Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Sunday - March 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/1/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/1/4/3)-(5/2/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/2/4)-(6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/7/6)-(5/2/4/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/1)-(7/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/4/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/4/2/3)-(6/1/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(7/5/6)-(1/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/2/4)-(7/5/6/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(1/2/4)-(3/8/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(2/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(3/8/6)-(2/1/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/6)-(3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/6)-(2/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6)-(2/1/8/3)-(5/1/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/7/3)-(2/1/8/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/8/3)-(5/1/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/3)-(5/1/4/7)-(3/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7/6)-(5/1/4/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/4/7)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/8/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/8/4/6)-(3/1/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   03/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCASEK         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
SHREVEPORT Jun10 May05       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.40 33% 2.10    
  (by TAPIT out of SEVENTH STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
CARPE CAPELLA Mar03 Oct09       (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 30.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of T'AS D'BEAUX YEUX by DESERT PARTY)
HARRODSBURG         (atras rob)VARGAS A 118 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GRACER by EXCHANGE RATE)
ARMY TIMES         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 33% 2.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PAID UP SUBSCRIBER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
AQU-2   03/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICELLE Feb19 Jan20 Jan01 Dec15 Nov25 (legall r)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
FLATTERING GAL Feb17 Feb02 Dec29 Dec08 Nov12 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
PREDETERMINED Mar05 Feb24 Feb11 Jan21 Dec29 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
HOLIDAY JAZZ Feb11 Jan20 Jan13 Nov27 Oct28 (d'alessandr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 8% 11.80    
NEW YORK SUPREME Mar05 Feb19 Jan20 Dec29 Dec08 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
JUST A NYQUIST Mar12 Feb24 Feb02 Jan22 Jun16 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00    
HANDLE THE TRUTH Jan21 Dec29 Dec01 Oct28 Sep18 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00    
 
AQU-3   03/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORETHANAFEELING Feb26 Jan25 Dec08     (servis tyle)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 4.50 16% 5.40    
  (by BLAME out of BLITHELY by EXCHANGE RATE)
FOR PROFIT         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of PIROUETTE (IRE) by SADLER'S WELLS)
WYNN GIANT Jan28 Jan06 Nov11 Oct27   (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
  (by FREUD out of ELROSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
WANNA WINNA Feb26 Jan06 Dec08 Nov13 Sep29 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
  (by BLAME out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Feb26 Feb04       (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MATERIUM by STREET CRY (IRE))
ENGINEER EMPIRE Feb26         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of REVEALED by OLD TRIESTE)
 
AQU-4   03/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUMAR Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Jan29 Jan07 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 123 10.00    
MICROSCOPE Feb26 Feb10 Jan22 Jan07 Dec02 (quic)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00    
FOREVER WICKED Mar18 Mar10 Feb26 Jan07 Dec29 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
BINGO JOHN Mar05 Feb18 Feb05 Jan22 Jan12 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00    
ROYAL REALM Feb19 Feb10 Dec14 Jul19 Jun08 (sci)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
GOLDINI Mar05 Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 Dec04 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 8% 10.80    
TRUCULENT Feb26 Jan22 Dec08 Nov06 Sep30 (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-5   03/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DANCING SOPHIA Feb24 Jan13 Dec10 Nov17 Oct15 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
SCR  MY SWEET WIFE Mar25 Feb10 Jan28 Dec16 Nov10 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.20    
RUN DEVIL Mar18 Feb19 Jan13 Dec18 Nov27 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
TEXIAN Feb26 Aug23 Jul31 Jun26   (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Feb24 Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
MARIAH'S FORTUNE Feb17 Dec21 Nov30 Oct02 Aug24 (walder peter)TORRES A 116 8.00    
SCR  VIENNA CODE Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 Sep30 (williams and)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 20.00    
 
AQU-6   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
F F ROCKET Feb12 Jan19 Dec08 Nov26 Nov05 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
SCR  REED KAN Feb02 Jan01 Oct27 Sep06 Aug23 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
FLAMINGO HAWK Nov12 Sep21 Aug18 Jul16 Jun22 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
WINNING DRIVE Feb26 Feb09 Jan19 Nov17 Nov10 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  STRIKING SPEED Mar03 Feb12 Feb02 Jan19 Jan01 (baker)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 4.00    
HEIR PORT Mar03 Feb10 Dec06 Nov20 Oct22 (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAERUS Mar10 Mar04 Feb12 Feb05 Jan19 (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
AIR SHOW Feb25 Jan21 Dec18 Nov12 Sep24 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 116 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  GASLIGHT Feb18 Jan27 Jan01 Dec03 Nov18 (quick patric)HARKIE K 123 6.00 5% 17.50    
 
AQU-7   03/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN FOR GOLD Feb20 Feb11 Jan12 Dec11 Nov18 (giangiulio mic)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
BIG VENEZUELA Feb18 Feb02 Jan20 Dec18 Nov19 (tess)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 31% 2.20    
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Feb05 Jan20 Dec29 Dec04 Oct20 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
ZEEBEAR Feb12         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
LORD GATLING Feb02 Jan14 Dec16 Nov12 Oct28 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
MIDNIGHT WORKER Mar04 Feb18 Jan13 Jan05 Dec15 (chichakly am)TORRES A 116 8.00    
JOEY LOOSE LIPS Mar11 Feb12 Jan14 Dec29 Oct16 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00    
VICTORIOUS WAVE Mar04 Jan07 Nov27 Oct27 Sep23 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
AQU-8   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRY IT AGAIN Mar11 Mar05 Jan28 Jan05   (arenas marcel)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
FANCY FELINE Feb25 Jan28 Nov18 Oct22 Sep05 (bond)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.00    
TEMPERMENTAL Mar05 Feb09 Jan06 Dec09 Nov27 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 3.00    
FORTY SMOOTH Nov15 Nov07 Oct08 Sep15 Aug21 (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 12% 7.30    
ROYAL CURRENCY Feb25 Jan28 Jan06 Nov17 Sep17 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
BANKERS DAUGHTER Mar05 Feb20 Jan28 Jan15 Dec15 (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00    
SARATOGA GAZE Oct23 Sep23 Jun26     (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
AQU-9   03/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRACLE MIKE Feb09 Jul17 Jun03     (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 32% 2.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of KISS THE FLAG by QUIET AMERICAN)
FERRIS MULER Jan26 Dec10       (hosang oliver )RICHARDS G 118 20.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of CURIOUS LUCK by TRUST N LUCK)
REFUAH Feb17 Jan19 Nov27 Oct20 Sep23 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 126 1.20 43% 1.40    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SMITTEN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
INDIAN MISCHIEF         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of INDIAN RUSH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BEAR'S CORRECT Mar03 Feb12 Jan19 Dec29 Dec10 (jones eduardo )BROWN DALTON 118 50.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TEN SEVENTY by MORE THAN READY)
UNAFFECTED         (romero r)DAVIS A 118 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOLDEN MISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
SQUID GAMER Feb17         (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SHOW ME THE CARATS by MORE THAN READY)
OLYMPIC DREAMS Feb17 Jan19 Jun30     (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KIROV by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.