Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/1/6)-(2/7/5/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(2/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
OP-2   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/6/7/8)-(2/5/6/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(6/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8)-(6/2/4/8)-(7/4/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-3   WIN (6/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8/3)-(6/2/4/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/4/8)-(7/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/8)-(7/4/6/2)-(9/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
OP-4   WIN (7/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2/3)-(7/4/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/6/2)-(9/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/2)-(9/4)-(5/2/4/3/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-5   WIN (9/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/4)-(9/4/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/4)-(9/4/8/5)-(9/4/8/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/4)-(5/2/4/3/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/4)-(5/2/4/3/1)-(11/4/2/13) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
OP-6   WIN (5/2/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/3/1)-(5/2/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/3/1)-(5/2/4/3/1)-(5/2/4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/4/3/1)-(11/4/2/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/3/1)-(11/4/2/13)-(1/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-7   WIN (11/4/2/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/4/2/13)-(11/4/2/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/4/2/13)-(11/4/2/13)-(11/4/2/13) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/4/2/13)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/4/2/13)-(1/4/2)-(4/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-8   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/3/5)-(1/4/2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(4/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-9   WIN (4/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2/12)-(4/7/5/2/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURFY Jan20 Dec30 Nov13 Oct20 Oct02 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 116 2.50 ★    
2  COACH ADAMS Jan13 Dec01 Nov03 Sep03 Aug15 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 121 1.80 34% 2.00    
3  SMOKIN BOOTS Jan20 Dec11 Oct26 Sep30 Sep18 (petalino )TRIANA JR 119 15.00    
4  BAYOU SARGE Jan27 Oct22 Sep27 Sep13 Aug09 (borel renay)BOREL H 116 30.00    
5  GOLD BUCKLE Feb11 Jan07 Dec11 Nov15 Nov02 (haran joh)TORRES A 121 15.00 6% 14.90    
6  TWITTY CITY Feb11 Jan01 Dec11 Oct14 Oct01 (altamirano e)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 15.00 ★    
7  CASH ROCKET Feb10 Dec17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 1.40 34% 2.00    
 
OP-2   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($106K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWISTED DIXIE Feb05 Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 Sep07 (cline n)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
2  BANDIT POINT Jan28 Jan01 Dec10 May07 Apr10 (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 1.80 40% 1.50    
3  DINNER AT CRUMPIES Feb10 Jan22 Sep26 Aug30 Jun28 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 121 20.00    
4  MORE THAN BLESSED Jan01 Sep04 Jul31 Jul09 May07 (cascio j)JUAREZ NIK 121 10.00    
5  MAN IN THE CAN Nov21 Sep12 Aug02 Jun11 May07 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  BIG SUCCESS Feb05 Jan01 Dec10 Jul16 Jul04 (prather j)TORRES A 118 4.50 ★    
7  PROMISING SHOES Jan27 Jan07 Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 (altamirano el)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00 ★    
8  MACHO RONNIE Jan22 Dec18 Aug27 Jul21 Apr30 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-3   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EBBI BLU         (borel renay)BOREL H 119 30.00    
2  ALITA Feb05 Jan21 Jan13 Oct24 Oct10 (hollendorfer je)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.00 19% 4.30    
3  SODDY DAISY Feb12 Jan21 Jan04 Dec11 Nov10 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 12.00 ★    
4  FOXPASS Dec31 Sep25       (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 114 5.00 7% 12.40    
5  TRIBAL SPIRIT Feb05 Jan07 Nov24 Nov02 Sep24 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
6  KEEN CONTENDER Feb10 Jan13 Dec17 Nov06 Sep30 (rosin cot)TORRES A 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
7  SAWYER'S SWEETIE Nov25         (von hemel )ERAMIA E 119 15.00    
8  FLASH OF CHEROKEE         (wilson m)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  WINEHOUSE Jan27 Dec09 Nov02 Oct05   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
10  QUEENIES WAY Jan28 Dec31       (haran joh)DE CRUZ 114 30.00    
 
OP-4   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACH STREET Sep15 Aug22 Aug05 Jul26   (von kell)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00    
2  BACK SEAT BETTY Aug09 Jul02       (stewart da)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  RING TWICE Feb05 Nov24 Nov10 Sep24   (von hemel )ERAMIA E 122 3.00 ★    
4  TWIRLING TIGRESS Jan27 Jan07 Sep26     (cates al)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
5  RYE MUNNY Feb05 Dec14 Nov19 Oct26 Sep30 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
6  KEY TO SUCCESS Jan28 Dec31 Nov18 Oct16 Sep17 (puhich mike)BAZE C 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
7  MS HAYLEY Jan27 Nov10 Oct01     (hiles rick)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
 
OP-5   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOAST TO COAST Feb12 Jan13 Oct30 Oct09   (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 119 12.00    
2  OUT OF ALCATRAZ Nov25 Oct22 Aug18     (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
3  TOMMY TRI Dec18         (prather john)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 30.00    
4  BLOW TORCH Jan13 Aug27 Jul16 Jul01 May22 (broberg k)TORRES A 125 2.50 16% 5.40    
5  KOSELIO Feb03 Jan06 Dec18 Oct11   (green ike)JORDAN R 125 30.00 ★    
6  TEQUILA REVOLUTION Jan06 Dec11 Nov22 Jul14 Jun28 (mason ingrid)WALES T 125 20.00    
SCR  SHOTGUN UP Feb04 Jan22 Jan06 Nov25 Oct22 (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 125 8.00 ★    
8  BENISSIMO Jan13 Nov12 Sep30 Sep10 Jul29 (keithan ra)ERAMIA E 125 15.00 ★    
9  KID SHELLEEN Dec09 Nov30       (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 2.00 61% 0.60    
10  BLAME IT Jan06         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 30.00    
11  MOURVEDRE Jan13 Oct22 Sep25 Aug27 Aug06 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 125 4.00    
12  STRICKLAND Jan22 Dec11 Nov10 Jul31 Mar19 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 125 20.00    
13  R R EMPIRE Jan22         (keithan rach)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 30.00    
SCR  THINKINGNDRINKING Feb10 Jan20 Jan06     (martin timothy )BOWEN ROCCO 119 20.00    
 
OP-6   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY SAGEY Jan01 Nov27 Oct18 Aug04 Jul11 (compton greg)ZIMMERMAN R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BALI DREAMIN Feb05 Jul16 May28 Apr15 Mar27 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 24% 3.10    
3  RELIANT Jan29 Jan15 Dec14 Dec01 Nov19 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 8% 11.40    
4  ARGUMENTAL Nov17 Oct26 Mar27 Feb18 Jan15 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  SUPER WONDER GIRL Jan29 Jan01 Dec01 Nov21 Oct19 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.00 26% 2.90    
6  SHELL SHOCK Jan15 Nov27 Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 118 2.50    
SCR  AMERICAN BAND Jan27 Jan13 Sep17     (hartman chris)CABRERA DAVID 118 15.00    
SCR  WHISKEY BLUE Feb12 Dec09 Sep30 Sep11 Aug27 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
 
OP-7   02/19/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHER AUTHORITY Jan27 Jan07 Nov23 Nov09 Oct07 (von kell)QUINONEZ S 121 6.00    
2  MULBERRY STREET Jan08 Nov19 Nov06 Oct12 Sep01 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  SEE SPOT RUN Feb04 Jan08 Dec09 Oct26 Oct19 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 124 20.00    
4  MR. TIP Feb04 Jan27 Dec30 Nov07 Oct15 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
5  GHOST STRATEGY Jan20 Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 116 30.00    
6  SPACE ODESSEY Jan27 Sep29 Aug10 Jun17 May09 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00    
7  MAJOR KONG Feb04 Sep11 Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 20.00    
8  MAKE NOISE Feb10 Jan07 Nov16 Oct07 May28 (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 20.00    
9  ZOFFA Jan27 Dec11 Oct19 Sep25 Jul17 (shorter aaron)COURT K 121 15.00    
10  GEORGIA DEPUTY Feb04 Jan08 Dec17 Oct28 Oct08 (petalino )DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
11  IBERVILLE Jan07 Nov17 Sep28 Aug23 Jun12 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  FIRST RATE (IRE) Jan22 Aug08 May07     (jackson ri)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 50.00 5% 19.00    
13  CALIFORNIA SWING Feb11 Oct12 Sep13 Sep01 Aug17 (mcknight norm)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STUD PUPPY Dec13 Nov29 Nov14 Oct26 Oct10 (zito p)JUAREZ NIK 124 30.00    
 
OP-8   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($103K) 3 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO EAGLES RIVER Jan14 Dec31 Nov26 Oct30   (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 116 2.50 41% 1.50    
2  ARMAN Oct02 Aug14 Jun23     (miller peter)GARCIA MARTIN 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  WILD MULE Jan20 Dec09 Nov05 Aug27 Jul02 (hollendorfer jer)BEJARANO R 114 3.50 ★    
4  DISARM Aug06 Jun19       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 114 1.60 31% 2.20    
5  DONEGAL FACTOR Nov26 Oct05 Sep01     (cox h)CASTILLO ISAAC 114 12.00 ★    
6  FUNNY UNCLE Feb04 Jan15 Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 (vance d)COURT K 122 12.00    
7  RECKER POINT Jan14 Dec17 Nov16 Oct01 Sep16 (lukas w)TORRES A 119 5.00    
 
OP-9   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO WANNA GO Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 Jan28   (roberts st)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 20.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of WINDSTREAM by MR. GREELEY)
2  KOKOMO STARLET Jan28 Jan07       (jackson d)COURT K 125 10.00 8% 11.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of POSSE'S STARLET by POSSE)
3  WILD ROSEY Jan08 Dec09 Nov20 Jul17   (calhoun william )JUAREZ NIK 120 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ROSEY BAY by GOLDEN MISSILE)
4  NEXT THURSDAY Jan28         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of PROBABLY THURSDAY by GIO PONTI)
5  MS CARROLL COUNTY Jan28 Dec31       (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of VALIANT REASON by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
6  BRADLEY PINK Jan14         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 20.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of SEQUIOTA by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  STREET PAINTER Jan14         (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of PAINTERGONE by HANSEN)
8  COURAGEOUS CAPPEN Jan28 Dec09 Aug24 Jan23 Jan09 (cline n)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SEE THROUGH by POLLARD'S VISION)
9  APRIL FLOWER BOUND Jan28         (williams bl)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 50.00    
  (by DECIBEL out of REALITY BOUND by PROPER REALITY)
10  QUARANTINED Jan14         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 20.00    
  (by PALACE out of TARALICIOUS by STREET BOSS)
11  TIZ A STRATEGY Jan28 Jan07       (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of DENALI TIZFOREVER by TIZNOW)
12  GOLD STRATEGY Jan28 Dec09 Apr29 Apr09 Mar25 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 125 8.00 ★    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SOCHI GOLD by BIG BROWN)
SCR  ICONIC BONNET Jan28         (gonzalez )TRIANA JR 120 20.00    
  (by ICON IKE out of SUN BONNET by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.