Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/7)-(3/8/6/4/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(3/8/6/4/1)-(6/2/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/8/6/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/4/1)-(3/8/6/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/4/1)-(3/8/6/4/1)-(3/8/6/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/6/4/1)-(6/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
TUP-6   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(3/4/1/7/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3/4/1/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/7/6)-(3/4/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/7/6)-(3/4/1/7/6)-(3/4/1/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGULATION DAZED Mar17 Jan29 Jan07 Nov27 Oct16 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  ROYAL JOKER Mar26 Mar04 Feb20 Jan28 Jan17 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
3  BIG PEN TEN Jan28         (o'brien dann)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
4  MIGHTY TIGER         (caraman)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 10.00    
5  BIG VANILLA Jan24 Dec04       (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 ★    
6  FUN CITY         (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 5.00    
7  PRIME EXAMPLE Mar26         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
TUP-4   04/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTER Jan27 Oct19 Sep20 Jul24 Jul02 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  EXECUTIVE ACTION Mar15 Feb27 Jan30 Dec28 Dec08 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00    
3  BARNFIELD Apr03 Mar15 Feb27 Feb15 Jan24 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  OUR VALLEY Mar15 Jan30 Jan07 Dec27 Nov29 (mc)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
5  MANFORALLSEASONS Mar12 Feb01 Jan24 Dec17 Nov30 (mccartney j)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
6  LIGHTNING STAR Mar13 Jan11 Dec20 Nov23 Sep18 (simpson shannon)VERGARA P 122 5.00 15% 5.90    
7  TWO SOCKS MAC Apr01 Feb14 Feb05 Jan24 Oct09 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00    
8  BOLD VOYAGER Mar07 Feb07 Apr20 Apr01 Mar10 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
9  MR LOVE MUFFIN Apr03 Mar07 Feb18 Feb06 Jan10 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
 
TUP-5   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S MY RIDE Feb12 Jan26 Jan04 Nov14 Sep17 (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
2  PARTY POLICE Mar29 Mar05 Feb14 Feb01 Jan09 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
3  LATER DAYS Mar25 Feb25 Feb06 Jan04 Dec19 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 2.50    
4  YOUONLYLIVETWICE Mar29 Mar14 Mar05 Feb11 Jan17 (silva-marti)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 12% 7.20    
5  IMPULSUS Mar05 Feb20 Feb01 Jan24 Dec15 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.50    
6  SASSY EINSTEIN Mar13 Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 Dec14 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  SHAMAN'S PRODIGY Apr01 Mar05 Feb21 Feb14 Jan26 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
TUP-6   04/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST COAST ANDY Apr01 Mar12 Feb25 Feb11 Feb04 (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 118 12.00    
SCR  SMART LEAH         (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 68% 0.50    
3  EXTRA SAUCE Mar27 Feb25 Jan30 Jan09   (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  WAYWARD STORM Mar20         (perkins)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00    
5  DREAMINGOFBLING Mar20 Mar07 Feb27 Nov12 Sep17 (lawrence heath)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
6  MISS CONTINENTAL Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 Jan03 Dec05 (dennison dan)SARMIENTO RIGO 118 6.00 ★    
7  LUTE'S DIAMOND Mar27 Mar14 Jan25 Dec20 Nov29 (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 4.50 ★    
8  QUEEN MYSTIC Apr01         (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 119 15.00    
9  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Mar28 Feb24 Feb15     (mccartney j)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT RIB Mar04 Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 Dec19 (ferguson cu)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  SPENDAHOLIC Mar20 Mar08 Feb26 Feb18 Feb06 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.00 ★    
3  MIAMI CROCKETT Mar20 Feb09 Jan05 Nov21 Aug31 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
4  DUSALUT Mar20 Feb25 Feb04 Dec20 Sep11 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
SCR  JUST PICK IT UP Mar04 Feb02 Jan19 Jan03 Dec19 (metz j)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 8.00    
6  ACE AND KINGS Mar28         (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 ★    
7  NEVADAN Mar25 Feb02 Jan18 Dec26 Apr25 (asprino alfre)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 58% 0.70    
 
TUP-8   04/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIBERTRUCK Mar29 Mar07 Feb10 Jan07 May07 (stevens satchel)CORBETT W 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
2  MONGOL ALTAI Apr03 Mar15 Feb04 Jan14 Dec21 (asprino alfre)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
3  MOONLITE GRAHAM Mar29 Feb25 Feb09 Dec14 Nov21 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 4.50 32% 2.10    
4  ZUMURUDEE Feb28 Feb02 Jan09 Dec14 Nov08 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
5  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Apr05 Mar21 Mar04 Feb13 Sep28 (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
6  UNCLE JEFF Mar21 Mar11 Feb27 Feb04 Jan07 (rosales jorg)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  THICK HAZE Mar21 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Jan05 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  KALINE Mar29 Jan05 Oct07 Aug28 Aug19 (mccartney jack)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
SCR  PUSH THROUGH Apr01 Mar18 Feb25 Mar25 Feb11 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.