Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - September 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(2/6/5)-(4/3/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(4/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(4/3/7/5)-(3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/5)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/5)-(3/2)-(1/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/5/3)-(6/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR ANDREW B Aug21 Aug02       (houghton )RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50    
2  SONG OF THE EAST         (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 119 6.00 13% 6.80    
3  FREEDOM LIVES Aug02 May23       (albright r)FLORES E 119 12.00    
4  WARRIOR AT BAT         (beattie tod)INIRIO J 119 4.00    
5  MR. NORMANDY Aug09 May23       (albright r)AGUILAR M 119 10.00    
6  TAPACHILL         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
7  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM         (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-2   09/06/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP SENSATION Jul12 Jun28 Jun12 Apr26 Apr10 (mccaslin john)MOYA F 122 6.00    
2  CHIEF REIDER Aug18 Jul19 Jun09 Sep24 Jul29 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
3  VINDICATO Aug18 Aug02 Jul17 Jun12 Apr29 (pessanha ne)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00    
4  MORNING MARCH Aug15 Jul20 Jul10 Jun07 Oct25 (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
5  RUNAHOLIC Aug18 Jul12 Jun16 May25 May04 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 13% 6.80    
6  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Aug15 Aug01 Jul12 Jun16 May26 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  ROCKIN THE BANK Aug13 Jul24 Jun30     (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 5.00    
 
PEN-3   09/06/2023 5490ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CUENCA Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 Jun02 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
SCR  INTRO Aug23 Aug05 Feb17 Jan11 Dec10 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
3  VANILLA BEAN Aug21 Jul24 Jun19 May30 May12 (merryman e)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 5.00 14% 5.90    
4  ALL ABOUT ME Aug05 Jul07 Jun22 Dec26 Dec02 (stidham michae)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  WINGS OF A SONG Aug18 Jul17 May29 May12 Apr16 (schoenthal phil)CHIAPPE R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AMEN SYLVIA Aug16 Aug08 Jul14 Jun02 May05 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
7  SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT Aug19 May06 Mar15 Feb23 Feb08 (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 120 8.00 12% 7.60    
8  CHA CHA TAP Dec14 Nov20 Oct01 Sep05   (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 118 12.00    
9  CALL ON CLARA Aug19 Jul30 Jul05 Jun09 Nov09 (reck christo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
10  LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE Aug16 Jun22 Oct17 Sep23 Aug26 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
SCR  ISTHATYOURHARLEY Aug16 Jul26 Mar22 Feb09 Sep28 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN GIRL Aug09 Jul05 Jun03 May14 Apr16 (milosevic m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 12.00    
 
PEN-4   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT'S GIRL Aug09 Jun21 May31 Dec14 Nov18 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
2  BILLIEANNE Aug17 Jul27 Jun30 May31 May05 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 18% 4.70    
3  STAND BY YOU Aug09 Jul14 May31 May06 Apr02 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  KILIMANJARA Aug09 Jul07 Jun19 Jun10 May06 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00    
SCR  TERPEYE Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun28 May25 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 30.00    
6  NO EASY ANSWER Jun30 May06 Mar16 Feb24 Jan12 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50    
7  MELODIOUS SINGER Jul28 Mar09 Feb09 Jan25 Dec28 (kulp l)LUZZI J 122 2.00    
 
PEN-5   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEYONTHELINE Jan13 Oct28 Oct07 Sep08 Aug18 (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  HE IS BAD Aug10 Jul13 Jun22     (beattie san)INIRIO J 122 2.00    
3  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 Jun20 Oct19 (crane clovis)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
4  NOTORIOUS REY Aug04 Jul06 Jun20 May19 Feb23 (ippolito )HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
5  SUMMER ASH Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 May17 May04 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  MR DUBAI Aug04 Nov29 Nov02 Oct14 Sep09 (martinez jo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00    
7  LUCKY LEWIS Aug24 Apr21 Mar24 Mar09 Feb02 (ferrei)SMITH DANIEL 110 12.00    
 
PEN-6   09/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLETCHER STATION Aug24 Jul06 Jun21 May26 May11 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00    
2  WHISKIED UP Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 May26 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
3  EL POLICIA Aug17 Aug04 Jul06 Apr01 Feb17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
4  I'M NOT A BABY Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun05 Feb04 (bailes r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 4.00 8% 10.90    
5  BROBRO CORMAN Jun30 Jun14 May25 Apr27 Feb25 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
6  KAZ MUNNINGS Jul06 Jun21 May10 Apr19 Mar23 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-7   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH Jul13 Jun15 May11     (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.00 ★    
2  MISS MIA LIA Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
3  STONE IN LOVE Jul30 Jun18 Oct11 Aug20 Aug01 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SYNDEY GIRL Jul21 Jun22       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00    
5  MADISON COUNTY Jul13 Jun27 Dec02 Oct26 Sep15 (houghton )RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
6  MAKE A SPLASH Aug23 Mar10       (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
7  DANCEWITHTHEBAND         (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00 35% 1.80    
8  TICK ALERT Aug23 Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 May12 (crane clovi)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 30.00    
9  MOONSHINE WARRIOR Jan27         (kulp brando)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.