Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - March 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/3/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/3/5/4)-(2/6/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/2/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(5/3/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(5/3/4)-(2/6/3) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
MVR-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4/6/2)-(5/3/4/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/6/3)-(2/8/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3/5/4)-(2/6/3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(2/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(2/8/1/7)-(4/5/7/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/7)-(1/2/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/7)-(1/2/8/7/3)-(1/2/8/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/1/7)-(4/5/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/7)-(4/5/7/3/1)-(6/7/2/4/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/5/7/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3/1)-(4/5/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3/1)-(4/5/7/3/1)-(4/5/7/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/7/3/1)-(6/7/2/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/3/1)-(6/7/2/4/3)-(5/4/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-7   WIN (6/7/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4/3)-(6/7/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4/3)-(6/7/2/4/3)-(6/7/2/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/2/4/3)-(5/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/1/6)-(5/4/8/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MICHAEL GEORGE Jan19 Dec21 Nov27 Nov19 Nov01 (hernandez jav)CEDILLO MAURO 121 10.00    
2  EL ROSILLO Feb14 Aug06 Jul29 Jul10   (elliott m)BERMUDEZ E 126 1.20 36% 1.80    
3  ALY STONE Feb15         (fletcher kev)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 ★    
4  BUILT LIKE TARZAN Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 Dec06 Nov23 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 ★    
5  RESERVATION Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Dec06 Nov17 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 6.00 ★    
6  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Feb16 Jan30 Jan12 Dec19 Nov17 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-2   03/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE COACHMAN Feb07 Jan30 Jan11 Dec19 Dec04 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  THE EQUINEST Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 Dec20 Dec13 (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 ★    
3  BAYOU SHACK Feb21 Jan16 Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 (zook w)BRACHO A 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  FOREST SELECTION Feb14 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 May20 (robillard juli)HOUGHTON D 126 3.50 6% 16.20    
5  COAL TOWN ROAD Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 Jan12 Dec30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
6  SUNNY BEAST Feb07 Jan30 Jan02 Dec13 Nov10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   03/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAXEN Feb06 Jan03 Dec15 Nov30 Nov10 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
2  BOURBON BUNS Feb20 Jan24 Dec29 Dec15 Nov30 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 2.50 ★    
3  ANDIAMA Feb14 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
4  PRINCESS MORO Feb23 Feb09 Jan30 Jan03 Dec15 (buttigieg kev)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 12% 7.60    
5  MON PARADIS Feb27 Feb09 Jan30 Jan18 Jan05 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00 37% 1.70    
6  SWIFT RITHMS Jan30 Jan05 Nov30 Oct12 Sep15 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 ★    
 
MVR-4   03/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY GIULIANA Feb22 Jan23 Jan02 Nov01 Oct10 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 116 10.00    
2  STEPPER Aug06 Jul10 May07 Apr14 Mar05 (leitch daniel)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 54% 0.80    
3  PACIFIC GROVE (GB) Jan31 Jan12 Dec22 Nov20 Oct29 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 6% 15.90    
4  WILDCAT DREAM Feb07 Jan19 Nov16 Nov07 Oct24 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 ★    
5  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Feb22 Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 Oct21 (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 ★    
6  ALSANAH Feb01 Jan19 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 9% 9.80    
 
MVR-5   03/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ANDRES Feb21 Feb02 Jan05 Dec14 Nov29 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 12% 7.00    
1A  ADANO Feb21 Feb01 Jan16 Jan03 Dec03 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 ★    
2  DEBDURITE Feb21 Jan16 Jan03 Dec03 Nov16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  VISKI JONES Jan25 Jan01 Dec15 Nov15 Oct05 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★    
4  AZTEC EMPIRE Feb21 Feb01 Nov30 Nov08 Apr15 (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 3.50    
5  VALEROSO Feb21 Feb09 Dec15 Nov30 Oct27 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00    
6  GEH SCHNELL Feb21 Feb01 Jan17 Dec29 Dec14 (manning richard )RIVERA R 124 15.00    
7  HONORABLE Feb13 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Aug10 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00 5% 17.90    
8  GOTSOMEMOJO Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 Dec14 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
9  AULD LANGE SYNE Feb27 Dec30 Nov29 Oct28 Oct13 (sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BELEN Feb09 Jan02 Nov30 Oct25 Oct10 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 12% 7.10    
2  LUCKY TO HAVE ME Feb16 Feb06 Nov21 Nov09 Oct23 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00    
3  WHOVILLE Feb16 Jan11 Jan02 Dec08 Nov17 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 13% 6.90    
4  ORBITING THE SKY Feb14 Feb07 Jan03 Nov14 Oct31 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
5  SHE MAKES ME TIZZY Feb14 Jan19 Dec22 Dec05 Nov22 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 15% 5.50    
6  BLACK BUTTE Feb16 Jan11 Dec30 Dec08 Nov17 (bird dann)BRICENO M 119 6.00    
7  AUNT STELLA Feb09 Jan28 Jan04 Dec04 Nov11 (sullivan )BERMUDEZ E 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
MVR-7   03/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINJA KITTEN Jan31 Jan12 Dec29 Dec13 Nov22 (lopez carlos )CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
2  PRESCIENCE Jan30 Dec29 Dec15 Nov15 Oct29 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 8% 11.30    
3  ACT LIKE A LADY Feb16 Jan19 Dec05 Aug24 Aug04 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 6% 15.60    
4  ROAD TEST Jan31 Jan12 Dec27 Dec08 Nov01 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00 8% 11.70    
5  STYLISH ASH Dec30 Dec08 Oct21 Sep06 Aug10 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00    
6  GRAND PRIZE Jan04 Dec19 Nov14 Sep13 Aug16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
7  PETTIGO GIRL Feb15 Jan31 Jan12 Dec27 Dec11 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
8  GO STELLAIRE Feb16 Feb09 Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 15.00    
 
MVR-8   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY LISA Feb14 Jan19 Dec12 Nov10 Oct19 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
2  GRAY ROYALITY Feb14 Jan28 Dec13 Nov30 Nov14 (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
3  CALLMEMARTHAJANE Dec30 Nov26 Sep03 Jul30 Jun04 (wong jonathan)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
4  YEARS AGO Feb14 Jan28 Dec29 Dec08 Nov21 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  HONORIFIQUE Jul02 May29 Apr15 Mar03 Jan15 (kenneally edd)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 34% 1.90    
6  SLICKSNEAKYANDFAST Oct31 Sep20 Aug03 May18 Apr25 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 12.00 ★    
7  SKY Feb14 Jan28 Jan09 Dec06 Nov14 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
8  MIMI'S GOLDEN RING Jan28 Nov23 Oct17     (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 7% 13.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.