Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/9/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/9/2/1)-(6/4/9/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(1/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(1/6/7/2)-(10/9/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/2)-(10/9/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/2)-(10/9/5/3)-(1/6/2/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-3   WIN (10/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/5/3)-(10/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/5/3)-(10/9/5/3)-(10/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/5/3)-(1/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/9/5/3)-(1/6/2/7)-(4/7/2/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/7)-(4/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/7)-(4/7/2/5)-(2/1/3/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/5)-(2/1/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/5)-(2/1/3/5)-(4/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/5)-(4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/5)-(4/7/3)-(5/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-8   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAR LADY Jun29 May24 Apr14 Mar23 Mar08 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SASSY MARTINI Jul21 Jul05 Jun22 Jun16 Jun02 (beattie san)INIRIO J 120 4.50 ★    
3  GIRL'S ON FIRE Jun22 May31 May11 Apr27 Mar17 (rubley kelly)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
4  FILLMORE EAST Jul21 Nov22 Sep21 Aug31 Aug19 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  KENTUCKY PRIDE Jun21 May31 May09 Apr09 Mar03 (dandy j)BOWMAN ADAM 120 12.00    
6  KLAYTON'S KANDY Jul14 Jun22 Jun16 May27 May06 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 72% 0.40    
SCR  TEACHER DRAMA Jul21 Jun16 May24 May04 Mar17 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
8  BELLS ON HER TOES Jul04 Jun13 May29 May16 Apr13 (penaloza mig)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00    
9  BRUMMAGEM Jul27 Jul12 May25 Apr30 Nov05 (pickett crys)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 ★    
10  BONITA LASSIE Jul21 Jun21 Jun01 May11 Mar17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   08/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFRICAN ANGEL Jul14 Jun20 May15 Apr12 Mar03 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  BABKA Jul28 Jul13 Jun15 May24 Apr20 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Jul12 Jun07 May24 May15 May01 (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 12.00    
4  TITANIC ROSE Jul26 Jul05 Jun19 Apr26 Apr10 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 10.00    
5  MISQUILLO Jun27 Jun19 May23 Jan11 Dec12 (hawthorne bobbi)RUIZ ELISEO 113 12.00    
6  HIGH VIBES Jul22 Jun01 Apr23 Mar22 Mar08 (carrascoj)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
7  TREASURE TAILS Jul27 Jul07 Jun11 May25 Aug06 (holtzinger ca)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  SAYYIDA AL HURRA Jul14 Jun14 May25 Apr06   (bracho sherene)FLORES E 120 15.00    
SCR  SWEET MESA Jul12 Jun30 Apr20 Mar10 Apr29 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
10  IRISH KITTEN Jul15 Jun28 Jun01 Apr15 Apr01 (arriagada juan)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  MILWAUKEE BAY Jul05 Jun19 Jun07 May01 Mar08 (linder j)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   08/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BENCH PRESS Jul19 Jun21 May31 May05 Mar16 (agnew nao)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00    
2  CITY OF GOD Jul26 Jun29 Jun16 May26 Apr21 (kreiser c)CORA D 122 5.00    
3  RED DEVOLUTION Jul19 Jun21 Apr27 Feb23 Jan04 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  KING SWANSBORO Jul04 Jun06 May15 May03 Apr18 (hawthorne bobbi)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00    
5  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Jun16 May03 Apr18 Mar23 Mar11 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  UNION REWARD Jun05 May22 Apr18 Mar29 Mar21 (hawthorne bobbi)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00    
7  THE MAN TO SEE Jul13 Jun21 May25 May10 Mar15 (dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
8  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Jul19 Jun21 Jun14 May17 Apr27 (cifarelli fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
9  PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) Aug02 Jul15 May31     (hendriks j)ROSE J 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
10  LA PAZ Jul19 Jun21 May26 Jan19 Dec06 (smith thoma)INIRIO J 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  LOVE ME ARCHIE Jul19 Jul07 Apr08 Feb25 Jan15 (kelly blak)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 30.00    
SCR  STEELE MONEY May18 Apr16 Mar03 Dec17 Nov20 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
 
PEN-4   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS. BUCCHERO Jul08 Jun01 May03 Mar26 Mar11 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  FLASHING DIAMOND Jun15 May22 Apr18 Apr03 Feb15 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 120 4.00 9% 10.70    
3  TAPIT'S GIRL Jun21 May31 Dec14 Nov18 Nov04 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
4  STAND BY YOU Jul14 May31 May06 Apr02 Mar11 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
5  KILIMANJARA Jul07 Jun19 Jun10 May06 Jun30 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 10.00    
6  CARTOUCHE Jul17 Oct26 Oct07 Aug25 Jul20 (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 113 4.00 11% 8.00    
7  R FUNNY BIZNESS May29 Apr14 Mar26 Feb11 Jan01 (velazquez al)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  SHESASUPERFREAK Jun18 May22 Apr12 Mar21 Nov29 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
 
PEN-5   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPENDOLINI Jul24 Oct25 Oct07     (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 5.00    
2  OVER AND THUNDER Jul07 Apr26 Mar15 Feb22 Jan13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  CIRCLE ME MADDEN May29 Apr21 Mar28 Feb27   (ramirez silv)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 12.00    
4  AMUSING MISCHIEF Jul07 Jun14 Apr18 Mar27 Nov18 (graham edward)CORA D 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  MACHO HONCHO Jul27 Jul07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb01 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MITROPANOS Jul24 Jul07 Jun16 May08 Mar31 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50    
7  UPSTATE AND BACK Jul27 Jul07 Jun02 May06 Mar29 (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.00 29% 2.40    
8  JUMP FOR THE WIN Jul20 Jul05 Jun02 May11 Apr28 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   08/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATTY'S UNCLE Jul04 Jun21 May22 Apr18 Apr03 (pattersha)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 18% 4.40    
2  PHARAOH'S TRIUMPH May24 Jan16 Nov21 Oct16 Sep25 (kreiser timo)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  SAL N LOUIE Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 Jun04 May15 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
4  ALTA FOX Jun27 Jun13 May20 Apr18 Mar22 (coletti edwar)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50    
5  VAIL OF HONOR May12 Mar11 Feb10 Jan11 Jan15 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 7% 13.90    
6  OMERTA CODE Jul19 Jun21 Jun14 May20 Apr11 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
7  LUCKY RUNNING CAT Jul19 Jun21 May31 May10 Aug25 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50    
 
PEN-7   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYLVIA I AM Jun28 Jun14 May26 May05 Apr21 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 15.00    
SCR  RAY OF LIGHT Jun30 May31 May11 Dec06 Oct14 (bracho sherene)FLORES E 124 20.00    
3  BULLET BREEZE Jul06 Jun15 May18     (murillo rica)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 12% 7.70    
4  BANJO Jul13 Jun30       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  IF WE GET LUCKY Jul13 Jun14 May19 May03   (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
6  TYRANT REGIME Jul11         (pessanha ne)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00    
7  ICY COLD May11 Apr12 Mar16 Feb16 Jan18 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
8  MILLBANK MAN Jul13 May19 Apr28 Apr21 Mar31 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
 
PEN-8   08/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANTO Jul07 Jun15 May18 Apr01 Mar09 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50    
2  SWEEPIN HARD Jul06 Jun15 May17 Apr26 Mar16 (jacklin theod)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.00    
3  TUCKERTON BAY Jul06 Jun28 Jun02 May11 Apr26 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
4  MR BOLDACIOUS Jul26 Jun29 Jun09 May17 May05 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
5  MERCURY TEN Jul06 Jun11 May25 Oct27 Oct13 (shuman mark)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  SUPER REIGN Jun29 Jun14 May31 Nov21 Nov14 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.