Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/3/6)-(5/4/7/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(3/2/6)-(7/2/4/8/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/10)-(3/2/6/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(7/2/4/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(7/2/4/8/1)-(5/3/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/2/4/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/8/1)-(7/2/4/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/8/1)-(7/2/4/8/1)-(7/2/4/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/4/8/1)-(5/3/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/8/1)-(5/3/1/10)-(12) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TP-4   WIN (5/3/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/10)-(5/3/1/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/10)-(5/3/1/10/4)-(5/3/1/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/1/10)-(12) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/10)-(12)-(8/2/10/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TP-5   WIN (12) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (12)-(12/5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (12)-(12/5/2)-(12/5/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (12)-(8/2/10/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (12)-(8/2/10/7)-(1/6/4/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TP-6   WIN (8/2/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/10/7)-(8/2/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/10/7)-(8/2/10/7)-(8/2/10/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/10/7)-(1/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/10/7)-(1/6/4/3)-(4/1/7/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-7   WIN (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3/2)-(1/6/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/4/3)-(4/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/3)-(4/1/7/3)-(7/5/13/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-8   WIN (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/3)-(7/5/13/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TP-9   WIN (7/5/13/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/13/6)-(7/5/13/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/13/6)-(7/5/13/6)-(7/5/13/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERO OF THE BEST Feb10 Oct07 Aug17 Jun29 May20 (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
2  YES I'S A MILLER Feb23 Jan13 Dec29 Jul21 Jul07 (jarvis kathy)BECKMAN ALICE 113 10.00    
3  HONEY BOURBON Jan13 Dec30 Oct20 Oct10 Sep21 (fletcher wes)HALDAR J 120 6.00 ★    
4  PELLETIER Feb10 Jan28 Dec31 Dec15 Oct10 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  THE BEAUTY'S TALE Jan13 Dec17 Dec02 Nov23 Nov01 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
6  GOLDEN OLDIE Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Oct03 Sep21 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 123 3.00 ★    
7  REDHOT KATIE Feb23 Dec30 Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 20% 4.10    
8  EIDA'S STORM Mar02 Oct06 Sep28 Sep20 Sep06 (aguirre r)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
 
TP-2   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL MUZN Feb22 Jan21 Dec29     (short w)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
2  SOUTHPOINT Feb22         (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  BLUE TEARDROPS         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  CHAMBERS BAY         (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
SCR  PAYNTER CITY         (johnston re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  REDHILL         (pittman b)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  VELOCIMO Feb24 Jan11 Dec30 Nov27 Jul12 (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
8  THE MOTTO Feb24 Jan20 Oct23     (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 4.00    
9  INVASIVE Feb15 Jan19 Dec11 Nov23   (kendall elise)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
10  RAMBLIN CHROME         (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 ★    
 
TP-3   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUTURE VICTORY Feb09 Jan21 Dec28 Oct05 Sep24 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIZ OF THEE Feb09 Jan07 Nov03 Mar25 Jan22 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  SIMON PETER Feb11 Aug09 Jul12 May11 Mar17 (bergin tom)ACHARD ALEX 124 10.00    
4  WING COMMANDER Jun23 Apr01 Feb19 Jan22   (tomlins)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
5  BLUEBERRY Feb24 Jan27 Dec09 Oct19 Oct05 (cano mun)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.50    
6  ARTIE'S LADY Mar10 Feb11 Feb02 Jan06 Dec17 (schwarm l)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 15.00    
7  AVIANO Feb18 Jan19 Oct09 Aug20 Jul01 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
8  MUCHO MOJO Feb18 Jan28 Dec09 Oct05 Aug12 (foster eric)RAMOS D 124 6.00 6% 16.60    
9  HIGHESTDISTINCTION Aug20 Jul30 Jun26 Jun02 Mar12 (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00    
 
TP-4   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERUVIAN LUCKY Oct08 Aug31 Feb12 Jan16   (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00 10% 8.70    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SOLARANA by MUTAKDDIM)
2  BIG ELM Jan28         (mccarthy mich)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HOKEY OKEY by LONHRO (AUS))
3  INSOLITO Mar04 Jan26 Dec03 Nov23 Oct22 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 125 3.00 14% 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of CANDY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  CHIRON Oct02 Sep18 Aug05 Apr02 Mar19 (bush s)ELLIOTT JANE 125 12.00 ★    
  (by PROTONICO out of DEEDS NOT WORDS by STREET SENSE)
5  GUNOE Jul31 Jan22       (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 125 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CURLINA by CUVEE)
6  HALLOWEEN Mar04         (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 10.00    
  (by TOURIST out of DREAM VACATION by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  LADY XI Feb25 Dec09 Nov19 Nov11 Oct09 (lepiane paul)HESS SARA 110 30.00    
  (by XIXIXI out of GENTLE CHARMER by BERTRANDO)
8  BROKENHEARTED Feb11         (colebroo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of HEARTBROKEN HILL by BROKEN VOW)
9  GUN FACTOR         (aguirre juan)MARCANO Y 115 30.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ZINDI by VINDICATION)
10  FAST ICE Jun08 Apr27       (rodrigu)DE CRUZ 125 5.00 7% 14.20    
  (by KEEN ICE out of BOLD LADY by BOLD RUCKUS)
 
TP-5   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRESIDE KITTEN Feb16 Aug10 Jul18 Jun27 May11 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
2  LOOKIN TO FLY Feb03 Jan04 Dec11 Oct13 Sep05 (morey willia)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  QUARTERFLASH Feb16 Feb03 Jan20 Dec28 Dec16 (girten tim)RAMOS D 120 8.00 ★    
4  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Mar04 Jan28 Jan10 Dec18 Nov27 (haehn r)FELIX E 120 12.00    
5  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Mar04 Feb16 Jan25 Dec29 Nov12 (contreras ci)HALDAR J 120 12.00 ★    
6  WATERS OF MEROM Feb03 Jan25 Dec14 Nov25 Nov16 (kordenbr)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00    
7  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Feb03 Dec31 Nov13 Sep24 Sep12 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
8  HAT TIP Oct10 Aug08 Jul08 May12 Apr20 (williamso)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
9  GIRL'S ON FIRE Feb20 Nov19 Oct12 Sep16 Aug17 (rubley kelly)ROCCO S 120 10.00    
10  MISS MOON PIE Jul07 Jun21 May13     (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
11  TEXAS MAGIC Feb16 Feb01 Jan04 Dec21 Oct21 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.00    
12  PRINCESS NINA Feb16 Jan04 Dec07 Sep22 Aug22 (ger)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHOCTAW BINGO Sep12 Aug16 Jul18 Jun28 Jun09 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 8.00 70% 0.40    
14  LA TOURISTA Feb16 Feb01 Jan04 Dec03 Nov24 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00    
 
TP-6   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO SNOW Jan21 Sep08       (matejka p)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
2  PACE Feb17 Jan21 Dec16 Oct18 Oct05 (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 14% 6.40    
3  GIACOMETTI Feb24 Oct07 Aug21     (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 120 12.00    
4  ROYALLY BITTER Feb15 Jan19       (sims p)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
5  STORMY DANSER Feb17         (sims ma)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
6  SAVVY ON BLANC Feb24 Feb04       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
7  GIVE GOD PRAISE Aug27         (bush s)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CUPID'S NUMBER Mar05         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 45% 1.20    
9  ELIZA'S HONOR Feb14 Jan06       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
10  CHARLIES MEDAL Feb24 Feb10 Feb01 Jan05 Dec13 (kordenbrock)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 4.00 10% 8.60    
11  JOHNNY'S MOMENT Feb15 Feb02 Dec18 Nov12   (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
SCR  ZOOMSTER Jan07 Sep05       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.50 6% 15.90    
13  RILEY BEE Mar10 Nov09 Oct22     (adams nancy)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
 
TP-7   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST WEBN Frog Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPENING BUZZ Feb25 Jan28 Dec01 Oct19 Aug28 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of OPEN MIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  THUNDER LOVE (GB) Feb24 Jan12 Dec15 Oct22 Sep15 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50 ★    
  (by PROFITABLE out of NANTYGLO by MARK OF ESTEEM (IRE))
3  ALTERED SHOT Feb24 Jan28 Dec15 Nov20 Nov10 (foley greg)RAMOS D 120 5.00 5% 18.60    
  (by ALTERNATION out of WYN JYM by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  QUARIA COMET Feb23 Jan26 Dec29 Oct19 Sep14 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 7% 13.80    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of COLORADO GIRL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  SOUPER MUNNINGS Feb25 Jun04       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
6  AWESOME TREAT Feb23 Jan28 Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 (wojczynski )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of TIZ A TREAT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
7  BABY NO WORRIES Feb24 Jan26 Dec30 Dec01 Sep29 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
 
TP-8   03/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELIEVING (IRE) Mar09 Feb09 Nov03 Sep16 Jul29 (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 2.50 16% 5.40    
2  MAGIC LEMONS Mar09 Feb25 Feb15 Jan26 Mar26 (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 123 15.00    
3  MOON PARTY Feb16 Jan13 Dec09 Oct28 Oct08 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 13% 6.50    
4  YELLOW CREEK ROAD Feb10 Jan26 Jan05 Dec14 Dec01 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
5  SUPORB Jan21 Jan07 Dec11 Nov16 Oct11 (edwards w)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 15.00    
6  STACY ATTACK Dec31 Dec11 Nov25 Nov04 Oct23 (watkins m)MCKEE J 123 15.00    
7  RISATA Feb10 Jan13 Sep19 Aug08 Jul20 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 123 8.00 14% 6.00    
8  BERTRADA Jan21 Dec11 Dec03 Nov01 Oct19 (campbell joel)SANJUR SANTO 123 8.00    
9  LUCKY US Feb22 Jan27 Jan05 Dec09 Nov30 (adams l)FELIX E 123 10.00    
10  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Feb10 Jan13 Nov20 Oct13 Sep22 (danner d)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
11  MOSE DEFINITELY Feb10 Jan20 Dec31 Nov23 Nov09 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 123 15.00    
12  U SO MONEY BABY Feb25 Feb10 Jan27 Jan05 Sep17 (cundiff waylo)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00    
SCR  AUCTION FEVER Sep28 Sep01 Aug18 Jul20   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 15.00 10% 8.90    
 
TP-9   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING SHAMAN Feb24 Feb11 Jan12 Dec30 Nov19 (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 117 15.00    
2  STRIKE PRICE Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Dec22 Sep30 (shephard)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00    
SCR  REWIRE Feb17 Jan19 Dec16 Nov18 Oct08 (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  GO NUTS Jan21 Nov03 Sep27 Sep08 Jan29 (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 30.00    
5  TUSKEGEE CAT Feb24 Feb04 Jan28 Jan04 Nov06 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 8.00 19% 4.40    
6  MEMPHIS PRAYER Jan21 Dec31 Dec07 May07 Apr24 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FORT DEFIANCE Feb17 Jan25 Nov25 Sep05 Jul15 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
8  MR CLINE Feb18 Dec16 Nov22 Oct27 Sep14 (richard)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
9  SILENT STEVE Feb24         (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 124 10.00    
10  LEMONADEATTHELATCH Jan25 May21 Mar19 Feb16 Jan07 (jacobson matth)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
11  WORKINFROMHOME Feb17 Jan28 Jan04 Dec11 Nov18 (guerrero sal)MARCANO Y 114 12.00    
12  BEOCCA Feb24 Jan21 Dec31 Dec07 Sep28 (castanon jos)RAMOS D 124 8.00    
13  KILLER BEE Mar04 Jan19 Nov15 Oct11 Sep14 (smith larry)MOJICA O 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NOBLE JON Feb17 Feb11       (garcia g)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.