Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (7/12/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/12/2/6)-(7/12/5/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/12/2/6)-(7/12/5/2/6)-(7/12/5/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/12/2/6)-(10/9/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/12/2/6)-(10/9/8/2)-(9/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (10/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/8/2)-(10/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/8/2)-(10/9/8/2)-(10/9/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/8/2)-(9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/9/8/2)-(9/6/1)-(10/6/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (9/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/1)-(9/6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/6/1)-(9/6/7/1)-(9/6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/6/1)-(10/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/1)-(10/6/1/5)-(2/4/10/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-4   WIN (10/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/1/5)-(10/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/1/5)-(10/6/1/5)-(10/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6/1/5)-(2/4/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/6/1/5)-(2/4/10/9)-(8/5/3/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/4/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/10/9)-(2/4/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/10/9)-(2/4/10/9)-(2/4/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/10/9)-(8/5/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/10/9)-(8/5/3/6/2)-(11/9/5/10/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-6   WIN (8/5/3/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/6/2)-(8/5/3/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/6/2)-(8/5/3/6/2)-(8/5/3/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/3/6/2)-(11/9/5/10/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/6/2)-(11/9/5/10/7)-(12/5/10/8/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-7   WIN (11/9/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/9/5/10/7)-(11/9/5/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/9/5/10/7)-(11/9/5/10/7)-(11/9/5/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/9/5/10/7)-(12/5/10/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/9/5/10/7)-(12/5/10/8/2)-(7/10/8/5/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-8   WIN (12/5/10/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/5/10/8/2)-(12/5/10/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/5/10/8/2)-(12/5/10/8/2)-(12/5/10/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/5/10/8/2)-(7/10/8/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-9   WIN (7/10/8/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/8/5/3)-(7/10/8/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/8/5/3)-(7/10/8/5/3)-(7/10/8/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN TWO STEP Aug12 Jul06 Jun16 Apr27 Aug24 (breaux samuel)NEGRON LUIS 117 8.00    
2  MSCHITCHATTOUR Aug28 Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 May26 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SODDY DAISY Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 Mar16 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00    
SCR  A P HUMOR Jun30 Jun10 Jun01 May19 May03 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 114 15.00    
5  SENSE OF FLURRY Aug13 Jul26 Jul01 Jun07 Sep14 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 4.00 ★    
6  RYAN'S GRACE Jul20 May20 Apr28 Apr12 Mar26 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MARDI GRAS ALARM Jul27 Jul06 Jun17 May27 May11 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  HOT PATOOTIE Sep09 Jul15 May19 Apr26 Apr07 (ney john)BARRERA J 109 12.00    
9  INDY LOVER Aug27 Jun25 Jun11 Apr30 Feb26 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 117 15.00    
10  STOP SHOP N DROP Jul28 Jul01 Jun10 May11 Apr12 (castille ricke)THORNTON G 114 5.00    
SCR  MARILYN'S MAGIC Feb01 Jan12 Dec27 Oct26 Oct15 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 117 20.00    
12  PUGLIA Sep03 Jul15 May27 May18 Apr27 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
DED-2   10/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Sep04 Aug07 Jul20 Jul05 Jun15 (dixon tim)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 20.00    
2  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Jul01 May20 Mar23 Mar04 Feb09 (weeks k)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  D'WILD MUFFIN Sep11 Aug27 Jul17 May29 May20 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 117 15.00    
SCR  TUGBOAT Aug05 Jun10 May13 Apr19 Jan19 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 5.00    
5  MY KIKI Aug12 Jun17 Jun01 Apr27 Apr15 (broberg karl)BARRERA J 112 15.00    
6  SEE SASSY RUN Sep09 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Jun10 (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00    
7  ITSNOTMYJOB Aug12 Jul27 Jul04 Feb04 Jan14 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 12.00    
8  TRACK SMART Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 May28 Feb24 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 4.00 11% 7.70    
9  HUSHED COURT ROOM Sep11 Aug26 Aug03 Jul20 May29 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
10  HARRIET'S DREAM Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 May29 Feb20 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
DED-3   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HILLBILLY RISEN         (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of RISEN DAY by STORM DAY)
SCR  WITH A SONG         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of WITH HONORANDGRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  COZY COURTNEY         (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of RULERSSHINYFUTURE by RULER'S COURT)
4  BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY Sep10 Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 120 20.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
5  GNAUGHTY KIMMY         (blanchet chr)EDISON JOCELYN 115 12.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of EYE CRAFT by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  ONE LINE RULER Aug04 Jun16       (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by ONE LINER out of SHEZA ROMAN RULER by ROMAN RULER)
7  TIFFANY'S FERRARI         (johnson b)MELANCON G 120 5.00 ★    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of LAWYER TIFFANY by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  SOUTHEASTER         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
  (by WHENCE out of JOVE JOVE DIVE by BRIGHTON RIDGE)
9  LIGHTOFMAINE Aug04         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PONTIANA by DEPUTY MINISTER)
10  IDO SOLEMNLY SWEAR         (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
  (by PUCK out of THE THINGS YOU DO by PARTNER'S HERO)
 
DED-4   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHARLIE GRAS Sep04 Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 May27 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 114 8.00 12% 7.30    
2  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Sep04 Aug05 Jul15 Jun29 May27 (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 111 10.00    
3  COZZOLANI Aug12 Jul06 May15 Apr12 Apr04 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 114 15.00    
4  LOVIN LIVIN Aug21 Jul09 Mar05 Feb03 Dec26 (lorefice)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 20.00    
5  MO BELLA Aug07 Jun19 May14 Feb15 Jan18 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 6.00 11% 8.50    
6  BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Jul07 May18 May05 Mar04 Feb14 (toups brent)POMPELL L 114 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  LIL DITTY'S KITTY Sep02 Aug25 Aug06 Jul15 Jun19 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 3.00    
8  SHE'S MY PRIORITY Aug26 Jun29 Jun09 May27 May05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 6.00    
SCR  STORM BREACH Jul27 Jun29 May27 May18 Apr29 (courville ricky)STOKES J 114 20.00    
10  BITSY C C LIL GIRL Jul27 Jun17 May27 Feb22 Jan25 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 5.00 36% 1.80    
 
DED-5   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COCAL Aug29 Jun08 May26 May25 Apr29 (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 117 20.00    
2  MO CREDO Aug10 Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 114 3.50 34% 2.00    
3  TACTICAL VISION Aug11 Jun15 May20 Apr27   (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 111 8.00    
4  LO LO'S LAUGHTER Sep02 Aug16 Jul23 Jun24 May28 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 2.50 27% 2.60    
5  KING OF CONTRABAND Aug28 Jul01 May22 Feb28 Feb18 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 12.00    
SCR  JOSAN Jan05 Dec02 Nov10 Oct19 Aug24 (morrell cynthia)NEGRON LUIS 117 15.00    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP Sep12 Aug13 May28 Apr27 Apr15 (rossi j)BOREL H 117 5.00    
SCR  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Sep12 Aug27 Jul28 Jun18 May15 (gomez c)FUSILIER C 117 12.00    
9  GOBOT Aug05 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Oct15 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 117 8.00 5% 18.80    
10  PINCH HITTER Sep12 Aug13 Jul31 Jul01 May06 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  QUIET AS MIDNIGHT Aug05 Jul08 May25 Apr22 Feb18 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 15.00    
SCR  DOUBLE ON THE RED Jul29 Jul08 Jun03 May13 Apr27 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 15.00    
 
DED-6   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VETERANS DAY Aug27 Jun30 Jun08 May13 Mar26 (landry r)THORNTON G 114 6.00    
2  DREWMAZING Jul14 Mar01 Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 (briley lonni)MAGNON H 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  UP N GONE Jul21 Jul06 Jun03 May10 Apr28 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 4.00 14% 6.40    
4  GOTMY MO JO WORKIN Jun24 Apr08 Feb18 Feb03 Jan20 (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 117 15.00    
5  MACHO BEANIE Jun03 May06 Mar25 Mar03 Feb10 (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 114 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  EL DEAL ME ACES Mar10 Feb05 Dec26 Nov09 Jun25 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 12% 7.60    
7  GEORGE ALLEN Mar25 Mar01 Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00    
8  BETTABE BOURBON Aug27 Dec21 Nov25     (landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.00 28% 2.60    
9  ORDER UP May26 May08 Aug03 Jul14 May20 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 117 20.00    
10  GUITAR DOCTOR Jan20 Dec10 Nov16 Apr13 Mar24 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 15.00    
SCR  MARKS PROMISE Mar10 Feb24 Feb04 Jan12 Dec30 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 6.00    
SCR  BIG BOO Sep11 Aug27 Jul01 Jun04 May15 (singh s)SINGH R 117 20.00    
 
DED-7   10/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOHNNYSJOURNEY Sep12 Sep02 Jul23 Jun19 Jun03 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00    
2  FLASHY PREMO Aug10 Jul20 Jun23 May15 Apr21 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 114 20.00    
3  PROMISING SHOES Sep02 Jul02 Jun12 May27 May06 (duhon paul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 20.00    
4  SECOND OF JULY Sep03 Jun24 Jan08 Oct15 Sep08 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 117 8.00    
5  CHIEF CHARLIE Aug11 Jul07 May20 Apr20 Feb18 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 2.50 14% 6.10    
6  LIARS CLUB Sep12 Sep02 Jul30 Jul13 Jul06 (hurley tina )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00    
7  ARCTIC ROSE Sep10 Aug03 Jun09 Apr22 Mar24 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  AUTOPILOT Aug27 Aug12 Jul10 May13 Apr29 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 4.50    
9  OAK HILL LG Sep02 Jul15 Jun12 May27 Apr26 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.50 22% 3.50    
10  INDIMAAJ Jul06 Jun09 May04 Apr13 Mar16 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00 6% 14.60    
11  I WILL STAND Aug30 Jul19       (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  GET WITT GONE Sep09 Aug21 Jul23 Jul03 Apr14 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 112 15.00    
 
DED-8   10/14/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z'S GUITAR Aug11 Jun30 Jun03 May18 Apr28 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 106 20.00    
2  PAYNT BATTLE Sep12 Aug28 Aug04 Jul07 Jun19 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 112 12.00 6% 15.70    
3  MAZING MARK Sep03 Jul29 Jul07 Apr22 Mar04 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 117 15.00    
4  MIDNIGHT RULES Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Aug20 Jul29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 6.00    
5  ONEMORETIMEAROUND Sep09 Jul15       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 17% 5.10    
SCR  COMMANDER SCOTT Aug20 Nov24 Oct06 Aug26 Jul20 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 12.00    
7  RUM 'N TONIC Sep11 Aug28 Jul30 Jul10 Jun24 (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 117 20.00    
8  RUNNING LATE Nov24 Sep14       (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 12.00 7% 13.30    
9  CLASSIC BET Sep25 Sep03 Aug12 Jul09 May22 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 1.60    
10  DARE TO FAIL Aug19 Jul31 Jun25 May20 May08 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 10.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  DONEGAL FACTOR May25 Feb19 Nov26 Oct05 Sep01 (noel dane)VARGAS P 114 8.00    
12  SEIZE THE TREASURE Sep09 Aug07 Jun17 May27 May05 (bryant)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 35% 1.80    
 
DED-9   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZEONPOINT Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 Apr29 Apr16 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 3.50    
2  ISOLATION Aug26 Jun16 Jun01 Apr28 Mar17 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 4.50    
3  CYBER SNEAKER Apr30 Mar17 Feb23 Jan14 Dec19 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRIDER CHASE Aug12 Jul01 Jun08 May11 Apr13 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 12.00    
5  SWEET BAY Aug12 Jul27 Jun24 Jun11 May11 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 6.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  KIND WAYS May29 Apr29 Apr07 Feb15 Jan26 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00    
7  HURRICANE TIZWAY Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul03 Jun18 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 117 2.50 39% 1.50    
8  KISS RIDE GOODBYE Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 Feb10 Jan28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
9  L G GIRL Aug21 Jun19 May29 May07 Feb17 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 114 20.00    
10  LIL MISS DE BUY Sep11 Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.