICE BAR Sep08 Aug25 May12 Mar31 Mar04 (galligan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
3  MR HOOVER Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 Aug11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  BLUEMOON JUSTICE Oct04 Aug16 Jul29 Jul11 Jun13 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.50 10% 9.40    
5  MAKE WAY Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 Sep21 (barber donald)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
6  POLAR WIND Dec06 Nov07 Sep20 Aug28 Jul21 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
7  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Nov12 Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 Sep03 (shanley timoth)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
8  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Nov18 Oct28 Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 7% 13.00    
9  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Nov22 Jul12 Jun22 May24 May06 (martin august )REYNOLDS C 122 50.00    
10  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Dec06 Oct21 Oct12 Sep01 Aug04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
CT-4   12/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S MOCHA Dec06 Nov11 Nov03 Sep30 Sep09 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 121 10.00    
2  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 Apr20 Apr08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  MOON FALL Nov30 Nov11 Oct13 Sep08 Aug10 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 6.00    
4  THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT Nov30 Nov03 Oct13 Sep29   (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 121 4.50    
5  COLONIAL ROAD Nov11 Oct20 Sep30 Aug17 Jul28 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SENZA STRIKE Dec06 Nov08 Sep07 Jun16 Jun01 (stehr j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 50.00    
7  GAMBLING FEVER Nov10 Oct20 Jul20 Jul06 Jun10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 5.00 24% 3.20    
8  LORD CLANCY Nov11 Oct19 Sep30 Sep22 Sep08 (figgins ollie)CHILO JACINTO 121 6.00    
9  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Nov16 Oct20 Sep08 Aug03 Jul13 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 5.00 12% 7.50    
 
CT-5   12/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Nov09 Oct12 Sep07 Aug17 Jun22 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
2  MASTER THIS Dec06 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Aug18 (murdock stephen)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUPERSTITIEUX Nov23 Nov15 Oct05 Sep24 Sep09 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 4.50    
4  DAD'S LIL SPARK Dec02 Nov08 Oct24 Oct09 Sep12 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
5  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Nov15 Nov08 Oct25 Sep30 Sep14 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
6  SIR SMOAK Nov25 Nov15 Oct21 Oct05 Sep20 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 118 10.00    
7  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Nov04 Sep16 Sep09 Aug17 Jul19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  SPRITZER Nov01 Oct25 Oct07 Sep01 Aug18 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
9  AKINGISALWAYSKING Dec02 Nov15 Oct28 Oct18 Sep30 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 120 15.00    
SCR  SCHMEAR Dec07 Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 Aug25 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   12/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME THE AVENGER Nov19         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ANGRY OCEAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  FAST FORWARD Nov22 Nov01 Jul26 Jul06 May29 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
3  BATTLE BORN Nov24 Nov03 Oct15 Sep24 Sep02 (king l)HO WESLEY 124 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MINE FOR KEEPS by KOKAND)
4  CHEATIN SONG Dec03 Nov02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (liberti)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of IF NOT FOR LUST by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  LET'S EAT Nov22 Oct05 Aug23 Aug08 Jun30 (gillespie a)MAWING A 122 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
6  RUN ROCKY RUN Nov10 Oct14 Oct07 Sep01 Aug04 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of LA TINA by LABEEB (GB))
7  KEEN LOOKIN Nov17 Sep09 Jul31 Jun26 May20 (caiazzo corb)WHITACRE GRANT 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by KEEN ICE out of HUMBLE STREET by STREET SENSE)
8  AGAIN WE MEET Nov10 Oct20 Aug19     (sewell lenwort)CHILO MAXIMO 122 50.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of AWESOME STARLET by AWESOME AGAIN)
9  RUM CUP Nov22 Nov01 Sep01 Oct30 Oct16 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 12.00 7% 14.10    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ONE ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
 
CT-7   12/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO BIT KID Nov29 Nov15 Dec13 Nov23 Oct19 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.00 64% 0.60    
2  BAR FOURTEEN Nov15 Oct18 Sep28 Sep01 Aug15 (sells rac)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDEN SPOKE Nov22 Nov08 Oct06 Sep13 Aug26 (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TREJO Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 Oct06 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 118 15.00    
5  KENNY HAD A NOTION Dec05 Oct12 Sep21 Sep07 Jul15 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
6  ZEN MASTER Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep03 Jul30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00 9% 10.80    
7  MONSTER MASON Oct27 Aug11 Jul23 Jun11 May20 (mcfarlane br)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
8  SUE LOVES BARBADOS Dec01 Nov01 Oct19 Oct01 Aug04 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50    
 
CT-8   12/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERSNAKE Nov29 Nov03 Oct18 Sep30 Sep17 (murtaugh andrew )MAWING A 122 10.00    
2  WISHING FOR SPRING Nov16 Oct28 Oct12 Sep16 Aug26 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
3  WINDSOR'S PLAY Nov25 Nov03 Oct18 Oct13 Sep15 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 3.50 7% 12.40    
4  KATALIMA Nov18 Oct28 Oct12 Jul22 Jul01 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 12% 7.20    
5  BEST VIRGINIA Nov25 Oct18 Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Nov30 Nov18 Nov09 Oct19 Oct07 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
7  HONEYCAMP Nov11 Oct21 Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 (adorno je)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
SCR  DASHING LASS Dec02 Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Sep21 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
9  CONNECTING FLIGHT Nov15 Sep26 Aug25 Aug10 Jun17 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  C TWO Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep02 May27 (atkins)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00    
11  TRUST THE NUMBERS Dec06 Oct08 Aug25 Mar25 Feb12 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.20 53% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.