Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Tuesday - August 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(7/5)-(2/9/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/5)-(2/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(2/9/5)-(7/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/5)-(2/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/9/5)-(2/9/5)-(2/9/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/9/5)-(7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5)-(7/5/6)-(5/7/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(5/7/4/3)-(4/5/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/3)-(4/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/3)-(4/5/8/3)-(5/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/3)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/3)-(5/6/2)-(4/6/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (4/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR SMILE Nov22 Oct12 Sep01 Jul13   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 10% 8.90    
EUPHIMA (ARG)         (preciado guad)RANGEL JOEZER 120 3.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  ELL GRAY Jul05 May31       (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 10.00    
AMEN SYLVIA Jul14 Jun02 May05 Jan19 Dec28 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
BEA BEA KAZ Jul19 Jun18 May19 Jan20 Nov30 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 118 12.00    
POSITIVE FORCE Jul14 Jun28 Jun02 May12 Apr21 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 8.00    
SIMPLY STATED Jun22 Jun02 May06 Aug11   (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 1.60 54% 0.90    
 
PEN-2   08/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUND THE CHARGE Oct22 Aug04 Jul12 Jun20   (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00    
SCR  HROTHGAR Jul12 May27 Apr15 Mar25 Mar05 (morzan e)AGUILAR M 118 15.00    
SCR  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Jul12 Jun22 May24 May06 Dec30 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 120 30.00    
SCR  YES SIR COLONEL Jul25 Jul10 Jul03 Jun10 May20 (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 122 3.50    
ADY'S MUNNY Jul14 Jun09 May17 Apr19 Mar01 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  AMOUNT Jul13 Jun28 Jun12 Jun03 May17 (castillo mi)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
SAMARONTI Aug02 Jul07 Jun22 May26 May04 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 May30 May16 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 113 8.00    
PRATT Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 May24 Apr26 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
SCR  KASIM Jul05 Mar11 Feb17 Jan22 Dec15 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50    
 
PEN-3   08/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COURT AND SPARK Jul03 Jun05 May15 Sep21 Aug24 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
BRIT'S CANDYMAN Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 Apr07 Mar16 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
STANHOPE Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May17 Apr24 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Jul26 Jul15 Jun28 May19 Jan04 (borges is)VARGAS L 118 20.00    
GONE INZANE Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 Nov12 Sep23 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  FLASHINTHENIGHT Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 May28 May07 (salvaggio m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
SCR  NITRO TIME Jun19 Mar30 Feb11 Jan21 Dec16 (comi w)CORA D 122 3.50    
CASH IN A FLASH Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 May31 May10 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
GRAB THE GOLD Jul12 Jun21 May18 Apr28 Mar16 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  KING ECLIPTICAL Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 Oct25 Oct03 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
SCR  BEE BY THE SEA Aug06 Jul28 Jun10 Mar12 Feb10 (flores-coba f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
SCR  ADDY'S LADDY T N T Jun15 Jun02 May13 Apr16 Mar26 (walters h)CARRASCO R 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  READY AND RICH Apr04 Mar23 Feb17 Jan11 Dec09 (velazquez d)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50    
NICK THE CARDSHARK Jul17 Jun21 Jun06 May10 Apr26 (bravo-estrada )ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00    
FEDERAL CASE Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 May17 Apr19 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00    
PURPLE SHIRT Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun15 Jun01 (harigeorgio)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 20.00    
CARGO SHIP Jul20 Jun20 May31 May17 Apr19 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
A T M AWESOME Jul05 Jun21 Jun01 May11 Apr27 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEYOND THE BEND Jul20 Jun30 Jun09 May12 Apr28 (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-5   08/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD THE IRISH Jul12 Jun14 May11 Apr27 Mar15 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
DANGNABBIT Jul25 Jul11 Jul04 Jun19 May29 (guerrero m)HENRY JR 120 12.00    
ITGOT GRANDMA Jul13 Jun20       (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00 6% 15.30    
ARISTOCAT Jul27 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr13 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 1.80 15% 5.60    
PATTY'S BOY Jul14 Jun16 May24 May06   (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
VISHNU Jul14 Jun21 May17 Apr21 Mar17 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00    
SAILOR SPEED Jul07 May20 May04 Apr06 Mar25 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-6   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAJEC HOLIDAY Jul07 Jun16 May11 Apr27 Mar29 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
FAIR AND TRUE Jul13 Jun18 May29 Oct08 Sep23 (fields kevin)FLORES E 122 15.00    
TRECHMO GIRL Jul07 May25 May05     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S A LINO Jul07 Nov23 Oct11     (greaves vern)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
UPTOWN SERAPHINA Jul07 Jun16 Apr20 Mar10 Jan27 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
SCR  PRIDEFUL VILLANO Jul19         (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
KILLDRESS KAY Jun09 Apr15 Feb17     (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
MISS MIA LIA Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 May19 May05 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   08/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE A LITTLE JIG Jul26 Jul14 Jun29 Jun14 May19 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Jul26 Jul14 May24 May11 Apr28 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE RYDER Jul26 Jun28 Jun21 May31 May09 (penaloza mig)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.50    
MANI PEDI Jul14 Jun09 Jun02 May20 May03 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00    
LOVE IS STRONG Jul21 Jun29 May26 Apr07 Mar17 (mckenzi)BRICENO GREGOR 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
FLOWER'S FORTUNE Jul19 Jun28 Jun16 May25 May04 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
 
PEN-8   08/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGGERS DIAMOND Jul13 Jun16 May24 May05 Apr20 (geist w)BAKER J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
OUCH OUCH OUCH Jul25 Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 May19 (flores-coba f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00    
RUNNINGFORHOME Jul26 Jul17 Jun05 May23 May06 (hawthorne bobbi)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.00    
C C'S WARRIOR Jul13 Jun16 Jun02 May12 Apr28 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
SPIN CYCLE Jul13 Jun20 May17 Apr19 Mar16 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50    
ABUELO NUNO Jul18 Jul10 Jun07 May24 May15 (guerrero m)HENRY JR 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
INNUENDO (IRE) Jul19 Jun29 Jun09 May24 May05 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.