Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (4/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/6)-(4/9/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/6)-(4/9/6/8)-(4/9/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/9/6)-(7/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
OP-2   WIN (7/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/12)-(7/12/6/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/12)-(7/12/6/10)-(7/12/6/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/12)-(5/7/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/12)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/3/1/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
OP-3   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/4/3/1)-(5/7/4/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(5/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/1)-(5/3/1/2)-(3/2/4/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-4   WIN (5/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2/7)-(5/3/1/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/1/2)-(3/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/2)-(3/2/4/6)-(5/8/11/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-5   WIN (3/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6/9)-(3/2/4/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/4/6)-(5/8/11/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/6)-(5/8/11/4)-(8/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-6   WIN (5/8/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/11/4)-(5/8/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/11/4)-(5/8/11/4)-(5/8/11/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/11/4)-(8/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/11/4)-(8/3/10)-(1/8/7/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-7   WIN (8/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/10)-(8/3/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/10)-(8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/10)-(1/8/7/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/3/10)-(1/8/7/2/5)-(2/4/1/8/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
OP-8   WIN (1/8/7/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/2/5)-(1/8/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/2/5)-(1/8/7/2/5)-(1/8/7/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/7/2/5)-(2/4/1/8/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
OP-9   WIN (2/4/1/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/8/10)-(2/4/1/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/8/10)-(2/4/1/8/10)-(2/4/1/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FOREVER HOME Nov16 Oct26 Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 5.00    
SCR  PARKIN IN THE REAR Jun18 May31 May07 Mar20 Feb12 (shorter aaro)JORDAN R 118 5.00 ★    
2  LADY ASTRID Feb03 Jan01 Apr29 Mar05 Feb12 (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 15.00    
3  EMERALD PRINCESS Jan29 Oct08 Aug27 Jul17 Jun19 (robertson mclean)BEJARANO R 121 4.00    
4  CARPE HORSESHOE Jan06 Nov19 Oct07 Sep18 Aug11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
5  WARM BEAUTY Jun11 Apr29 Mar31 Mar24 Jan14 (roberts stanl)BAILEY CHEL-C 113 30.00    
6  FIRST EMPRESS Feb11 Jan14 Nov22 Nov15 Sep25 (vance thomas )CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50 11% 8.20    
SCR  DORITA'S HEART Feb17 Feb03 Jan22 Jan07 Dec18 (litfin nevada)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00    
8  GP'S AMAZING GRACE Jan16 Dec17 Dec02 Oct21 Oct05 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 20.00 ★    
9  KEWPIE DOLL Sep02 Jun10 May07 Apr22 Jan30 (jackson ri)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
 
OP-2   02/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT CARI Jan29 Jan08 Dec09     (petalino )DE CRUZ 114 15.00    
2  MR WORKS Feb12 Jan15       (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 8.00    
3  RIANTE SKY Feb12 May07 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00    
4  FLASHY BOY GOES Jan21 Dec29       (broberg karl)FUENTES ERICK 109 15.00    
5  ALLELUIA ANGEL Jan29 Dec30 May06 Apr24 Apr07 (gonzalez )TRIANA JR 120 8.00    
6  MR. WULLY BULLY Feb03 Jan01 Nov03 Sep28 Sep21 (pish danny)BEJARANO R 125 3.00 ★    
7  WESTOVER Jan15         (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
8  DABOOGEYMAN Feb03 Dec18 Nov11     (borel renay)BOREL H 125 30.00    
9  LOUD BOY Feb12 Feb12 Jan22     (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 20.00    
10  DIESEL FUEL Feb03 Jan01 Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 (jackson ri)ERAMIA E 125 8.00 ★    
11  LOBO IRISH Feb04 Dec11 Nov09     (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00    
12  BUBBY BOY         (swearingen tom )BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  STORM STRATEGY Feb03 Jan13 Dec16     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 4.00 ★    
SCR  POINT BLANK Feb03 Jan01 Dec16 May08 Apr15 (fires h)HARR KELSI 125 20.00    
 
OP-3   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELI'S PROMISE Jan20 Sep30 Aug14 Jul08 Jun19 (divito p)BOWEN ROCCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ATKINS Feb03 Dec31 Dec11 Nov03 Oct02 (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 20.00    
3  RITHM NIC Dec31 Dec14 Nov12 Oct21 Sep08 (richard chri)JORDAN R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CACTUS Feb04         (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 ★    
5  MARKS PROMISE Feb04 Jan12 Dec30     (broberg karl)ZIMMERMAN R 124 1.80 54% 0.80    
6  DIXIE FURY Jan29 Dec31 Nov11 Sep24 Sep18 (casse no)SANTANA JR 124 3.00    
7  BACKSIDE BUZZ Feb03 Jan15 Jan08 Dec16 Nov26 (vance tho)TORRES A 124 2.50 7% 13.50    
 
OP-4   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPRESSOR Sep05 Aug11       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50 6% 15.80    
2  TEXAS TED Jan06         (barkley jason)HIRALDO JOHN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GUCCI BOY Jan28 Oct15 Sep01     (diodoro robertin)JUAREZ NIK 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
4  TAP THAT DIAL Aug31         (vance d)BOWEN ROCCO 118 20.00    
5  STORM APPROACHING Jan06 Dec11       (anderson )DE CRUZ 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  HYPER SPEED Sep29 Sep05       (zito p)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
7  G T FIVE HUNDRED Jan06 Dec11 Oct13 Sep21 Aug06 (mason ingrid)WALES T 122 6.00 ★    
8  RANSAM PAYNTER Feb10 Jan20 Dec18 Nov25 Sep18 (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 118 12.00    
 
OP-5   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGIC CASTLE Jan22 Dec30 Dec09 Nov20 Nov06 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 10.00    
2  SQUARE DEAL Feb05 Sep10 Aug19 Jul29 May08 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
3  ALEX'S STRIKE Feb03 Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 42% 1.40    
4  ALEBRIJE Feb12 Jan05 Oct27 Oct06 Sep18 (lopez elias)CABRERA DAVID 118 2.50 8% 12.20    
5  BIG NICK Feb05 Dec30 Nov13 Oct27 Sep23 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00    
6  OCELOT Feb03 Dec30 Nov25 Oct16 Sep16 (broberg karl)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  MYSTERY MO Jan20 Oct22 Sep28 Aug26 Aug05 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
8  LIGHTNING STRUCK Feb03 Jan05 Dec17 Nov17 Nov02 (green ike)JORDAN R 118 15.00    
9  ESPIONAGE Jul22 Jun10 May20 May08 Apr24 (broberg karl)ZIMMERMAN R 118 8.00 ★    
 
OP-6   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COROMANDEL Jan08 Dec09       (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 15.00    
2  BLUE COWGIRL Feb05 Dec16 Nov25 Nov02   (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 8.00    
3  ALTAR GIRL Jan28 Dec31       (fires h)COURT K 115 50.00    
4  GREER CROSSING         (roberts stanl)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIDOFHONEY Nov20 Oct01       (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 125 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  UNIFIED GURL Feb05 Jan21 Jan07 Dec11 Nov11 (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00    
7  MO SILVER Jan07 Dec15 Nov25 Jul02   (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 115 10.00    
8  BOOTLEGGING GIRL Jan29 Dec30 Dec09 Aug20 Aug07 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
9  CANARY NATION Feb05 Jan13 Nov10     (anderson dou)JORDAN R 120 30.00    
10  OLD SCHOOL FLASH Jan27 Dec16 Nov11 Oct12 Sep23 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
11  SWEET HOLINESS Feb10 Jan29 Dec30 Nov22 Nov08 (loy de)SANTANA JR 120 4.50 5% 18.00    
12  FANCY HILL Jan21 Jan07       (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 30.00    
SCR  LUNCH LADY Jan21 Jun29 May29     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  SHEZA CAT Feb10 Jan22 Dec30     (durham danele)ZIMMERMAN R 125 20.00    
 
OP-7   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOHAYLADY Jan15 Jan01 Dec16 Nov20 Nov03 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 10.00    
2  IPSUM GRATUS Feb11 Jan14 Nov11 Jun24 May26 (mcknight norma)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00    
3  WEST SIDE GIRL Jan15 Dec16 Oct04 Aug25 Jun22 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
4  BLACK KAT TAPS Jan29 Jan01 Oct14 Sep18 Sep05 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 12.00    
SCR  PRINCEDREAMCESS Jan01 Nov30 Nov02 Oct06 Sep01 (compton g)TORRES A 121 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  LA MORENA Jan29 Jan01 Dec18 Dec09 Nov22 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00    
SCR  MI CRESCENDO Feb03 Jan01 Dec16 Nov11 Oct10 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
8  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Feb05 Jan21 Nov18 Oct22 Sep11 (rosin cot)RODRIGUEZ A 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
9  WATERWORKS Feb03 Dec18 Nov11 Oct22 Sep24 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 ★    
10  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA Jan21 Dec30 Oct08 Sep05 Jul17 (dixon tim)BOREL H 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
 
OP-8   02/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAHAAMEL (IRE) Feb11 Jan08 Nov27 Oct28 Oct14 (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
2  FILM STAR Dec16 Oct22 Sep17 Aug05 Jul03 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 7% 13.50    
3  SUMMER IN MALIBU Feb05 Jan08 Dec18 May14 Apr03 (vance d)COURT K 123 8.00    
4  FIGLIO DEL RE (IRE)         (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00    
5  BEN DIESEL Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 Nov09 Oct08 (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 123 6.00 6% 16.00    
6  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Feb12 Jan07 May21 Apr16 Mar26 (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
7  EFFICIENCY Feb10 Jan20 Sep11 Jul22 May07 (hollendorfer jer)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 10% 9.00    
8  TEN GAUGE Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 Nov19 Nov11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 5.00 13% 7.00    
 
OP-9   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO GUILT Feb03 Jan22 Dec31 Nov26 Nov04 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by BLAME out of ALL IN WITH ACES by QUIET AMERICAN)
2  STELLAR LILY Jan14 Dec11 Oct27 Sep30   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ANFIELD ROSE by WILBURN)
3  STAR OF TOMORROW         (mason ing)TORRES A 122 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHI OMEGA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  UNSTABLE PRINCESS Feb03 Dec31 Dec11 Oct24 Oct05 (martin william )ZIMMERMAN R 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PROUD BETTY by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  GOLDENSHUGA Dec31         (casse w)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SHORE THING by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
6  MISS ANALYZED Jan29         (jones larry)HARR KELSI 122 15.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of MISS CURLIN by CURLIN)
7  MAGIC BUBBLES         (prather h)BOWEN ROCCO 122 15.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of RIGOROUSLY by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
8  ABBREVIATION Jan13         (mott riley)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
9  GOLDCREST Jan21         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SHE BE CLASSY by TOCCET)
10  PIVOSKY Jan29 Jul17 Jun09 May19   (vance d)COURT K 122 30.00 6% 14.80    
  (by CONNECT out of PRINCESSE RAFAELA by SKY MESA)
11  JUST AN ANGEL Jan21 Jun17       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BATTLEFIELD ANGEL by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.