Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/2/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/2/1/4)-(3/6/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(2/5/4/3/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(2/5/4/3/6)-(4/7/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3/6)-(2/5/4/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3/6)-(2/5/4/3/6)-(2/5/4/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/4/3/6)-(4/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/3/6)-(4/7/6)-(1/8/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(1/8/4)-(6/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4/6)-(1/8/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(6/5/2)-(5/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/1/8)-(6/5/2/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/3/4)-(7/1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(7/1/2/3)-(9/2/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3/6)-(7/1/2/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/2/3)-(9/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/7)-(9/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/7)-(9/2/3/7)-(9/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTERNATE REALITY Jan21 Dec29       (englehar)DAVIS A 118 8.00 ★    
  (by ALTERNATION out of PANCAKE by CORINTHIAN)
2  CORTON CHARLEMAGNE Feb02 Apr09       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.50 ★    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWINGIT by VICTORY GALLOP)
3  SYSTEMIC CHANGE Feb02 Dec15       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 0.80 43% 1.30    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MAJESTIC RIVER by IRISH RIVER (FR))
4  KAON Jan25 Dec01 Oct02 Sep03   (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 ★    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT (FR) out of TAGLIA by UNION RAGS)
5  CHESS SPECTACULAR Feb12 Nov19 Oct22 Sep18   (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of TITANIUM JO by BERNSTEIN)
6  RAPPER ZAPPER Jan27 Nov18 Sep24 Sep03   (corrales jo)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 5.00 34% 2.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLY GRACE by HOLY BULL)
 
AQU-2   03/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRTY OYSTERS         (englehar)DAVIS A 118 12.00    
2  CENTRAL PRIDE Feb17 Jan19 Dec03 Nov11 Nov05 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
3  FORWARD CAST         (dunham g)OLVER MADISON 118 20.00 6% 15.10    
4  I CAN SEE THAT         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 8.00 9% 10.40    
5  EIGHT AND SAND Feb17 Dec11 Nov13 Oct07 Sep17 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 125 1.20 12% 7.40    
6  RHUM PRESSURE         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 12.00 6% 15.10    
7  QUACKENBUSH Jan19 Jan01 Dec03     (henn)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 8.00    
 
AQU-3   03/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEDDY Feb11 Dec17 Nov05 Sep24 Aug03 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 18% 4.40    
2  CAERUS Mar04 Feb12 Feb05 Jan19 Jan01 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
3  THERISASTORMBREWIN Feb10 Jan06 Oct16 Sep24 Aug12 (giangiulio m)TORRES A 113 12.00    
4  OPTIC WAY Mar04 Jan21 Nov17 Oct21 Sep30 (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
5  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Feb25 Feb12 Jan01 Dec04 Oct21 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 4.50 ★    
6  PIT BOSS Feb11 Jan07 Dec16 Nov15 Nov02 (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 10% 8.80    
7  WILD BANKER Feb10 Jan06 Dec08 Oct16 Sep13 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
AQU-4   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPROPER Jan08 Dec09 Apr09 Mar05 Feb03 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.20 50% 1.00    
2  WEALLLIKEDHIM Dec29 Dec09       (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 125 30.00    
SCR  CRUNCH B B B         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 ★    
4  FATHER OF LIES         (noda orlando)HARKIE K 118 8.00 5% 18.10    
5  CLOUD MUSIC Feb11         (chapman jame)TORRES A 111 4.50    
6  POOR AND POLITE         (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 ★    
7  LEGAL CATCH Aug14 Jul01       (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
8  MO THAN LUCK Feb11 Jan06 Dec10     (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-5   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NECROMANCER Dec29 Nov04 Sep30 Aug25 Jul04 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 ★    
2  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE Feb02 Aug03 Jun22 May07 Apr13 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
3  MAURITIUS Jan26 Dec17 Oct30 Mar27 Mar05 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
4  VOLKERT Feb05 Jun14 May21 Apr23   (hennig ma)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
5  JESTER'S SONG Dec17 Nov05 Sep15 Jun02 Apr16 (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
6  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Jan01 Dec03 Aug24 Jul30 Jun10 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY Jan14 Dec11       (sells rachel)BROWN DALTON 122 30.00    
8  UPPER LEVEL Feb11 Jan14 Dec16 Oct20 Sep30 (lynch natali)TORRES A 115 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL MEGHAN Jan27 Dec31 Oct28 May27 Apr29 (abreu fernando)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 ★    
2  CHLOE ROSE Jan20 Dec16 Nov17 Sep22 Aug21 (diprima g)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
3  SHASTA STAR May12 Apr15 Mar26 Feb21   (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 11% 7.70    
4  TRIPLE P Feb18 Feb10 Jan27 Jan15 Dec15 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00 5% 18.40    
5  DAME CINCO Feb24 Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 Oct28 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 26% 2.80    
6  ALPINE QUEEN Feb09 Jan13 Dec17 Oct14 Sep29 (toscano john)TORRES A 116 6.00    
SCR  MON PETIT CHOU Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 Nov26 Sep02 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.00    
SCR  SARATOGA BEAUTY Jan08 Jul11 Jun06 May09 Apr16 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-7   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASON MANIA Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 Nov02 Sep15 (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 23% 3.30    
2  GOLDEN CODE Feb05 Apr09 Mar05 Feb05   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
3  SAFALOW'S MISSION Feb12 Jan08 Dec11 Jun11 May14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 6% 15.30    
4  MAJESTIC TIGER Jan26 Jan12 Dec10 Oct28 Oct06 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00    
5  SON OF AN EX Feb18 Feb12 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
6  SIMPLY Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 Oct16 Sep27 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 ★    
7  BOBBY BO         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 31% 2.30    
8  FOREVER WICKED Feb26 Jan07 Dec29 Dec18 Dec01 (jacobson dav)TORRES A 116 20.00    
9  DATESFREEDOM Feb12 Jan28 Jan05 Dec15 Nov16 (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00    
 
AQU-8   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNSELECTRICRIDE Feb05 May22 Apr22 Apr01 Feb12 (klesaris robert)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00    
2  THE COBBLER Feb19 Jan15 Feb26 Jan14   (henry ne)DAVIS A 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  VIVE BIEN Feb09 Sep02 Jun17 Apr21 Mar19 (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 6.00 9% 10.30    
4  RAW COURAGE Feb09 Jan29 Dec31 Nov11 Oct15 (toscano john)TORRES A 117 20.00    
5  STAR ATTITUDE Feb02 Jan20 Aug25 Aug14 Jul03 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
6  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Feb12 Jan15 Dec31 Dec04 Nov10 (ryerson jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 12.00    
7  MISBEHAVED Feb19 Jan23 Jan01 Nov30 Nov14 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 12.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  THUNDERIAN Dec02 Sep21 Aug12     (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 10% 8.60    
9  SUPER QUALITY Mar05 Jan29 Dec09 Nov10 Sep30 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 126 1.80 29% 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.