Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - June 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/5/6)-(6/5/9/4/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/5/9/4/2)-(2/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-3   WIN (6/5/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/4/2)-(6/5/9/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/4/2)-(6/5/9/4/2)-(6/5/9/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/4/2)-(2/3)-(4/1) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(4/1)-(1/3/6/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/3/6/2)-(7/5/4/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2)-(7/5/4/2)-(12/10/3/7/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
BTP-7   WIN (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/2)-(12/10/3/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (12/10/3/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/10/3/7/11)-(12/10/3/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/10/3/7/11)-(12/10/3/7/11)-(12/10/3/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   06/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYMASTER GENERAL May18 Apr25 Mar09 Feb21 Jan04 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 8.00 7% 14.10    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
TIER ONE May11 Apr25 Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
LEWIS AND CLARK Apr25 Apr13 Feb09 Aug21 Aug01 (wilson david )CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.50    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
MR. BALI May18 May05 Feb21     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 1.40 45% 1.20    
  (by BAL A BALI out of PRETTY GRITTY by MERCER MILL)
ELECTION INTEGRITY May11 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29   (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of TOO COOL by SHAKESPEARE)
 
BTP-2   06/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE LUCERITO Nov28 Nov15 Nov06 Oct19 Oct11 (fernandez ke)MARCANO Y 116 10.00    
SCR  MIMAJOON Apr25 Mar16 Feb16 Jan09 Dec01 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 6.00    
SALLY'S SASSY Apr01 Mar06 Feb18 Jan16 Nov25 (wong jonath)PETERSON FERRIN 115 3.00 51% 1.00    
SIRJUS DREAM May17 Mar02 Feb09 Dec12 Nov30 (stephen a)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 2.50    
BLEST LIFE May12 Mar16 Mar09 Feb08 Jun21 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.50 25% 3.10    
JILL BABE May17 Sep04 Aug09 Jul18 May06 (stephen antho)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   06/01/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIPIROSKA Dec05         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 20.00    
MACI'S GEMSTONE Sep16 Sep02 Jul29 Jul16   (short tho)CORREA L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIRD SET FREE Apr18 Mar09       (pitts c)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 50.00    
AUGURI (ARG) May13 Apr29 Mar18 Dec22   (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
FLATTER ME ZEN May05 Mar27       (axmaker cody )CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.50 35% 1.90    
HAPPYSECRET May04 Feb09 Jan05 Dec07 Nov10 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 6.00 36% 1.70    
SCR  BODIEFUL May12 Apr18 Feb24 Feb03 Dec30 (wittek kary)PETERSON FERRIN 125 2.50    
SCR  I'VE BEEN THINKIN May07 Apr05 Nov23     (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 10.00    
INNER HARBOR         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 6% 14.60    
10  OPTIMIZME Jan05 Dec14 Oct24 Sep30   (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 5.00    
11  MY HEAD HURTS May19 Nov11 Oct11 Sep29   (alessi james)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 30.00    
SCR  SHEZADADDYSGIRL Apr28 Feb18       (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00    
SCR  LADA KALINA May11 Apr20 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 114 12.00    
 
BTP-4   06/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEY RAY May19 Apr27 Mar23     (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 4.00    
DROP IT May04 Apr18 Oct06 Sep27 Aug12 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
SENSE SHINES May18 May04 Apr18 Mar30 Mar04 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
MISTER MAN May19 Apr27 Mar31 Mar16 Jan06 (blevins bill)ROMERO GREGORY 121 4.50    
POUR ME A DOUBLE May13 Apr27 Feb23 Jan23 Jan07 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.00    
 
BTP-5   06/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENDIPITOUS May17 Apr26 Apr06 Mar22 Mar02 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.00 5% 19.00    
THE PINK Z May17 Apr29 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.50    
WORTHY OPPONENT Nov28 Nov12 Oct24 Oct10 Sep15 (miller arizona)ACHARD ALEX 121 2.50    
UPGRADE AL Jan02 Dec12 Nov23 Sep21 Sep07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 1.40 66% 0.50    
 
BTP-6   06/01/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TIMER Sep10 Aug20 Jul17 May23   (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 126 1.80 48% 1.10    
BOA NOVA (IRE) Jan04 Dec08 Sep09 Jul21 Jun21 (sherman justin)REYES R 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLESS THE KITTEN May20 Apr15 Mar10 Feb09 Jan18 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.50 22% 3.50    
LOFTY ADJUDICATOR May05 Dec16 Nov05 Oct01 Aug22 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 116 3.50    
RED HORNET May20 Apr13 Mar25 Jan28 Dec30 (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 117 8.00    
JOHNNY UNLEASHED Apr26 Apr08 Feb17 Jan01 Dec01 (foster eric)OUZTS W 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
LIMIT UP Apr27 Mar02 Feb07 Jan18 Dec14 (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 115 15.00    
DISTINCTIVE FLOWER Aug16 Jul15 Jun27 May17 Mar02 (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 116 5.00    
 
BTP-7   06/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUNNING BABY May15 May05 Jan25 Dec10 Aug30 (fernandez ed)TAPARA BRANDON 125 5.00    
LOCK ON May05 Apr04 Mar20 Aug09 Jul26 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00 8% 11.70    
WHEREWEGOIN Nov12 Oct25 Sep09 Jul13 Jun22 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 125 4.50    
LOOKS GOOD N A TUX May18 May04 Apr10 Mar22 Feb21 (cline rob)CORREA L 125 6.00 11% 8.00    
THIS ILL DEFEND May18 Mar23 Mar16 Jan18 Jan07 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
SHAKEM N BREAKEM May06 Apr14 Mar12 Feb19 Jan06 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 20.00    
D'MONEY HONEY May18 Apr27 Mar22 Mar01 Feb07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
BTP-8   06/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOSSOM DIVA May16         (galindo-torr)MARCANO Y 114 30.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JERRY'SHONEYCAROL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  ANCIENT RELIC May18 Mar23 Feb10 Jan27 Sep13 (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 12.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of JERSEY JULES by SCAT DADDY)
TRUISM Nov30 Sep29 Jul14     (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 7% 14.40    
  (by BLAME out of IN TRUTH by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  SUFFICE May08 Mar12 Oct10 Sep08   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 12.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUSTAINABLE by SOCIETY MAX)
SCR  PRAY GLORIA Jun02 Mar31 Feb27 Jan30   (ramos juan )JIMENEZ J 125 30.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of GO SAMANTHA GO by HOLY BULL)
LADY BIRD KISSES         (royal madelyn)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00    
  (by GREY SWALLOW out of ENGLISH KISS by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
HAZANNE Apr01 Feb27 Jan13 Dec29 Nov24 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CHECKED PERFECT Mar23         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 125 20.00    
  (by PERFECT SOUL (IRE) out of UNCHECKED by UNBRIDLED)
ARRANMORE Dec14 Nov10       (ewing ann)OUZTS W 119 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ASSATEAGUE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  LADY PELE Mar23 Feb25 Dec08 Sep14 Aug20 (blair jordan)HEARD TYLER 125 8.00 32% 2.10    
  (by TAPITURE out of SOTIQUE by HENNESSY)
11  NOELANI         (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ELEMENTAR by MORE THAN READY)
12  ASPEN May18 Apr19 Mar12 Dec28   (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DREAMOLOGIST by TAPIT)
SCR  JOEZINE May18 Oct24 Sep24 Sep19 Aug12 (macias adol)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 30.00    
  (by MR. Z out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  STORY CHANNEL May18 Mar18 Feb02 Jan18 Dec11 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 30.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of OPEN STORY by OPEN FORUM)
SCR  GAMBI May13 May05 Mar15 Feb15 Dec29 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of FLATTER ME MORE by FLATTER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.