Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(5/10/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(5/10/7/8)-(6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/10/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/7/8)-(5/10/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/7/8)-(5/10/7/8)-(5/10/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/7/8)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/10/7/8)-(6/5/2)-(2/6/7/9/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/6/7/9/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/6/7/9/3)-(2/6/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/6/7/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/9/3)-(2/6/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/9/3)-(2/6/7/9/3)-(2/6/7/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/7/9/3)-(2/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/9/3)-(2/6/7)-(2/5/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(2/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(2/5/6/1)-(5/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/1)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT BARONESS May24 May04 Apr19 Mar22 Mar01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHUTUP AND HANG ON May25 Apr28 Mar22 Mar06 Feb16 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  FOXY JUNIOR May06 Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Oct14 (houghton th)INIRIO J 117 4.00    
4  CHARM ALARM Jun01 May11       (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  PHANCY PHILLY May25 May11 Apr20 Mar16 Feb08 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
6  SPECTACULLARI Apr28 Mar10 Feb09 Dec07 Oct25 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50    
 
PEN-2   06/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAZY KATER Jun05 Nov07 Oct13 Sep16 Aug09 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
SCR  NOBLE CONQUEST Jun09 Oct23 Sep17 Aug12 Jul22 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00    
SCR  HURRICANE ANDREW Jun03 Nov05 Jun17     (richards ma)POWELL COURTNEY 120 15.00    
4  PURPLE SHIRT Jun01 May17 Mar29 Mar17 Feb15 (harigeorgiou )ROJAS MARTINA 113 15.00    
5  COLONEL MOORHEAD May26 Mar16 Feb10 Jan19 Nov23 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  SOUPER CATCH May18 Apr30 Mar22 Mar12 Feb10 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 118 2.50    
7  CASTAGNO Jun02 Apr15 Mar25 Mar12 Jan15 (hayford jenn)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
8  DYNAMITE KARMA May11 Apr19 Mar23 Mar16 Feb17 (fields ke)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 7% 12.80    
9  SKILLFUL May20 Feb13 Feb01 Jan16 Nov09 (wyner harold)RIVERA D 120 10.00    
10  BORGOBYTHESEA May06 Apr14 Feb24 Feb11 Jan04 (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.00 11% 8.10    
 
PEN-3   06/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPIN HARD May17 Apr26 Mar16 Feb22 Jan26 (jacklin theod)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
2  SANTO May18 Apr01 Mar09 Feb18 Jan07 (viands r)CORA D 120 3.00 7% 12.60    
3  COUSIN BOB May17 Apr26 Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50    
4  BLUEBERRY MASH May17 Apr26 Mar24 Mar03 Feb01 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
5  ON THE EDGE May25 May10 Apr19 Mar24 Mar01 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 10% 9.20    
6  REBEL RULER May12 Apr29 Mar16 Feb25 Feb09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 57% 0.70    
 
PEN-4   06/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR LAILA May25 May05 Apr26 Mar30 Mar15 (zalalas micha)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
2  SO STEADY May22 Apr20       (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
3  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH May11         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 8% 11.70    
4  BABKA May24 Apr20 Apr06 Mar02 Feb15 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
5  PRIZE DEBATE May12 Mar24 Mar02 Feb04 Dec12 (rubley ke)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
6  JAYLEE May22         (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 9% 10.00    
7  ON THE SHORTLIST Nov30 Nov08       (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 8.00 9% 10.00    
8  DON DIVA Jun03 Feb24 Jan01 Dec16 Dec07 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 124 5.00    
9  FIRST SPIRIT GIRL         (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  WICKED KITTEN Dec11 Nov21 Oct27 Sep05   (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 12.00    
SCR  FORTUNE TELLER May24 Apr01 Aug11     (brion ker)CARRASCO R 121 10.00    
12  SATISFIED Nov06 Oct14 Sep17 Aug30 Jul20 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 122 4.50    
 
PEN-5   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN May18 Apr27 Mar18 Mar01 Jan26 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
2  PICTOR May18 Mar10 Feb16 Jan27 Dec13 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.80 34% 2.00    
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS May18 Mar10 Dec27 May19 Apr27 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 3.50    
4  NICE WEATHER May31 May12 Nov04 Sep09 Aug18 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
5  BUCKS ARE MOVING May26 May02 Apr03 Mar15 Feb06 (arce josue)RAMOS C 124 12.00    
6  JUMPMASTER May17 Apr27 Mar23 Mar10 Feb16 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
7  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY May18 Apr28 May19 Apr27 Mar25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 18% 4.70    
 
PEN-6   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED GRACE Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 Feb24 Feb16 (lingenfelter thom)BAKER J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  KAZ LUCKY NUMBERS May24 May05 Mar15 Feb10 Jan27 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  AUTOMATED TELLER May30 May08 Mar30 Mar10 Oct26 (wadams dewigh)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00    
4  MAGIC MISS May10 Apr19 Mar29 Jan06 Oct16 (catalano l)BOWMAN ADAM 119 2.50    
5  IOANNA Mar31 Mar10 Feb15 Dec28 Nov22 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50 15% 5.60    
6  BUSTIN WIDE OPEN May24 May06 Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 (salinas jos)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SIRENETTA May16 May05 Apr17 Apr05 Mar22 (gallimore tre)TORRES WESLEY 119 8.00    
 
PEN-7   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE HARRY         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ZEALOUS LEGACY May18 Mar18 Feb02     (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50    
3  QUINCY ADAMS May26 Apr28 Apr19 Mar29 Mar09 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 10.00    
4  GURT'S WARRIOR May11         (beattie tod)INIRIO J 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  CAJUN OCCASION May21 Apr07 Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 (cruz jesus)LUZZI J 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
6  BULLET BREEZE May18         (murillo a)CORA D 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.