Handicappers' Racing Form

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Oaklawn Park
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

OP-1   Win (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-2   Win (5/8/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
OP-3   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
OP-4   Win (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
OP-5   Win (10/9/3/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
OP-6   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00
OP-7   Win (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-8   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
OP-9   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
OP-1   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFRAIDOFTHEBUNNY Feb03 Dec31 Nov21 Oct14 Sep25 (villafranco ma)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 20.00 10% 8.80    
LAMUTANAATTY Mar04 Jul30 Jul10 Mar19   (broberg kar)TORRES A 124 1.00 35% 1.90    
OTTOMAN EMPIRE Feb17 Dec17 May16 Apr15 Mar06 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
SMOOTH SCAT Feb03 Dec31 Sep25     (smith p)FUENTES ERICK 109 12.00    
SCHMOOZE Mar04 Feb17 Jan13 Jul04 Jun19 (riecken bruce)CABRERA DAVID 124 2.50    
SALTA Feb03 Dec31 Oct27 Oct02 Jun18 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
OP-2   03/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNIFICUS Jan13 Jul24 May30 Apr30 Mar19 (moquett ronald )CABRERA DAVID 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHROME RUN Jan13 Dec16 Oct20 Sep26 Sep10 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 20.00    
ASSET BASIS Jan27 Jan14       (diodoro rob)TORRES A 126 6.00 8% 10.90    
RANSAM PAYNTER Feb24 Feb10 Jan20 Dec18 Nov25 (hewitt michael)BAILEY CHEL-C 117 30.00    
STAND PROUD Jan27 Dec16 Sep25 Aug05 Apr22 (cox h)SANTANA JR 126 1.40 49% 1.00    
MAJESTIC FLAG Jan13 Dec18 Nov02 Sep18   (amoss m)BEJARANO R 126 5.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  VIGANO Mar03 Apr16 Mar13 Jan28   (zito p)HARR KELSI 126 15.00    
LIL BRO COOP Jan13 Nov25 Sep30 Aug25 Jun18 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 126 1.80 10% 9.30    
 
OP-3   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST LANE Mar04 Jan14 Dec17 Mar19 Jan15 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 0.60 43% 1.30    
HEART HEADED ARKY Feb25 Jan01 Dec18 Nov11 Oct22 (loy dewaine)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
PIKACHU Feb17 Feb04 Jan06 Dec11 Sep26 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 15.00    
HACKER Feb20 Feb04 Jan13 Dec09 Jan22 (martin timothy)JORDAN R 120 4.50    
THE STEELMAN Nov26 Oct02 Sep23 Aug14   (smith p)FUENTES ERICK 110 5.00 31% 2.20    
CADILLAC COWBOY Feb17 Dec31       (sharp joe)LEAHEY HANNAH 108 12.00    
FALCONITE Feb26 Feb04       (mcbride d)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 15.00    
 
OP-4   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK THE MOOSE Feb20 Feb10 Jan29 Jan01 Nov27 (litfin nevada)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
LORD M Feb11 Jan21 Dec18 Apr09 Mar26 (moquett ronald )CABRERA DAVID 118 4.00    
GOLDEN LUNA Mar02 Jan22 Nov27 Oct28 Sep24 (jordan ja)JORDAN R 123 12.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  THE FIVE B'S Mar02 Feb20 Feb03 Dec29 Dec01 (deville j)TORRES HUGO 114 10.00 14% 6.00    
TALK TO TOKEY Feb28 Feb16 Jan22 Dec29 Dec11 (deville ca)SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
MY NOAH Feb10 Jan22 Dec09 Sep11 Aug13 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 123 1.60    
MORNING DRIVE Mar02 Jan20 Jan08 Dec18 Sep13 (lauer michae)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00    
MIRI A COINCIDENCE Jan15 Dec31       (witt ii)WALES T 114 15.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  SKYLINE Mar02 Feb20 Feb10 Jan08 Dec09 (haran john)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
 
OP-5   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL BUCK MOON Oct14 Sep15 Jul31 Jul10 May08 (loy dewaine)TORRES HUGO 120 30.00    
LOUD BOY Feb24 Feb12 Feb12 Jan22   (martin timothy )PUSAC ALBERTO 125 30.00    
WORK ALL DAY Feb04 Jan21 Jan01     (hewitt michael)COURT K 125 10.00 10% 9.20    
RIDGEPOINT ROAD Feb20 Dec11 Nov19 Oct30   (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 3.00    
SACRAMENT Apr08 Mar25 Feb26     (hornsby tammy)WALES T 125 30.00    
FLASHY BOY GOES Feb24 Jan21 Dec29     (broberg karl)ZIMMERMAN R 121 10.00 5% 18.60    
COLONEL BARTON Mar03 Feb04 Jan27 Dec18   (puhich mike)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 4.50    
HOWL YEAH May08 Apr10 Mar13     (wilson mel)SANTANA JR 125 20.00    
PERIPATETIC Feb17 Jan21 Dec18 Nov19 Oct28 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 125 5.00 22% 3.60    
10  KRUSIN ROCKET Feb20 Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Feb13 (martin will)DE CRUZ 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
11  DIESEL FUEL Feb24 Feb03 Jan01 Apr30 Apr08 (jackson rich)ERAMIA E 125 15.00 7% 13.80    
 
OP-6   03/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKER POINT Feb19 Jan14 Dec17 Nov16 Oct01 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 115 3.50    
CONSPIRACY FACT Feb17 Jan15 Dec16 Nov25 Nov13 (compton greg)JUAREZ NIK 125 2.50    
ICE BLAST Feb10 Sep28 Sep14 Jul30 Jul09 (mason ingrid)WALES T 121 15.00    
OUT RUN'M Feb25 Feb05 Jan15 Dec03 Nov14 (espinoza edgar)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00    
NOTARY Jan22 Jun19 May06 Mar31 Mar06 (mason ingrid)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00    
TEXAS RED HOT Feb05 Nov27 Nov12 Sep21 Jul02 (morse randy)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
RED RUN Sep05 Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 May07 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 121 8.00    
SLIM MAN Feb16 Jan18 Dec11 Nov16 Sep29 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 122 2.00 77% 0.30    
JOLLY TOMMY Feb12 Jan07 Dec16 Nov22 Nov02 (rosin coty )DE CRUZ 125 10.00    
 
OP-7   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTIMATE Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 Oct15 Aug07 (martin timothy)JORDAN R 121 15.00 15% 5.80    
CHIEF RON Feb20 Jan15 Oct27 Oct06 Sep23 (moysey e)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00    
JACKMAN Feb11 Jan28 Jan01 Nov18 Oct15 (broberg kar)TORRES A 126 3.50 24% 3.20    
COLD AS HELL Feb25 Feb05 Jan15 Dec18 Nov24 (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 126 6.00    
SCR  LT. JUNIOR GRADE Jan01 Nov12 Oct15 Sep22 Sep01 (van thomas)BAZE C 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
DARK TIMBER Feb05 Dec17 Nov17 Sep24 Jul29 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 126 2.50 24% 3.20    
STAGE LEFT Jan22 Jan01 Nov25 Nov12 Sep30 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00 7% 12.70    
DEVIL'S TOWER Feb10 Jan12 Aug02 Jul03 Jun22 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00    
AMERICAN PURE Jan28 Dec18 Nov03 Oct23 Oct01 (schultz lindsa)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00    
 
OP-8   03/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE ORCHID Feb04 Jan07 Nov19 Oct23 Sep18 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 1.40 29% 2.50    
LISETTE Jan21 Jan14 Dec10 Sep05 Jun10 (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 121 20.00    
SHOTGUN HOTTIE Aug23 Jul31 Jul02 Apr09 Mar05 (devaux cher)TORRES A 121 2.00 32% 2.20    
BOW BOW GIRL Feb24 Dec26 Nov26 Nov04 Aug11 (richard chris)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00 7% 14.30    
QUEENS UP Feb12 Dec30 Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50    
COASTAL CHARM Feb17 Nov18 Oct23 Sep16 Jul29 (hobby steve)BAZE C 125 5.00    
 
OP-9   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($60K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOON CONNECTION Feb04 Jan06 Oct22     (litfin nevada)JORDAN R 121 10.00    
LUNDBERG Apr07 Feb26       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 126 12.00 6% 15.30    
CYCLONE Feb20 Jan27 Jan13 Dec18 Nov23 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 126 4.50 22% 3.50    
MANTA REY Feb18 Feb04       (haran john)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
AXTON         (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
HASKELLED Jan06 Dec18       (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 2.00    
CROSSING Jan27 Jan01       (lauer michae)MICHEL MICKAELLE 117 30.00    
SCR  AMERICA TOUGH Feb05         (schultz lindsa)GONZALEZ ELVIN 117 12.00    
SCR  GOIN TO THE SHOW Mar02 Feb04 Jan29     (puhich mike)BAZE C 122 5.00 43% 1.30    
10  SWAGGISH Feb18 Dec31       (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
SCR  PHILHARMONIC Oct14 Aug20       (zito p)JUAREZ NIK 121 30.00    
12  KUPP Feb18 Jan28 Nov13 Sep17   (moquett ronald )CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.