Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/3)-(6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/7/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/7/3/9)-(1/7/3/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/1/2)-(7/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(7/5/2)-(5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(5/1)-(3/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/2/4)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR AT BAT Nov03 Sep06       (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 1.50 64% 0.60    
2  DARK DUTCHESS Sep20 Sep01       (pecoraro )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 1.60    
3  TAPACHILL Sep06         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
4  CHUCK ADAMS Nov03         (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  MR. NORMANDY Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 May23   (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 10.00    
6  POLIE Nov03 Oct10 Sep27 Aug25 Aug09 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 10.00    
 
PEN-2   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZ SWEET HEIST Oct25 Aug27 Jul23 Jul01 Jun03 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 68% 0.50    
2  SYNONYM Oct25 Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 (mcclellan c)CORA D 119 10.00    
3  MILLBANK MAN Oct26 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul13 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  EL POLICIA Nov03 Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 Jul06 (synnefias d)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
5  WONDER WATER Oct14 Sep15 Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 (sillaman )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
6  BLUEBERRY MASH Oct27 Sep15 Jul06 Jun15 May17 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
7  FIELDSTONE Oct05 Aug04 Jul15 May26 Apr23 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.50 ★    
8  STEELE MONEY Nov04 Oct19 Aug10 May18 Apr16 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 5.00    
9  MOON WARRIOR Jul06 Jun20 May17 May04 Mar22 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHWAY BOUND Nov03 Sep10 Aug04 Jul08 Nov24 (lawrence )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 12% 7.10    
2  DIXIE CANNONBALL Oct25 Jul20 Jun30 Jun16 Jun01 (graci kimberly)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOUTH SEA Oct16 Sep26 Sep04 Aug22 Aug16 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00    
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT Aug19 Jul19 May11 Apr15 Feb19 (brion keri)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00    
5  MY BLUE EYES Oct26 Sep15 Aug23 Jul27 Jul13 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 5.00    
6  BEAST OR FAMINE Oct25 Sep22 Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 62% 0.60    
7  AGAINST THE ODDS Oct26 Sep20 Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50    
8  ACT OF VALOR Nov02 Oct11 Sep07 Aug16 Jul26 (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
9  BUCK WILD Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 (jacavo)SMITH DANIEL 114 15.00    
 
PEN-4   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATY THE CAT Oct27 Oct06 Aug17 Jul27 Jun24 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
2  SEAMIALAUGH Nov01 Sep08 Aug25 Jul17 Jun20 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 7% 13.10    
3  TERPEYE Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun28 May25 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
4  PHANCY PHILLY Oct27 Oct09 Sep20 Aug29 Aug01 (stites w)CORA D 122 5.00    
5  SHATTER ME Oct27 Sep22 Aug17 Jul14 May17 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
6  JACK'S LILLY Nov03 Oct20 Sep30 Sep22 Sep08 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 122 4.00    
7  BETWEEN DREAMS Oct20 Sep20 Aug16 Jun14   (pecoraro anth)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
PEN-5   11/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EIGHT DANZAS Oct27 Sep16 Sep02 Aug21 Aug04 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SWAN POINT Aug21 Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 (arnold pamela)CORA D 120 3.50 ★    
3  FOXY JUNIOR Sep18 Aug18 Jul26 Jun15 May06 (arnold pame)INIRIO J 119 4.00    
4  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Oct25 Aug18 Jul21 Jun30 May25 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
5  GOLDEN MOONLIGHT Oct18 Sep19 Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 (acquila)NAVARRO J 121 2.50 65% 0.50    
6  CUENCA Nov03 Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
 
PEN-6   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATALENA Sep28 Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 Jun03 (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50    
2  IRISH SAMURAI Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Jul07 May27 (lucas bonnie)CORA D 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
3  DANCE STEP Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 Sep15 Aug19 (simone michael)TORRES JOMAR 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  SHEA D SECRET Sep20 Aug30 Aug06 Jul08 Jun10 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANGELOFTHEGALAXY Oct30 Oct11 Oct02 Aug11 Jul12 (flores-coba f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
6  NADIABIZNIZ Nov04 Oct19 Sep01 Aug10 Aug01 (thompson )HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
7  ESTA CHUCK Oct26 Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 (jacavo)SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00    
 
PEN-7   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRETARY AT WAR Oct11 Aug25 Jul15 Jun04 Feb28 (simone mi)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  C C'S WARRIOR Oct25 Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 Jul13 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  POCOPSON STATION Oct25 Sep15 Sep07 Aug16 Jul13 (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 117 15.00    
4  FED CHAIR Oct04 Sep20 Sep08 Aug23 Aug04 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 4.00    
5  INDIAN BUZZ Nov01 Oct09 Sep02 Aug11 Jul28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Oct13 Sep21 Aug30 Jun16 May11 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.