Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/12/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/12/8/5)-(6/12/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/12/8/5)-(6/12/8/5)-(6/12/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/12/8/5)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/12/8/5)-(6/1/4)-(7/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(7/8/2)-(8/2/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/2)-(7/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/2)-(7/8/2)-(7/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2)-(8/2/7/3)-(8/9/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (8/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3)-(8/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/3)-(8/9/2/10)-(4/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (8/9/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/10)-(8/9/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/10)-(8/9/2/10)-(8/9/2/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/2/10)-(4/1/3)-(6/2/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/2/5/4)-(9/10/12/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (9/10/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/12/4)-(9/10/12/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/12/4)-(9/10/12/4)-(9/10/12/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/10/12/4)-(6/3)-(4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-9   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-10   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG BOULDER Sep02 Jul03 Jun04 May19   (danner kelsey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.50    
SCR  CAROLINA PARTISAN Jun09 Apr29       (montano wilfr)PANAIJO JORGE 124 20.00    
3  MIGHTY RIOT Aug16 Jan26 Jan05 Oct26 Oct03 (murphy cono)PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00    
4  ALPHA LEA Sep27 Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 Jun21 (howard anne)MCKEE J 121 5.00    
5  TIGERITO Jun15 May19 Feb22 Jan05 Dec07 (reed r)FELIX E 124 10.00 11% 7.70    
6  HABITUS (GB) Sep23 Sep09 Aug02 Jun30 May20 (shifflet)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 4.50 42% 1.40    
7  LIGHTNING CASHES Sep28 Sep14 Aug15 Aug04 Jul20 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 20.00    
8  THE RED FOX Sep20 Sep01 Jun09 Sep01   (meah m)MCENTEE GRACE 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  TROY BOY Sep27 Sep20 Sep09 Aug16 Aug03 (coomer philip)CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00    
10  SPY TOWN Sep04 Aug28 Aug08 Jul10 Jun26 (gotera car)LEON A 121 20.00    
SCR  WAYNE'S LEGEND Aug02 Sep07       (murphy conor)OUZTS W 121 6.00    
12  WAYLAID Sep16 Jan26 Feb25     (ward wesley )CRUZ JUAN 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
BTP-2   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAILS HERE         (brafford michelle)OUZTS W 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MR. Z out of STAMP QUEEN by SOTO (VEN))
2  R CLIFFHANGER Sep29         (melancon pau)MARCANO Y 119 8.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of STORMY MAY by BAD STORM COMIN')
3  SQUEAKY CLEAN May18 Dec12 Nov10 Oct07 Sep29 (morelos mateo)PANAIJO JORGE 124 10.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
4  STORMED OUT Sep09 Jul22       (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.50 12% 7.20    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
5  DISCO MUSIC Sep29 Sep07 Aug19 Jul22   (krummen mon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.00    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MENE by HOLY BULL)
6  SAMURAI WAY Sep09 Aug09 Jul22 May25 May04 (baez serg)CORREA L 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
7  GRAND ZHOUL Aug09 Jun29 May29     (bennett rober)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHICKIE by SLEW CITY SLEW)
 
BTP-3   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALL ABOUT CROGE Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 Aug04 Jul14 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 119 12.00    
2  DESERT HIGHWAY Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 Aug12 Aug05 (ramos francis)CANUTO THIAGO 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
3  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 Aug01 Jun24 (gorostieta )LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 10.00    
4  HASTY STRIKE Aug05 Jul22 Jun30 May12 Apr28 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 122 3.50    
SCR  SHERLOCKED Sep27 Sep09 Feb22 Feb09 Jan26 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 6.00    
6  THE POINT ROAD Sep20 Aug31 Aug15 Aug03 Jul06 (bush s)BUSH V 122 8.00    
7  HASKELLED May14 Apr16 Mar12 Jan06 Dec18 (dyer john)MOJICA JR 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
8  VAMONOS Sep22 Sep02 Aug15 Jul25 Jul10 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 114 5.00 21% 3.90    
 
BTP-4   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANTINO'S FANTASY Sep22 Sep07 Aug16 Aug09 Jul19 (perez manny)COLON H 117 8.00    
2  OFFICIAL BUSINESS Sep14 Jul13 Dec07 Nov10 Oct16 (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
3  EL PIQUIN Sep13 Dec14 Nov10 Oct19 Oct02 (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRINCE OF ROSES Sep20 Aug12 Aug03 Jun14 May11 (esquivel )CORREA L 119 5.00    
5  GREENSFELDER Sep27 Sep15 Aug31 Aug12 Aug03 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 12.00    
6  FAST FELIX Sep22 Sep06 Aug05 Jun30 May24 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 2.50    
7  WIMOWEH Aug17 Aug02 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (gorostieta ci)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 10% 8.70    
8  CHROMED IMPULSE May30 May13 Apr11 Mar21 Mar08 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 115 3.50 38% 1.60    
9  NOTION Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 Feb17 Dec26 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00    
 
BTP-5   10/06/2023 7260ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNT FROST Sep11 Aug31 Aug17 Jul21 Jul06 (caramori eduar)REYES R 120 5.00    
2  BULLBRIAR Sep15 Aug23 Jul19 Jul03 Jun10 (guida ant)CORREA L 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
3  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Sep19 Sep10 Jul20 Feb19 Feb03 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00    
4  BLUE SKY PAINTER Sep12 Aug07 Jul24 May22 Jun08 (delong ben)JIMENEZ J 120 20.00    
5  LEMONADEATTHELATCH Sep24 Sep02 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00    
6  MARQUET MALICE Jul08 Apr22 Mar08 Nov30 Oct12 (douaihy miche)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
SCR  ATTORNEY TIM Sep25 Sep18 Sep01 Jul30 Sep01 (fletcher we)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00    
8  LINK TO DESTINY Sep09 Jan14 Dec07 Sep20   (ward wesley )CRUZ JUAN 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
9  CURRENT Jul30 May15 May03 Feb04 Dec11 (howard anne)MCKEE J 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
10  DIAL HIM UP Sep27 Sep13 Aug05 Feb12 Jan29 (mendieta ale)MARCANO Y 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-6   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC DEVOTION Sep13 Jul27       (mcentee paul)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  SWAYBACK JACK Sep23 Sep09       (nocero carmino)COLON H 120 6.00    
3  BELLA SKYE         (radosevic)CORREA L 117 8.00 16% 5.30    
4  POINT AT YOU Sep29 Aug26       (claire alexis)MCKEE J 120 2.00 32% 2.20    
5  ROYALLY FLUSHED Sep23 Sep05 Aug18 Jul12 Jun23 (short travi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
6  BAYTOWN CONNECTED Sep17 Aug26 Jul27     (mcentee paul)MARCANO Y 115 4.00    
7  AGENT KOSTA Sep23 Aug26       (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50    
 
BTP-7   10/06/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE BRYAN Sep20 Aug29 Aug16     (patrick gary)OUZTS W 121 8.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of FIRE AND FLAME by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
2  BOBBY MERLOT Sep06 Aug27       (bergin tom)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of WHITE MERLOT by PROUD ACCOLADE)
3  SOMOS Sep29 Sep01 Jul17     (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 124 3.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INCONCLUSIVE by INCLUDE)
4  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Sep04 Aug24 Aug02 Jul26 Jul06 (perez manny)COLON H 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of JULIE DARLIN by SEATTLE FITZ)
5  FORT BULL         (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 121 15.00 9% 9.90    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OVATION by DUNKIRK)
6  OVERDUE HONOR Aug20 Jul19 May20     (roussel j)FELIX E 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STARSHIP DUCHESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  XKUZ Aug19 Aug10 Jan26 Dec30 Oct19 (dolan m)ELLIOTT JANE 124 5.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of STROMBOLIAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  BLOSSOM DIVA Sep16 Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 (galindo-to)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JERRY'SHONEYCAROL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
BTP-8   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAIYAS SONG Jun03 May17 Mar11 Dec28 Nov10 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 12.00    
SCR  LUCKY CAT TOO Sep21 Jul19 May31 Apr28 Apr05 (royal madel)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  OPTIMIZME Sep21 Sep04 Aug11 Aug01 Jun16 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 6.00    
4  ZERO CLICK Sep08 Aug18 Aug01 May26 May06 (norris mike)MARCANO Y 114 12.00 9% 10.00    
5  AWESOME VALOR Sep21 Sep08 Aug19 Aug04 Jul27 (adams l)COLON H 122 4.50    
SCR  DEESSE Sep15 May05 Apr28 Apr15 Mar15 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 15.00    
7  LITTLE MIAMI Sep23 Sep02 Aug11     (lang)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00    
8  THREE POINT KUZ Sep23 Sep15 Aug31 Aug18 Aug01 (morelos mat)JIMENEZ J 122 20.00    
9  FLATTER ME ZEN Aug31 Aug05 Jun21 Jun01 May05 (barrett a)MCKEE J 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
10  SOPHISTICATED Aug30 Aug01 Jun17 May25 May12 (edwards w)CORREA L 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  SHORT ON THE SUGAR Sep08 Aug29 Aug11 Jul21   (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 119 15.00    
12  WANNAGOCAMPING Sep15 Sep08 Aug31 Aug01 Jul13 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 8.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  EASY IS GOOD Sep23 May26 May12 Apr28 Feb01 (vaughn terry)BRYAN KERRY 122 20.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM JOY Sep21 Sep07 Aug18 Jun22 Jun10 (wilson jr)BUSH V 122 20.00    
SCR  GET CLEAR Sep15 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Aug18 (sands sh)STRANDBERG MALLORY 122 10.00    
 
BTP-9   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Sep06 Jul22 Jun15 May26 Nov12 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00    
SCR  FACTISIMFLASHY Aug26 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  I'M LEGIT Sep16 Aug17 Jul19 Jun15 Jun07 (melancon paul)BUSH V 120 6.00 6% 17.20    
4  EARLY BLOOMER Sep22 Sep06 Aug03 Jul19 May12 (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 120 5.00    
5  MISS ELIANA Sep28 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 122 2.50    
6  HIGH FIRE Sep13 Aug17 Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 (wolochuk dav)MARCANO Y 115 3.50 51% 1.00    
7  ABIGAIL LEE Sep16 Jul19 Jun15 May22 Apr12 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
 
BTP-10   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISSY'S MAY Sep06 Aug16 Aug05 Jul20 Jun24 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 3.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MRS. BOYD by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  BREATH OF HEAVEN Sep06 Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Sep12 (bush s)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50    
  (by CORFU out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  SHEZ IN A TIZZY Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Aug05 Jul19 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 119 4.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  SHE'S A BIG GIRL         (crumley jevon)HESS SARA 116 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of GONDOLE by AFLEET ALEX)
5  FANTOOSH Jul20         (dalton m)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HYPERLINK by TOCCET)
6  STORMINATOR         (bennett r)CORREA L 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
  (by GET STORMY out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
7  PEARL PEARL PEARL Sep06 Aug16 Jul20     (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 121 10.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of CARSON'S PEARL by CARSON CITY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.