Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1)-(8/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(8/1/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(8/1/3)-(5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-4   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/5/4)-(8/1/3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/1/3)-(5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3)-(5/8/6)-(1/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/6)-(5/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/6)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6)-(1/7/4)-(6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(6/7)-(6/7/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/7)-(6/7/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORPRESO Mar18 Feb18 Dec07 Nov06 Aug10 (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00    
2  GHOSTLYPRINCE Mar18 Mar03 Jan29 Jan01 Dec15 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 120 4.50 14% 6.00    
3  BERT BERT BERT Jan26 Dec18 Nov11 Oct07 Aug06 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 127 3.00    
4  PAPI ON ICE Mar25 Mar18 Mar05 Feb12 Jan29 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 12.00    
5  MIDNIGHT CHROME Mar28 Sep24 Aug03 Jul23 Jun14 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 125 3.50 17% 5.00    
6  CHEEKY TICO Mar18 Mar03 Jan27 Jan08 Jul29 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
AQU-2   04/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($82K) 3 F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALPOOL Mar10 Feb05 Dec15     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
2  FANCY AZTECA Mar18 Feb02 Jan22 Nov20   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 14% 6.00    
3  ANISTON Jan14 Nov25 Sep18     (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
4  LA VITA SOFIA Mar04 Jan22 Dec03 Nov06 Oct01 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50    
5  CRIMSON Mar03         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-3   04/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIL ANTICS Mar19 Feb19 Feb05 Jan13 Dec08 (kantar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.80 23% 3.30    
2  BRAVO REGINA Mar19 Feb19 Oct25 Oct07 Sep01 (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 ★    
3  SWEET SENSATION Mar19 Feb24 Feb05 Jan20 Dec09 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 6.00    
SCR  IN TRAFFIC Mar19 Jan13 Dec15 Nov07 Oct13 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  CRYSTAL ORB Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 Feb05 Jan20 (pring)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
6  RICELLE Mar26 Feb19 Jan20 Jan01 Dec15 (legall ricard)OLVER MADISON 113 4.00    
 
AQU-4   04/07/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELECTRIC STUFF Feb24 Jan26       (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FIRST CHARMER by SMART STRIKE)
2  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Dec15 Nov18 Sep25 Aug27 Jul30 (bond harold )TORRES A 120 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  TWENTY SIX BLACK Jul27         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 11% 8.10    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BRAZO DE ORO by FIRST DUDE)
4  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Nov26 Sep23 Aug10     (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 ★    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of LADYWELL COURT by POWERSCOURT (GB))
5  NEW YORK PANTHER Mar11 Aug04 Jul08 Jun03   (russell b)VARGAS A 118 8.00 ★    
  (by FREUD out of MO JUSTICE by LEMON DROP KID)
6  IMPULSIVE SPENDING Mar11         (aren)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of COMPULSION by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  UNCLE MARTY Nov13 Sep29 Sep05 Aug04   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of POSSESSIVE by BERNARDINI)
8  FACTUALLY CORRECT Jan28 Dec31 Nov26 Oct21   (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by TOURIST out of KACY LAUREN by UTOPIA)
9  TIE BREAKER Mar17 Feb17 Oct20 Aug15   (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 20.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SHE'LL BE RIGHT by SKY MESA)
SCR  WOODSIDE WARRIOR Mar04         (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of READ THE RESEARCH by FREUD)
 
AQU-5   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BALDIZAR Feb19 Jan06 Dec08 Oct14 Sep23 (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
2  BREAKING STONES Feb25 Feb02 Jan19 Dec29 Nov26 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
3  WRITER'S REGRET Mar12 Feb17 Feb05 Jan08 Jul25 (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
4  LISTENTOYOURHEART Feb17 Jan21 Aug26 Jul10 May14 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50    
5  AWESOME NATIVE Feb19 Jan14 Dec15     (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
6  FIRST DEPUTY Mar12 Feb11 Jan05 Dec16 Nov16 (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00 12% 7.40    
7  DURKIN'S CALL Mar25 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
8  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Feb25 Feb10 Jan21 Jan14 Dec08 (gyarmati leah)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 14% 6.10    
 
AQU-6   04/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTER (FR) Jun30 May14 Apr15     (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 2.00 23% 3.30    
2  STANDUP Mar25 Mar08 Feb26 Feb09 Feb02 (ferraro jame)TORRES A 120 50.00    
3  GIANT'S FIRE Feb11 Nov11 Feb12 Jan14   (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 15.00    
4  SO HIGH (GB) Mar05 Feb03 Apr15     (cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 127 10.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  SOULMATE Nov20 Sep23 Jul31 Jul09 Jun09 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 127 15.00    
6  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Nov19 Oct22 Sep23 Aug13 Jul16 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 127 6.00    
7  SHUTTERS Sep15 Jul16       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 127 1.80 17% 4.70    
8  EMBOITE (IRE) Oct22 Sep24 Aug28 Aug17 Jul24 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 125 4.50    
SCR  HOT LOVE Feb08 Jan03 Dec07 Nov22 Nov04 (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 50.00    
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Mar24 Mar15 Feb18 Feb11 Dec30 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THREE JOKERS Jan29 Jan14 Dec18 Oct29 Aug12 (terranova jo)TORRES A 122 3.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER Mar19 Mar11 Feb17 Sep23 Aug27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.20 19% 4.30    
 
AQU-7   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Distaff Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PASS THE CHAMPAGNE Feb18 Jan14 Feb03     (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by FLATTER out of CHAMPAGNE TASTE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  GERRYMANDER Sep24 Aug20 Jun25 May06   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
3  EASY TO BLESS Mar11 Feb10 Jan05 Dec11 Jun10 (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 15.00 ★    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ARBEKA by MR. GREELEY)
4  HYDRA Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 Dec16 Nov26 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LAVA LADY by SLEW CITY SLEW)
5  MERAVIGLIOSO Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Feb10 Jan20 (ferraro jame)TORRES A 114 50.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of SALT WATER REIGN by SALT LAKE)
6  ROSSA VELOCE Mar11 Jan27 Dec31 Nov13 Oct15 (atras rob)ORTIZ L 119 1.60 35% 1.80    
  (by GIROLAMO out of SPUNTASTIC by HARD SPUN)
7  FUNNY HOW Feb12 Jan07 Nov20 Oct22 Sep29 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 10% 8.50    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of HEAVENLY HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  MOMMASGOTTARUN Apr02 Mar17 Jan26 Jan12 Dec31 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 117 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LOVE IN TOKYO by TIZNOW)
 
AQU-8   04/07/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAKAR Mar04 Nov17 Oct21 Aug10 Jul08 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of KATAMA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  POP COYER Mar04 Feb09 Aug11     (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
  (by FORTY TALES out of LINDSAY'S TREASURE by MINESHAFT)
3  GEM MINT TEN Feb26 Jan26       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 7% 13.20    
  (by LAOBAN out of DIXIE GEM by ROBYN DANCER)
SCR  MALIBU MYSTERY         (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MALIBU MYSTIQUE by MALIBU MOON)
5  SCHERZANDO Mar17 Apr28 Mar31 Mar05 Feb04 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 4.00 7% 14.20    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
6  LAUNCH CONTROL Feb24 Jan26       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by FREUD out of MIGHTY GOOD by GOOD AND TOUGH)
7  DISARMED Mar04 Feb09 Jan07 Dec11 Nov12 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 4.50 8% 10.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SARAVATI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  UNAFFECTED Mar26         (romero r)DAVIS A 118 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOLDEN MISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
9  NEWPORT BRIDGE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PONT DE L'ALMA by CATIENUS)
SCR  RUSSI Mar04 Jan07       (bond harold )TORRES A 113 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of RISERVA by DIXIE BRASS)
SCR  STORM THE EMPIRE Oct09 Aug11       (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHICHWAYDIDSHEGO by STORM CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.