Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/5/2/1)-(3/6/5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(3)-(3) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
TUP-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2/6/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/2/6/4/1)-(3/2/6/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3)-(3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (3)-(3)-(6/3/7) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
TUP-4   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/1/2/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/1/2/5/4)-(3/1/2/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3)-(6/3/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(6/3/7)-(4) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
TUP-5   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7/4/2)-(6/3/7/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(4)-(6/7/2) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TUP-6   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/1/5/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4)-(6/7/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4)-(6/7/2)-(3/2/7) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TUP-7   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2/1/3)-(6/7/2/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/1/6)-(3/2/7/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPACITY Feb20 Oct10 Jul30 Jul02 Jun10 (fales mat)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00 ★    
2  JOHN'S KID Jan14 Dec20 Nov25 Sep19 Sep05 (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  I'M NOBLE Feb16 Feb07 Jan05 Aug14   (person a)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
4  NORTHERN COCKTAIL Feb16 Feb02       (woolley benni)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00    
5  MISTER MAFIOSO Feb26 Feb07 Jan18 Jan05 Dec08 (baze robert)CRUZ M 121 1.80 ★    
6  HE'S INIT TO WINIT Feb07         (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
TUP-3   03/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALLANT OAK Feb16 Jan28 Jan14 Dec21 Nov29 (brown jared)CRUZ M 124 8.00 ★    
2  CLUB MESQUITE Feb16 Feb08 Jan19 Dec19 Dec01 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 ★    
3  JOKER MATT Feb16 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Nov28 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 62% 0.60    
4  POLITICAL RIOT Feb21 Feb05 Jan25 Jan02 Dec21 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 3.50 ★    
5  CIBERTRUCK Feb10 Jan07 May07 Apr14 Mar30 (stevens sat)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50    
6  PROVOST Feb19 Jan31 Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Jan15 Dec20 Nov14 Jan07   (trela rosem)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 3.50 ★    
2  LEAD OFF Feb11 Jan24 Sep27 Sep13 Jul16 (eidschun gr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★    
3  MAJESTIC STREET Feb08 Jan19 Dec13 Nov19 Sep19 (brown jared)CRUZ M 122 4.50 70% 0.40    
4  FURY KAP Jan15 Nov25 May21 Apr24 Apr01 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 ★    
5  GENERAL THAYER Feb19 Jan31 Jan12 Aug01 Jul09 (wheeler travi)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 ★    
6  TRINNI VALANTINE Feb11 Sep02 Aug20 May07 Apr27 (fearon johnathon)MAWING A 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   03/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPS SUCCESS Jan11 May16 Apr26 Apr11 Mar22 (moreno carl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
2  FORGOTTEN VOWS Feb18 Feb05 Jan19 Jan09 Dec14 (dennis clif)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00 ★    
3  BOLD VOYAGER Feb07 Apr20 Apr01 Mar10 Jan16 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00 6% 16.60    
4  MR LOVE MUFFIN Feb18 Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 Nov23 (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 6.00 ★    
5  BEL RAGAZZO Feb21 Feb01 Jan11 Dec14 Nov15 (ke)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
6  LIGHT CRUISER Feb25 Feb09 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 (bullene michael)CRUZ M 122 2.50 61% 0.70    
7  WARRIORS HERO Dec21 Nov28 Nov15 Sep10 Aug14 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
TUP-6   03/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUSING YOU BABE Apr05 Mar06 Feb11 Jan22 Jan08 (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  ABOVE THE STARS Jan16 Dec26       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 1.60 69% 0.50    
3  LOTSA LOU Feb04 Jan17 Dec26 Nov30 Sep19 (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 5.00 ★    
4  PHOENICIAN MAGIC Feb20 Feb04 Jan03 Dec20 Nov25 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 4.00 11% 8.00    
5  WHAT A WAY TO GO Jan30 Jan08 Dec14     (whitehouse wilton )HARVEY B 124 5.00 ★    
6  DREAMINGOFBLING Feb27 Nov12 Sep17 Sep08   (lawrence heath)MAWING A 124 10.00    
7  DADDY'SFAVORITESON Feb18 Feb08 Jan25 Nov22 Nov09 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
8  PENNY'S ANNIE Feb08 Jan25 Jan09 May03 Apr21 (sepich edward)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
 
TUP-7   03/07/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($25.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Jan28 Jan07 Dec13 Nov28 Nov09 (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 122 8.00 ★    
2  BRIX Feb11 Jan25 Dec20 Nov27 Nov06 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 5% 18.40    
3  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Feb11 Jan13 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 ★    
4  MY INDY Feb11 Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 Sep07 (vanwinkle d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
5  TACTICAL ATTACK Feb25 Jan28 Jan07     (sepich f)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
6  UNMACHABLE Feb07 Jan23 Jan10 Aug14 Jul30 (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 4.50 53% 0.90    
7  THE RIGHT STUFF (GB) Dec01 Oct10       (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
8  GOLDEN ALE Jan12 Dec08 Nov19 Jun17 May27 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
 
TUP-8   03/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAULINA'S STAR Feb25 Jun10 May02     (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.50 ★    
2  K P HARRY KITTY Jan28 Dec13 Nov08 Oct18   (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 31% 2.30    
3  KNIGHT EYES Feb14 Jan23       (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  BOOSICAL LADY Jan30 May02 Apr21     (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 8.00    
SCR  THE COMRIE RULE Dec26 Nov30 Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 (silva rodri)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 12.00    
6  ASK THE KING Feb14 Jan09 Aug21     (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 ★    
7  KEEPMEINPOWER Feb18 Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 Nov28 (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
8  SASSY TINKERBELL Feb10 Jan13 Dec02 Nov05 Oct01 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 5.00    
9  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE         (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.